Bare-Mambo — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$427

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,113 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$830.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$747

Open exposure

$42

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 11-04 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

59% 68% -$498

Politics

41% 62% -$8,499

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	-24	-$21	98¢	$-23	-$2	05-20 08:45
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	+10	$7	99¢	$10	+$3	11-02 12:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-29 01:48
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	+5	$3	74¢	$4	+$0	11-04 16:35
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+5	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	05-26 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	16	$105.7K	54,640	54,640	+0	No	+$2,806	05-24 08:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$39.3K	30,989	30,984	+5	No	-$4,836	05-24 13:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	44	$37.0K	20,815	20,815	+0	No	+$4,256	09-29 13:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	26	$34.8K	35,807	910	+34,897	No	+$1,857	05-30 04:56
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$33.3K	25,216	25,216	-0	Yes	-$4,948	06-05 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$33.2K	25,087	25,087	+0	No	-$1,855	05-24 10:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	6	$30.9K	32,628	0	+32,628	No	+$1,740	04-18 14:21
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	22	$30.6K	16,903	16,903	+0	No	+$2,119	06-01 05:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	17	$24.9K	13,102	13,102	+0	No	+$427	10-29 01:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$24.8K	31,656	31,604	+52	No	-$238	06-26 08:52
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	9	$22.8K	14,895	14,895	-0	Yes	+$1,435	06-23 09:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	6	$22.2K	11,690	11,690	+0	No	-$300	05-14 14:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	13	$20.8K	0	28,032	-28,032	No	-$7,237	05-04 21:38
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	5	$19.9K	10,046	10,046	+0	No	+$173	05-09 16:08
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	12	$17.7K	9,030	9,030	-0	No	+$217	06-08 11:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	33	$16.5K	8,724	8,724	+0	No	+$432	06-16 15:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$15.0K	8,014	8,014	+0	Yes	-$196	10-27 11:12
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	17	$14.5K	14,950	0	+14,950	Yes	+$473	05-04 07:37
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$14.3K	7,897	7,897	+0	No	+$41	05-06 15:12
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$13.8K	7,143	7,142	+0	Yes	+$375	05-11 01:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	22	$12.7K	6,956	6,956	+0	No	+$943	09-05 23:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	5	$12.5K	13,064	0	+13,064	No	+$556	04-25 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$12.0K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$988	04-26 13:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	12	$11.8K	12,226	0	+12,226	No	+$386	04-17 11:38
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$11.7K	11,966	0	+11,966	No	+$263	04-14 15:26
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	11	$11.7K	9,045	4,500	+4,545	Yes	+$1,884	06-19 03:42
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	10	$11.2K	5,633	5,633	+0	No	+$1	05-08 23:28
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	13	$9.6K	5,871	5,871	+0	open	—	10-06 06:03
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	6	$9.2K	9,633	70	+9,563	No	+$361	06-29 15:53
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	7	$8.1K	8,824	0	+8,824	No	+$693	05-04 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:35:48	Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3e3043…
11-02 12:06:30	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa5c09f…
10-29 14:55:35	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xe7bd46…
10-29 14:53:02	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	284	5¢	$14	0x8e0a19…
10-29 14:52:02	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xba9c14…
10-29 14:50:16	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xe6420b…
10-29 14:50:16	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	453	5¢	$23	0x5d2824…
10-29 14:50:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x937024…
10-29 14:50:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x67ce2a…
10-29 14:37:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x95d98d…
10-29 14:35:28	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	66	5¢	$4	0xff3737…
10-29 14:35:10	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	139	94¢	$131	0xb92c05…
10-29 14:34:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9876f7…
10-29 14:33:55	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	311	7¢	$22	0x3297d9…
10-29 14:31:35	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x6c9507…
10-29 14:30:43	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3cfa85…
10-29 14:30:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	99	5¢	$5	0x922e59…
10-29 14:30:13	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x130279…
10-29 14:30:13	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	113	5¢	$6	0x02740f…
10-29 14:29:26	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	377	23¢	$87	0xd55f7e…
10-29 14:05:46	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x674da6…
10-29 13:22:59	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xf94b21…
10-29 13:16:34	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xda017b…
10-29 13:16:25	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xf953b5…
10-29 13:16:19	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x868a26…
10-29 13:16:14	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x07775a…
10-29 13:15:59	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x8fb12d…
10-29 10:15:52	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x964e13…
10-29 10:14:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x4dcc28…
10-29 10:14:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	258	80¢	$206	0x183f9f…
10-29 10:12:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	152	99¢	$150	0x9cc05e…
10-29 09:33:37	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0xff9b19…
10-29 08:40:23	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	182	91¢	$166	0x0a0d4c…
10-29 07:21:26	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5807a6…
10-29 07:19:07	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	757	47¢	$358	0xec9d1a…
10-29 05:27:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	88	82¢	$73	0xca7d4f…
10-29 05:27:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xae9bb2…
10-29 05:27:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	71	82¢	$58	0x45a04c…
10-29 05:26:35	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x25c454…
10-29 05:26:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x417c1d…
10-29 05:26:31	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xd54d7e…
10-29 05:26:31	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0xa59862…
10-29 05:26:31	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	59	81¢	$48	0x7ccc86…
10-29 05:26:31	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x400653…
10-29 05:26:20	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0x0751b8…
10-29 05:00:28	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x43b87d…
10-29 05:00:14	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	260	98¢	$256	0x108aee…
10-29 04:54:59	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	420	89¢	$372	0xe524cc…
10-29 04:54:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$394	0x07a441…
10-29 03:19:13	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	174	33¢	$57	0x568b1e…
10-29 03:19:07	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1b3e9e…
10-29 03:18:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd94005…
10-29 03:10:01	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	551	92¢	$505	0x7fec84…
10-29 03:09:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	240	99¢	$237	0xad6df4…
10-29 03:07:11	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x259527…
10-29 03:06:28	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0x822c5e…
10-29 03:05:41	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x197e0e…
10-29 03:05:37	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	177	93¢	$165	0xace0d2…
10-29 03:00:22	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	203	30¢	$61	0xc45d8d…
10-29 02:31:58	Will Yashar win 16-18% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1,638	89¢	$1,461	0x601cc9…
10-29 02:31:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,200	98¢	$1,179	0x3dc079…
10-29 02:30:35	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x0c5ef4…
10-29 02:30:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	278	99¢	$275	0xff10ea…
10-29 01:56:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	196	90¢	$177	0xff6c62…
10-29 01:49:05	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	708	90¢	$637	0xeab7f6…
10-29 01:48:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7d7388…
10-29 01:48:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,548	99¢	$1,537	0x348814…
10-29 01:47:16	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x850371…
10-29 01:47:11	Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x8a565c…
10-29 01:45:38	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	307	61¢	$187	0xcde568…
10-29 01:45:07	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	97	56¢	$54	0x8570ac…
10-29 01:09:22	Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	199	61¢	$121	0x362708…
10-29 01:08:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x789788…
10-29 01:08:31	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa6fb16…
10-29 01:07:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x838f16…
10-29 01:06:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x50a116…
10-28 08:30:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x67cb9d…
10-28 08:30:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3fec01…
10-28 08:30:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x3d38e5…
10-28 07:22:28	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	246	95¢	$234	0x3005a8…
10-28 07:22:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x3dafbc…
10-28 07:22:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xd7a794…
10-28 07:22:04	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x59144f…
10-28 07:22:04	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	360	95¢	$342	0x14d2ba…
10-28 07:17:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7ec921…
10-28 07:17:50	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x3aa85d…
10-28 07:14:52	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x5e9cb8…
10-28 07:13:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	95¢	$161	0x122939…
10-28 07:01:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$990	0x5255e5…
10-28 02:22:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xbd8ed4…
10-28 02:22:03	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0x6838cf…
10-28 02:22:03	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	262	94¢	$246	0x01d958…
10-28 02:15:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,354	96¢	$4,179	0x2042c2…
10-28 02:11:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x8b85b0…
10-28 02:11:33	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,685	96¢	$2,591	0x2f63b7…
10-28 02:11:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x9905c1…
10-27 20:55:57	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0xcce948…
10-27 13:17:24	Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0x2ea846…
10-27 11:41:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5a4439…
10-27 11:12:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8,014	92¢	$7,405	0x40e35e…