Realized P&L (24h)
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (24h)
51
Trades (24h)
62
21,501 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$2.89K
$1.27M lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$3.68K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-02 23:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Crypto
80% 86% +$8,659
Other
17% 89% -$3,374
Politics
1% 61% +$32
Tech
1% 80% +$223
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 611 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2,000 -$1,900 94¢ $-1890 +$10 10-31 06:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +500 $445 88¢ $442 -$2 11-01 22:57
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -513 -$298 77¢ $-395 -$97 05-23 07:57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -400 -$336 95¢ $-381 -$45 05-24 20:08
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -300 -$196 88¢ $-262 -$67 05-24 15:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$160 6¢ $-110 +$50 10-24 22:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $82 32¢ $64 -$18 10-30 12:31
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +100 $76 64¢ $64 -$12 10-30 12:32
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -493 -$237 12¢ $-59 +$178 05-08 14:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +998 $63 1¢ $8 -$54 09-01 18:57
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -8 -$6 87¢ $-7 -$1 04-28 12:58