Bountiful-Clinic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3.95K

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

92.1%

Resolved (90d)

7,054

Trades (90d)

12,364

21,165 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$402.3K

$1.25M lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

$1.25K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 86% +$8,659

Other

16% 88% -$3,413

Politics

1% 61% +$32

Tech

1% 80% +$223

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 611 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-513	-$298	77¢	$-395	-$97	05-23 07:57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	-400	-$336	96¢	$-386	-$50	05-24 20:08
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	-300	-$196	84¢	$-253	-$58	05-24 15:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	-2,000	-$160	6¢	$-130	+$30	10-24 22:27
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-493	-$237	14¢	$-67	+$170	05-08 14:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+998	$63	1¢	$13	-$50	09-01 18:57
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-8	-$6	89¢	$-7	-$1	04-28 12:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	12	$6.5K	3,833	3,833	+0	Yes	+$102	01-26 17:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	25	$5.6K	3,166	2,666	+500	Yes	+$177	02-28 09:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$4.1K	2,350	2,350	+0	No	-$141	01-30 01:02
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	10	$3.2K	3,227	3,227	+0	open	—	08-24 16:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 02:30 UTC	22	$2.7K	2,825	0	+2,825	Down	-$2,729	03-23 02:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	26	$2.7K	1,654	1,654	+0	Yes	-$325	07-07 16:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 00:30 UTC	45	$2.5K	1,686	3,069	-1,383	Down	-$650	03-17 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:00 UTC	22	$2.4K	2,365	1,299	+1,066	Down	+$54	03-24 13:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:00 UTC	16	$2.3K	2,426	0	+2,426	Down	+$100	03-24 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC	13	$2.3K	2,341	1,500	+841	Up	+$74	03-22 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 17:15 UTC	15	$2.3K	2,284	1,500	+784	Down	+$60	03-16 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	26	$2.1K	2,122	843	+1,279	Down	+$39	03-24 13:42
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	8	$2.1K	1,164	1,164	+0	No	+$131	02-05 01:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:15 UTC	36	$2.1K	2,066	1,500	+566	Down	+$56	03-23 18:29
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	8	$2.0K	744	2,666	-1,922	Yes	-$877	01-25 23:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:45 UTC	16	$2.0K	2,040	2,000	+40	Down	+$61	03-24 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 23:15 UTC	4	$2.0K	2,039	1,000	+1,039	Down	+$75	03-11 23:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 01:00 UTC	7	$2.0K	1,993	0	+1,993	Up	+$11	03-23 01:13
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$42	04-14 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 16:45 UTC	12	$1.9K	1,893	2,000	-107	Down	+$63	03-24 16:58
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	5	$1.8K	1,383	905	+479	Yes	+$35	02-02 23:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 13:15 UTC	5	$1.8K	1,805	0	+1,805	Up	+$7	03-19 13:27
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	3	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$150	05-22 22:42
will israel strike lebanon on january 29 2026	8	$1.6K	824	824	+0	No	+$21	01-31 20:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:15 UTC	10	$1.6K	1,611	42	+1,568	Down	+$9	03-24 13:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 16:45 UTC	7	$1.6K	1,546	1,499	+47	Up	+$45	03-23 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 02:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,527	1,500	+27	Up	+$45	03-18 02:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 03:15 UTC	26	$1.5K	1,527	1,500	+27	Down	+$45	03-17 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 21:30 UTC	22	$1.5K	1,527	1,500	+27	Up	+$46	03-16 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 06:00 UTC	13	$1.5K	1,527	1,500	+27	Up	+$46	03-17 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xb13c7d…
10-29 08:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x051f4c…
10-29 08:32:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2c606b…
10-29 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x06d478…
10-29 08:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xda0640…
10-29 08:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2917e6…
10-29 07:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f28f3…
10-29 07:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe89e8…
10-29 07:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcb7b66…
10-29 06:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc8b6e4…
10-29 04:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x8aba9a…
10-29 04:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe53a1…
10-29 04:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc4854e…
10-29 03:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe38927…
10-29 03:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfc067a…
10-29 02:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$100	0xde3eff…
10-29 02:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b3fdc…
10-29 02:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbefeef…
10-29 02:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xffba1d…
10-29 02:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$100	0x2da9e9…
10-29 02:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc6314…
10-29 02:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd53f2a…
10-29 02:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7baad8…
10-29 02:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe5c59b…
10-29 02:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x901947…
10-29 02:02:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 29?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3b96a8…
10-29 01:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9b19df…
10-29 01:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd0de0…
10-28 21:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xb77b19…
10-28 21:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc87f3f…
10-28 19:57:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeed26a…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x24dedc…
10-28 19:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc68394…
10-28 19:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xa73815…
10-28 19:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4e0c37…
10-28 18:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x089f15…
10-28 17:04:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2a86a2…
10-28 17:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7a705c…
10-28 17:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x89b88f…
10-28 16:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe49485…
10-28 15:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 28?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe495b0…
10-28 15:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf8475b…
10-28 15:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x383a6f…
10-28 15:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb2722b…
10-28 15:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 28?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xf71615…
10-28 14:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xefd294…
10-28 14:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb47d06…
10-28 13:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9938de…
10-28 13:05:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf0622b…
10-28 13:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc082af…
10-28 13:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa19876…
10-28 13:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x76e075…
10-28 11:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x48abf8…
10-28 10:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x515125…
10-28 09:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa676e5…
10-28 09:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8409f2…
10-28 08:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x33e099…
10-28 08:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xac5736…
10-28 08:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff64e7…
10-28 08:02:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xc228e5…
10-28 07:18:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1af35…
10-28 07:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57ce26…
10-28 07:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc4d72…
10-28 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x162eed…
10-28 02:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x0cf52e…
10-28 02:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x826819…
10-28 02:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x96b1e6…
10-28 02:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88a693…
10-28 02:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf605a7…
10-28 02:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0ca7aa…
10-28 02:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce0716…
10-28 02:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfce9b0…
10-28 02:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or higher on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb34ce0…
10-28 01:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x77cd1f…
10-27 22:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xfe4466…
10-27 22:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8ba8d4…
10-27 22:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x1b661d…
10-27 22:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x80916a…
10-27 22:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x029864…
10-27 22:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x94d47d…
10-27 22:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa1d5d1…
10-27 22:01:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xeca7e7…
10-27 22:01:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x36ffd1…
10-27 21:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbeef39…
10-27 21:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x44a0c8…
10-27 21:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x20a2f5…
10-27 21:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd8e871…
10-27 21:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x14b37f…
10-27 21:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x0cf4f1…
10-27 21:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x0c948b…
10-27 21:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x557704…
10-27 21:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8ce464…
10-27 21:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xe37271…
10-27 21:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf42a3a…
10-27 21:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x620c47…
10-27 21:02:14	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbff393…
10-27 20:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x6b836b…
10-27 20:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x79b1fa…
10-27 20:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0c0d51…
10-27 20:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x23bfb4…