Realized P&L
+$5.52K
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
95.8%
Resolved
9,376
Trades
21,296
lifetime
Volume
$1.26M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$1.39K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-30 18:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Crypto
81% 86% +$8,659
Other
16% 88% -$3,391
Politics
1% 61% +$32
Tech
1% 80% +$223
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 611 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -513 -$298 74¢ $-382 -$85 05-23 07:57
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -400 -$336 96¢ $-382 -$46 05-24 20:08
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -300 -$196 86¢ $-256 -$61 05-24 15:03
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2,000 -$160 6¢ $-130 +$30 10-24 22:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $82 42¢ $85 +$3 10-30 12:31
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +100 $76 76¢ $76 $0 10-30 12:32
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -493 -$237 13¢ $-64 +$173 05-08 14:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +998 $63 1¢ $9 -$54 09-01 18:57
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -8 -$6 89¢ $-7 -$1 04-28 12:58