Unique-Pillar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$809

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 08-05 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Sports

31% 57% +$7

Politics

29% 50% -$1

Crypto

28% 86% +$5

Other

9% 83% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	07-25 07:57
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+4	$6	100¢	$4	-$2	06-06 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$6.0K	3,006	2,988	+18	open	—	08-05 16:02
will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	4	$5.1K	2,553	2,515	+38	No	-$2	07-24 15:51
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$4.4K	2,215	2,213	+2	open	—	08-02 11:45
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,117	2,113	+4	open	—	06-06 15:04
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.7K	1,851	1,832	+19	No	-$2	06-27 10:07
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$3.4K	1,719	1,710	+9	No	+$0	07-18 09:34
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.2K	2,004	1,223	+782	No	$0	04-14 13:40
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2.5K	2,505	0	+2,505	No	+$5	07-06 12:44
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$2.0K	1,963	0	+1,963	No	+$2	03-20 15:54
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.9K	967	962	+5	No	+$0	07-18 09:15
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$1.9K	945	945	+0	No	-$2	03-24 15:30
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$1.8K	923	914	+9	No	+$0	07-18 09:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,840	0	+1,840	Yes	+$22	05-25 13:00
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.7K	834	828	+6	No	-$1	08-03 11:43
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.2K	600	598	+2	No	-$1	06-04 10:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	1	$1.2K	1,173	0	+1,173	No	+$2	04-14 13:51
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	No	+$4	04-05 15:52
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$1.1K	546	540	+5	No	$0	07-23 03:51
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	1	$1.1K	1,052	0	+1,052	No	+$1	03-30 12:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	2	$1.0K	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$1	05-20 10:15
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	1	$991	992	0	+992	No	+$1	03-30 12:11
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$963	964	0	+964	No	+$1	03-30 12:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$265	266	0	+266	No	+$1	05-25 13:01
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	06-27 10:06
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$21	21	0	+21	Yes	+$0	04-14 13:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-03 11:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	08-03 11:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-18 09:20
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-25 07:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	07-06 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 16:02:45	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xf52fbf…
08-05 16:02:05	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,150	100¢	$1,146	0x12e931…
08-04 11:52:26	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	416	100¢	$415	0x7da6ca…
08-04 11:46:05	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	623	100¢	$621	0x6c9aaa…
08-04 11:44:12	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	782	100¢	$779	0x75f5ab…
08-03 11:46:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x76d41f…
08-03 11:44:38	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,006	100¢	$3,000	0xed0b76…
08-03 11:43:41	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	603	100¢	$601	0x13efe7…
08-02 11:45:53	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xfa267b…
08-02 11:45:11	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	2,213	100¢	$2,209	0x892eb1…
07-25 07:57:16	Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x955b79…
07-25 07:56:54	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	834	100¢	$833	0x6dc09c…
07-25 07:56:12	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x10f99c…
07-24 16:02:15	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x9d6d83…
07-24 15:52:40	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x6cbd50…
07-24 15:51:51	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	907	100¢	$906	0x836255…
07-23 03:57:43	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	944	100¢	$943	0xcd3bd2…
07-23 03:54:34	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	SELL	664	100¢	$662	0xe09d1c…
07-23 03:52:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7cb0f4…
07-23 03:51:52	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	540	100¢	$538	0xe35c37…
07-19 13:37:06	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026 944	No	BUY	2,553	100¢	$2,550	0x81227e…
07-18 09:34:19	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	851	100¢	$850	0x9f8486…
07-18 09:20:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x33b0a6…
07-18 09:19:58	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	914	100¢	$913	0xe74e7c…
07-18 09:16:42	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	546	100¢	$544	0x9f8010…
07-18 09:16:10	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	SELL	860	100¢	$859	0x711bb0…
07-18 09:15:43	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	479	100¢	$478	0xc78133…
07-09 16:27:44	Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	923	100¢	$922	0x8dc6b5…
07-09 16:24:11	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1,719	100¢	$1,717	0xec025b…
07-06 12:44:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x34b5bc…
07-06 12:44:25	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2,505	100¢	$2,500	0x8dcf3f…
06-27 10:07:26	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,832	100¢	$1,829	0x8518ce…
06-27 10:06:59	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xf8a20d…
06-27 10:05:41	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	483	100¢	$483	0x1ed25e…
06-06 15:17:24	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0x3ac252…
06-06 15:05:58	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	800	100¢	$799	0x319ad7…
06-06 15:04:37	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xff3983…
06-04 10:10:43	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	598	100¢	$596	0x09011e…
06-04 10:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,551	99¢	$1,537	0x790bad…
06-03 11:49:21	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	967	100¢	$966	0x043625…
06-03 11:43:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8c958a…
06-03 11:43:29	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x21f281…
06-03 11:42:17	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	550	99¢	$545	0x4634de…
06-01 07:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,117	99¢	$2,100	0xc546ac…
06-01 07:10:55	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xddb59f…
05-25 13:01:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0x9cab9d…
05-25 13:00:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,840	99¢	$1,818	0x03c465…
05-20 10:15:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xa8fab7…
05-20 10:13:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2de9ec…
04-14 13:51:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,173	100¢	$1,171	0xada933…
04-14 13:41:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x01afdd…
04-14 13:40:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,223	100¢	$1,220	0xbe172a…
04-05 15:52:01	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,105	100¢	$1,101	0xac4fe8…
04-05 07:34:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,002	0x8e7170…
03-30 12:24:40	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	964	100¢	$963	0x1ea824…
03-30 12:19:20	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,051	0xd78ea1…
03-30 12:11:34	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	992	100¢	$991	0x4f719f…
03-24 15:30:41	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	945	100¢	$942	0x1f0f1b…
03-20 15:54:17	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,002	0xf13212…
03-20 15:47:33	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	388	100¢	$388	0xe40fd8…
03-20 15:43:05	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x5b4824…
03-19 17:00:15	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xbaf65f…
03-19 16:29:07	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0x173775…
03-19 16:22:07	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x8c8fd0…
03-19 16:20:15	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x74953d…