Realized P&L (7d)
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
0.8%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
1,943
10,876 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.64K
$222.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$102
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-30 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Crypto
82% 50% +$4,444
Politics
8% 3% -$198
Other
8% 24% -$1,399
Tech
1% 33% +$6
Sports
0% 67% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +13 $8 78¢ $10 +$2 10-28 00:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 10-28 19:59
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 $0 10-29 10:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$1 10-28 14:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$1 10-28 20:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 $0 10-28 14:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +10 $8 62¢ $6 -$1 10-28 21:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $6 57¢ $5 -$1 10-27 14:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 10-29 01:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 10-28 20:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +10 $4 36¢ $4 $0 10-28 21:28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$1 10-29 01:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 56¢ $3 $0 10-28 21:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $3 29¢ $3 $0 10-28 20:56
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +13 $5 22¢ $3 -$2 10-27 21:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +4 $3 67¢ $2 -$1 10-28 21:46
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 $0 10-27 06:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $0 33¢ $2 +$2 10-28 22:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 10-27 13:19
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 10-28 11:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 44¢ $2 +$1 10-28 21:20
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3 $2 65¢ $2 $0 10-28 00:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-28 20:53
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +4 $3 36¢ $1 -$2 10-28 23:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +5 $1 20¢ $1 $0 10-29 14:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 $0 10-28 19:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +2 $1 46¢ $1 $0 10-29 09:26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3 $0 26¢ $1 +$1 10-28 05:45
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 25¢ $1 +$0 10-29 15:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1 $2 63¢ $1 -$1 10-28 07:17