Defensive-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$669

Unrealized P&L

-$143

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved (30d)

1,546

Trades (30d)

4,032

20,952 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$56.8K

$603.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$90

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 248 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% +$6,232

Crypto

46% 83% -$3,442

Sports

1% 76% -$96

Politics

0% 100% +$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	+200	$81	30¢	$59	-$22	08-13 18:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+100	$18	20¢	$20	+$2	06-28 16:49
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	+100	$35	8¢	$8	-$28	07-02 23:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+1,070	$100	0¢	$4	-$96	07-03 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$165	03-29 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	23	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$22	06-16 05:07
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 34 35f	8	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$21	02-20 18:37
ethereum up or down march 13 1pm et	5	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$29	03-13 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 17c	5	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$6	03-15 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	40	$1.6K	813	899	-86	Yes	+$77	02-16 18:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 12:14
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	10	$1.6K	818	818	-0	No	+$53	03-02 13:46
solana up or down march 30 2026 4am et	39	$1.6K	802	801	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 08:51
ethereum up or down march 9 9am et	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$33	03-09 13:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	11	$1.6K	820	819	+2	No	-$14	04-10 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	36	$1.5K	799	799	+0	No	+$37	03-10 14:11
xrp up or down march 1 8am et	10	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 13:57
solana up or down march 9 1am et	13	$1.5K	734	734	+0	Up	+$15	03-09 05:56
solana up or down february 28 9am et	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$46	02-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	23	$1.3K	707	707	+0	No	-$10	05-16 18:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 15:59
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 68 69f	18	$1.3K	690	690	-0	No	+$24	02-16 21:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$278	05-04 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 7?	12	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
solana up or down march 1 9am et	11	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Down	+$10	03-01 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	17	$1.1K	842	842	+0	open	—	08-14 16:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	9	$1.1K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-07 14:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	17	$1.1K	1,107	545	+562	No	-$24	03-03 18:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 56 57f	10	$1.1K	528	578	-50	No	+$21	03-09 05:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$37	03-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	16	$1.1K	730	385	+345	No	+$53	08-17 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	17	$1.0K	659	431	+229	Yes	-$227	05-01 18:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 0c	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$17	03-03 17:01
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 11c	9	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$29	02-26 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xfff610…
10-30 13:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe6a9d3…
10-30 13:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x370dc0…
10-30 12:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0xfd0d26…
10-30 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x11d895…
10-30 11:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6baa0f…
10-30 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xca65fe…
10-30 11:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x5403b2…
10-30 11:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7f92da…
10-30 11:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x373bbd…
10-30 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4f145e…
10-30 11:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7fb4f0…
10-30 11:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xd505d9…
10-30 11:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x80116a…
10-30 11:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xed3a16…
10-30 11:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf88b41…
10-30 11:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x41ff7a…
10-30 11:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xef6505…
10-30 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0xb87231…
10-30 11:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe4d2fc…
10-30 11:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2ee931…
10-30 11:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4e3482…
10-30 11:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xa973df…
10-30 11:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x1ed8d8…
10-30 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcb20bb…
10-30 10:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd10243…
10-30 10:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x2e827b…
10-30 10:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x58f85f…
10-30 10:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1513f9…
10-30 10:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdc32ef…
10-30 10:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3b1fe9…
10-30 10:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b0be9…
10-30 10:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf74168…
10-30 10:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb290fb…
10-30 10:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0954eb…
10-30 10:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcc57cd…
10-30 08:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xea8822…
10-30 08:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x884d1f…
10-30 08:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x4d32b3…
10-30 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x7abcfc…
10-30 07:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or higher on October 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5c13db…
10-30 07:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0xa5fc72…
10-30 07:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x93519c…
10-30 07:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x9f2389…
10-30 07:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe3c8af…
10-30 07:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc8a0b2…
10-30 07:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x18f46b…
10-30 07:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x60b92d…
10-30 07:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x86bf3b…
10-30 07:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xd4e4c9…
10-30 07:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x72142e…
10-30 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0x4acafc…
10-30 07:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xbae582…
10-30 07:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe82fa4…
10-30 07:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c08f3…
10-30 07:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x7656c5…
10-30 07:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on October 30?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x6cf095…
10-30 07:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb680f3…
10-30 07:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x582376…
10-30 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xb41084…
10-30 06:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xad5fa8…
10-30 06:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x856f9b…
10-30 06:57:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x141f1b…
10-30 06:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd4693b…
10-30 06:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x64cd05…
10-30 06:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9625b0…
10-30 06:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0x5871dd…
10-30 06:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe76975…
10-30 06:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x03b2cb…
10-30 06:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x910936…
10-30 06:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x960bc5…
10-30 06:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xf5b074…
10-30 06:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0f6e5c…
10-30 06:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa94bb5…
10-30 06:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeb96a1…
10-30 06:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x332559…
10-30 06:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0f9f5c…
10-30 06:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4a5403…
10-30 06:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd88235…
10-30 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5424d6…
10-30 06:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3c279a…
10-30 05:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x719f7f…
10-30 05:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x817176…
10-30 05:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf7d16e…
10-30 05:55:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x34bb0d…
10-30 05:54:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 30?	No	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xd60ff9…
10-30 05:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9de189…
10-30 05:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3816c…
10-30 05:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf6d4ee…
10-30 05:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4e57e7…
10-30 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on October 29?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x457cd8…
10-30 05:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb668f8…
10-30 05:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xe67cfe…
10-30 05:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf29fe8…
10-30 05:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x36e07e…
10-30 05:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x236814…
10-30 05:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xffa661…
10-30 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 30?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x1486e7…
10-30 05:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x68e43d…
10-30 05:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5633b3…