Defensive-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$491

Unrealized P&L

-$145

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved (7d)

991

Trades (7d)

2,348

20,794 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$33.1K

$601.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$88

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 247 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% +$6,184

Crypto

46% 82% -$3,451

Sports

1% 76% -$96

Politics

0% 100% +$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	+200	$81	28¢	$56	-$25	08-13 18:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+100	$18	20¢	$20	+$2	06-28 16:49
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	+100	$35	8¢	$8	-$27	07-02 23:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+1,070	$100	0¢	$4	-$96	07-03 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$165	03-29 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	23	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$22	06-16 05:07
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 34 35f	8	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$21	02-20 18:37
ethereum up or down march 13 1pm et	5	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$29	03-13 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 17c	5	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$6	03-15 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	40	$1.6K	813	899	-86	Yes	+$77	02-16 18:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 12:14
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	10	$1.6K	818	818	-0	No	+$53	03-02 13:46
solana up or down march 30 2026 4am et	39	$1.6K	802	801	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 08:51
ethereum up or down march 9 9am et	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$33	03-09 13:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	11	$1.6K	820	819	+2	No	-$14	04-10 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	36	$1.5K	799	799	+0	No	+$37	03-10 14:11
xrp up or down march 1 8am et	10	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 13:57
solana up or down march 9 1am et	13	$1.5K	734	734	+0	Up	+$15	03-09 05:56
solana up or down february 28 9am et	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$46	02-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	23	$1.3K	707	707	+0	No	-$10	05-16 18:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 15:59
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 68 69f	18	$1.3K	690	690	-0	No	+$24	02-16 21:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$278	05-04 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 7?	12	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
solana up or down march 1 9am et	11	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Down	+$10	03-01 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	17	$1.1K	842	842	+0	open	—	08-14 16:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	9	$1.1K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-07 14:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	17	$1.1K	1,107	545	+562	No	-$24	03-03 18:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 56 57f	10	$1.1K	528	578	-50	No	+$21	03-09 05:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$37	03-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	16	$1.1K	730	385	+345	No	+$53	08-17 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	17	$1.0K	659	431	+229	Yes	-$227	05-01 18:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 0c	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$17	03-03 17:01
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 11c	9	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$29	02-26 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6e94c3…
10-29 21:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6a765e…
10-29 20:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1f9f1b…
10-29 20:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x15f00d…
10-29 20:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0f0977…
10-29 20:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xc3f3d8…
10-29 20:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x8f4392…
10-29 20:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6ec5c9…
10-29 17:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x8582c6…
10-29 17:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0f5991…
10-29 17:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x2d7390…
10-29 17:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x30032d…
10-29 17:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x3f964a…
10-29 17:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xd5c5c5…
10-29 17:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xcc01a7…
10-29 17:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x2911a7…
10-29 17:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe64fa5…
10-29 17:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0x0b4378…
10-29 17:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4c22b4…
10-29 17:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x826f20…
10-29 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x713b7e…
10-29 17:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x8a8673…
10-29 17:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe7df0f…
10-29 17:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x5a7854…
10-29 17:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa5e930…
10-29 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0xc17bfe…
10-29 17:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x0f6c1a…
10-29 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0xa36a4b…
10-29 17:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xac2810…
10-29 17:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	87¢	$23	0x35313f…
10-29 17:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xb1c2a0…
10-29 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0x2b55d2…
10-29 17:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa6d507…
10-29 17:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x20d769…
10-29 17:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd51a3a…
10-29 16:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x51296b…
10-29 16:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4f9bf8…
10-29 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0xc31dc9…
10-29 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xa51a0b…
10-29 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x907e4c…
10-29 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x14c6d9…
10-29 16:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xadf164…
10-29 16:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 29?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2c3cfb…
10-29 16:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x9ce5b1…
10-29 16:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x500e9d…
10-29 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	86¢	$21	0x1b5c42…
10-29 16:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb26513…
10-29 16:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	105	21¢	$22	0x5277cc…
10-29 16:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xde666e…
10-29 16:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8e8314…
10-29 16:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	133	18¢	$24	0x72b4a4…
10-29 16:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x02a4a6…
10-29 16:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	57	48¢	$27	0x44cf81…
10-29 16:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xe3a597…
10-29 16:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0x53b5f5…
10-29 16:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7eceda…
10-29 16:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x400aeb…
10-29 16:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7e08e5…
10-29 16:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on October 30?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa7aa0b…
10-29 16:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on October 29?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x63dc57…
10-29 15:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xa8bac2…
10-29 15:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x04c113…
10-29 15:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xa546a7…
10-29 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xef6aa0…
10-29 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa531e3…
10-29 15:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xa1f152…
10-29 15:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	69	42¢	$29	0x83cb64…
10-29 15:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x7e0223…
10-29 15:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	58	54¢	$32	0x74023a…
10-29 15:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xd442eb…
10-29 15:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	56	42¢	$23	0x1a5af1…
10-29 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xc8d93b…
10-29 15:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x55031b…
10-29 15:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa0bfca…
10-29 15:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	87	30¢	$26	0xc5b099…
10-29 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x7a0078…
10-29 15:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xc96ead…
10-29 15:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x113dba…
10-29 15:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x8aad3a…
10-29 15:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x8f0762…
10-29 15:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	24	97¢	$24	0xb70883…
10-29 15:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xd67b78…
10-29 15:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	78	35¢	$27	0x1a410b…
10-29 15:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x4ff756…
10-29 15:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7569e9…
10-29 15:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x524408…
10-29 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	87	11¢	$10	0x8793dd…
10-29 15:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xdf19e9…
10-29 15:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	69	43¢	$30	0xd0423d…
10-29 15:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x9ba086…
10-29 15:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	56	44¢	$25	0xd84d38…
10-29 15:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x424dca…
10-29 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x4be191…
10-29 15:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x94e800…
10-29 15:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0xee6eef…
10-29 15:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x3c520a…
10-29 15:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x3a965f…
10-29 15:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x667987…
10-29 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x3e2b14…
10-29 15:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x807375…