Defensive-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$171

Unrealized P&L

-$139

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,900

Trades (90d)

5,305

21,004 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$80.3K

$601.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$94

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-31 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% +$6,238

Crypto

46% 83% -$3,491

Sports

1% 76% -$96

Politics

0% 100% +$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	+200	$81	30¢	$61	-$20	08-13 18:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+100	$18	20¢	$20	+$2	06-28 16:49
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	+100	$35	8¢	$8	-$26	07-02 23:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+1,070	$100	0¢	$5	-$94	07-03 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$165	03-29 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	23	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$22	06-16 05:07
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 34 35f	8	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$21	02-20 18:37
ethereum up or down march 13 1pm et	5	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$29	03-13 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 17c	5	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$6	03-15 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	40	$1.6K	813	899	-86	Yes	+$77	02-16 18:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 12:14
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	10	$1.6K	818	818	-0	No	+$53	03-02 13:46
solana up or down march 30 2026 4am et	39	$1.6K	802	801	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 08:51
ethereum up or down march 9 9am et	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$33	03-09 13:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	11	$1.6K	820	819	+2	No	-$14	04-10 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	36	$1.5K	799	799	+0	No	+$37	03-10 14:11
xrp up or down march 1 8am et	10	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 13:57
solana up or down march 9 1am et	13	$1.5K	734	734	+0	Up	+$15	03-09 05:56
solana up or down february 28 9am et	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$46	02-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	23	$1.3K	707	707	+0	No	-$10	05-16 18:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 15:59
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 68 69f	18	$1.3K	690	690	-0	No	+$24	02-16 21:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$278	05-04 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 7?	12	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
solana up or down march 1 9am et	11	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Down	+$10	03-01 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	17	$1.1K	842	842	+0	open	—	08-14 16:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	9	$1.1K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-07 14:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	17	$1.1K	1,107	545	+562	No	-$24	03-03 18:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 56 57f	10	$1.1K	528	578	-50	No	+$21	03-09 05:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$37	03-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	16	$1.1K	730	385	+345	No	+$53	08-17 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	17	$1.0K	659	431	+229	Yes	-$227	05-01 18:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 0c	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$17	03-03 17:01
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 11c	9	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$29	02-26 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcaa2d1…
10-31 15:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x652451…
10-31 15:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x82e0e0…
10-31 15:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x3c503f…
10-31 15:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2a79e9…
10-31 15:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x10c3c2…
10-31 15:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x717389…
10-31 15:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07bc8e…
10-31 15:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7fd4a3…
10-31 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x81d0c0…
10-31 15:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1e0fa6…
10-31 15:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xd336ed…
10-31 15:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on November 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6f275c…
10-31 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcb847d…
10-31 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on November 1?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7a6c2c…
10-31 15:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x47d14c…
10-31 14:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xda6368…
10-31 14:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4e8822…
10-31 14:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8ba576…
10-31 14:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbe8dbc…
10-31 14:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x2ec27a…
10-31 14:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2c5773…
10-31 14:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xd006a1…
10-31 14:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfe1636…
10-31 14:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x990f40…
10-31 13:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xb6aab2…
10-31 13:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe7e6ea…
10-31 13:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdf12ff…
10-31 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x656b67…
10-31 13:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8981d2…
10-31 13:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xae27ff…
10-31 13:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xe2921a…
10-31 13:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3e2aa8…
10-31 13:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x32c349…
10-31 13:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0xae6d15…
10-31 13:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x767546…
10-31 13:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa40386…
10-31 13:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb0c904…
10-31 13:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x7e26a5…
10-31 13:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xdb7ccd…
10-31 12:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd0fd41…
10-31 12:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 31?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xbf6073…
10-31 12:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0c5a11…
10-31 12:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xb3696c…
10-31 12:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x111730…
10-31 12:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf20cc7…
10-31 12:48:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xceec4a…
10-31 12:47:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x0f27fc…
10-31 12:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3899f4…
10-31 12:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xc4032d…
10-31 12:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x37df1b…
10-31 12:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc45331…
10-31 12:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x364e0e…
10-31 12:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x569c83…
10-31 12:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xd0babb…
10-31 12:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xe075b4…
10-31 12:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1b1eae…
10-31 12:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd74808…
10-31 12:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8fa31c…
10-31 12:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x644a6a…
10-31 12:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x2813fc…
10-31 12:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9ca3f9…
10-31 12:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xd4ba07…
10-31 12:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xffe29b…
10-31 12:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc9ec6e…
10-31 12:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5943a6…
10-31 12:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb64037…
10-31 12:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdd0e43…
10-31 12:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x43c1a7…
10-31 12:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x575871…
10-31 12:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xc76ed6…
10-31 12:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xea4f1f…
10-31 12:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3e8da0…
10-31 12:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 31?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1aaab6…
10-31 12:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24a4a6…
10-31 12:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x9e67bc…
10-31 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xef302b…
10-31 11:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9bee85…
10-31 11:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 31?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4aa3f6…
10-31 11:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 31?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf7f3a8…
10-31 10:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa581fe…
10-31 09:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0xce1cc3…
10-31 09:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x2624f3…
10-31 09:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3d8073…
10-31 09:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	67	97¢	$66	0xe547ce…
10-31 09:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x3bbaa4…
10-31 09:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xd837dd…
10-31 09:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x705d82…
10-31 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc15448…
10-31 08:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x8b0d79…
10-31 08:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x838349…
10-31 08:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x22452a…
10-31 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xd5b9a1…
10-31 08:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x510d0c…
10-31 08:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x413263…
10-31 08:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6da6ae…
10-31 07:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2fcdea…
10-31 04:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd4d0ff…
10-31 04:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbcbb69…
10-31 04:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x71bd70…