Defensive-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

-$134

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

7,635

Trades

21,316

lifetime

Volume

$607.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$100

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-01 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 250 days

Categories

Other

53% 83% +$6,033

Crypto

46% 82% -$3,472

Sports

1% 76% -$96

Politics

0% 100% +$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	+200	$81	34¢	$68	-$13	08-13 18:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+100	$18	18¢	$18	+$0	06-28 16:49
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	+100	$35	9¢	$9	-$26	07-02 23:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	+1,070	$100	0¢	$4	-$95	07-03 08:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$165	03-29 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	23	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$22	06-16 05:07
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 34 35f	8	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$21	02-20 18:37
ethereum up or down march 13 1pm et	5	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$29	03-13 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 17c	5	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$6	03-15 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	40	$1.6K	813	899	-86	Yes	+$77	02-16 18:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 12:14
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	10	$1.6K	818	818	-0	No	+$53	03-02 13:46
solana up or down march 30 2026 4am et	39	$1.6K	802	801	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 08:51
ethereum up or down march 9 9am et	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$33	03-09 13:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	11	$1.6K	820	819	+2	No	-$14	04-10 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	36	$1.5K	799	799	+0	No	+$37	03-10 14:11
xrp up or down march 1 8am et	10	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 13:57
solana up or down march 9 1am et	13	$1.5K	734	734	+0	Up	+$15	03-09 05:56
solana up or down february 28 9am et	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$46	02-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	23	$1.3K	707	707	+0	No	-$10	05-16 18:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 15:59
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 68 69f	18	$1.3K	690	690	-0	No	+$24	02-16 21:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$278	05-04 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 7?	12	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
solana up or down march 1 9am et	11	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Down	+$10	03-01 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	17	$1.1K	842	842	+0	open	—	08-14 16:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	9	$1.1K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-07 14:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	17	$1.1K	1,107	545	+562	No	-$24	03-03 18:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 56 57f	10	$1.1K	528	578	-50	No	+$21	03-09 05:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$37	03-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	16	$1.1K	730	385	+345	No	+$53	08-17 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	17	$1.0K	659	431	+229	Yes	-$227	05-01 18:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 0c	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$17	03-03 17:01
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 11c	9	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$29	02-26 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 12:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0xfc98f0…
11-01 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xf28b5e…
11-01 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xe51938…
11-01 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xbe19e8…
11-01 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb1f274…
11-01 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x91bd2e…
11-01 11:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x29bd7e…
11-01 11:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x09ae89…
11-01 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1eb79a…
11-01 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x537280…
11-01 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x67a53a…
11-01 11:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x1ab48a…
11-01 11:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe83050…
11-01 11:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x606a0b…
11-01 11:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeaf914…
11-01 11:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x86f045…
11-01 11:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x6fefcb…
11-01 11:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4588c3…
11-01 10:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc08f19…
11-01 10:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x1ac74f…
11-01 10:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4c6c8e…
11-01 10:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9dd637…
11-01 10:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcc40bb…
11-01 10:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xded0bb…
11-01 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x94cddf…
11-01 10:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaf5bb8…
11-01 10:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xe60939…
11-01 10:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xd628a7…
11-01 10:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x722d76…
11-01 10:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x7453e8…
11-01 10:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8b0b10…
11-01 10:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfdb035…
11-01 08:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaa9f33…
11-01 08:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x378005…
11-01 08:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd3ed81…
11-01 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x359df8…
11-01 08:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf25a77…
11-01 08:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x550057…
11-01 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfa1a6e…
11-01 08:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xfc654e…
11-01 08:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0be2d0…
11-01 08:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x857240…
11-01 08:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x786662…
11-01 08:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xdf64dd…
11-01 08:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x066622…
11-01 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x439cbd…
11-01 07:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8c64a2…
11-01 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1be8c1…
11-01 07:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x2ce1f8…
11-01 07:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x296f22…
11-01 07:51:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe9f644…
11-01 07:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9b04a9…
11-01 07:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on November 1?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x67db91…
11-01 07:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd82fe3…
11-01 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f264e…
11-01 06:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x47aa5e…
11-01 06:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 2?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x8ac7f4…
11-01 06:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x218750…
11-01 06:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xf99754…
11-01 06:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0f16f0…
11-01 06:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xad35ca…
11-01 06:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x620d91…
11-01 06:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 2?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x11d832…
11-01 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x67315e…
11-01 06:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd5f8ce…
11-01 06:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbfb1d5…
11-01 06:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x629f94…
11-01 06:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on November 1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4641fc…
11-01 06:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf9fbf1…
11-01 06:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on November 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb3299d…
11-01 06:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc979bb…
11-01 06:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8ba1be…
11-01 06:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdccf82…
11-01 06:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x7077e3…
11-01 06:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3cb7fd…
11-01 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x31b94f…
11-01 06:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x11ccbd…
11-01 06:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x670c92…
11-01 06:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 1?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9b2601…
11-01 06:12:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdffe05…
11-01 06:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xa1e88f…
11-01 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a51a7…
11-01 06:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf03987…
11-01 06:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x9ccbc4…
11-01 06:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x61b9e8…
11-01 06:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8f4e13…
11-01 06:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc787af…
11-01 06:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 2?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xe071d4…
11-01 06:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on November 1?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa97f28…
11-01 06:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x15d5a0…
11-01 06:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 1?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x484a16…
11-01 06:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5fc76f…
11-01 06:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x692a08…
11-01 06:01:21	highest temperature in seattle on november 2 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x86877d…
11-01 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x90d1a8…
11-01 06:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xbc00b8…
11-01 06:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x72e150…
11-01 05:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7e2235…
11-01 05:56:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa2bec7…
11-01 05:55:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x697c6f…