Defensive-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$125

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

8,233

Trades

22,801

lifetime

Volume

$625.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$26

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-05 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Other

52% 83% +$5,594

Crypto

46% 81% -$3,363

Sports

1% 76% -$96

Politics

0% 100% +$279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 783 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No		+100	$18	12¢	$12	-$6	06-28 16:49
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes		+100	$35	10¢	$10	-$25	07-02 23:03
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes		+1,070	$100	0¢	$3	-$96	07-03 08:41
BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	—	+0	-$2	1¢	$0	+$2	11-05 03:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	21	$3.2K	1,711	1,711	+0	No	+$165	03-29 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	23	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	-0	No	+$22	06-16 05:07
highest temperature in nyc on february 20 2026 34 35f	8	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$21	02-20 18:37
ethereum up or down march 13 1pm et	5	$1.8K	898	898	+0	Down	+$29	03-13 17:56
highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 17c	5	$1.8K	880	880	+0	No	+$6	03-15 21:33
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 64forhigher	40	$1.6K	813	899	-86	Yes	+$77	02-16 18:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$7	06-09 12:14
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 75forbelow	10	$1.6K	818	818	-0	No	+$53	03-02 13:46
solana up or down march 30 2026 4am et	39	$1.6K	802	801	+1	Up	+$6	03-30 08:51
ethereum up or down march 9 9am et	10	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Up	+$33	03-09 13:58
highest temperature in atlanta on april 10 2026 74 75f	11	$1.6K	820	819	+2	No	-$14	04-10 18:38
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 64 65f	36	$1.5K	799	799	+0	No	+$37	03-10 14:11
xrp up or down march 1 8am et	10	$1.5K	749	749	+0	Up	+$9	03-01 13:57
solana up or down march 9 1am et	13	$1.5K	734	734	+0	Up	+$15	03-09 05:56
solana up or down february 28 9am et	15	$1.4K	700	700	+0	Down	+$46	02-28 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?	23	$1.3K	707	707	+0	No	-$10	05-16 18:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 12:00 UTC	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	Up	+$55	03-13 15:59
highest temperature in dallas on february 16 2026 68 69f	18	$1.3K	690	690	-0	No	+$24	02-16 21:55
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$278	05-04 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 7?	12	$1.2K	596	596	+0	No	+$0	05-07 10:38
solana up or down march 1 9am et	11	$1.1K	570	570	+0	Down	+$10	03-01 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	17	$1.1K	842	842	+0	open	—	08-14 16:07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	9	$1.1K	661	661	+0	open	—	07-07 14:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 25corbelow	17	$1.1K	1,107	545	+562	No	-$24	03-03 18:05
highest temperature in seattle on march 8 2026 56 57f	10	$1.1K	528	578	-50	No	+$21	03-09 05:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 50 51f	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	No	+$37	03-11 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	16	$1.1K	730	385	+345	No	+$53	08-17 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?	17	$1.0K	659	431	+229	Yes	-$227	05-01 18:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 0c	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$17	03-03 17:01
highest temperature in london on february 27 2026 11c	9	$1.0K	1,061	0	+1,061	No	+$29	02-26 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:21:37	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x474bb1…
11-05 03:21:37	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x1e4a60…
11-05 03:21:34	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x42e416…
11-05 03:20:25	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x106c8e…
11-05 03:18:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x930f81…
11-05 03:18:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8baddb…
11-05 03:16:19	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x8beba2…
11-05 03:16:12	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0613b4…
11-05 03:15:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	69¢	$13	0x371e55…
11-05 03:15:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x67e829…
11-05 03:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x437122…
11-05 03:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x941fd7…
11-05 03:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7b29f2…
11-05 02:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0d7e2c…
11-05 02:57:09	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	89¢	$11	0xd16a89…
11-05 02:56:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5fc9da…
11-05 02:54:21	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8eaaa0…
11-05 02:54:04	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7091fe…
11-05 02:52:42	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x638845…
11-05 02:52:31	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x761332…
11-05 02:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xbefe07…
11-05 02:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb87671…
11-05 02:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x376296…
11-05 02:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x784256…
11-05 02:42:57	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe8893c…
11-05 02:42:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xebf9c9…
11-05 02:42:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x73389f…
11-05 02:42:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x324c00…
11-05 02:42:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x193151…
11-05 02:41:54	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdbb90c…
11-05 02:39:31	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x4fc1cc…
11-05 02:39:18	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xfd66d4…
11-05 02:38:43	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xfc9b56…
11-05 02:38:40	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4f3efc…
11-05 02:38:34	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x956c83…
11-05 02:38:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x980242…
11-05 02:38:21	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3bf132…
11-05 02:37:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc97c04…
11-05 02:36:58	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xbf1d63…
11-05 02:23:00	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0x6ff58f…
11-05 02:22:18	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1cf747…
11-05 02:16:25	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6f76e3…
11-05 02:14:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x7e2334…
11-05 02:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb0e044…
11-05 02:07:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x3ba2b7…
11-05 02:06:36	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x5703b1…
11-05 02:05:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x184e75…
11-05 02:05:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x3312a0…
11-05 02:03:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbdf9f3…
11-04 20:29:48	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x236802…
11-04 20:29:46	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd9adc3…
11-04 20:29:16	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x940dd6…
11-04 20:28:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$14	0x9863a1…
11-04 20:26:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbffb18…
11-04 20:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x49ee02…
11-04 20:19:28	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x580671…
11-04 20:18:45	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x88f45d…
11-04 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0x7fd387…
11-04 20:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd7bdb0…
11-04 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb7db40…
11-04 19:42:31	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x72b7ba…
11-04 19:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x62b5b4…
11-04 19:37:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xc791c7…
11-04 19:33:58	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xf33e45…
11-04 19:33:30	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7590e3…
11-04 19:29:00	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfbc1ca…
11-04 19:28:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x897327…
11-04 19:27:12	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0x931224…
11-04 19:26:01	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5322a7…
11-04 19:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x20e2e2…
11-04 19:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xce9241…
11-04 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4079a7…
11-04 19:07:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x3dd47c…
11-04 19:06:49	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6c86bf…
11-04 19:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4066fe…
11-04 18:59:06	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x6bb152…
11-04 18:58:52	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x412dec…
11-04 18:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xf1232e…
11-04 18:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x312a00…
11-04 18:57:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd7bb95…
11-04 18:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 4?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe84170…
11-04 18:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x6eefbb…
11-04 18:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfcdc20…
11-04 18:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf6268a…
11-04 18:31:52	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x102cad…
11-04 18:31:37	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb719e4…
11-04 18:31:37	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x815ca8…
11-04 18:31:37	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x5d9fc2…
11-04 18:31:09	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xce9021…
11-04 18:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x350019…
11-04 18:27:57	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x4237e2…
11-04 18:27:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9514f5…
11-04 18:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x57797e…
11-04 18:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3b31ef…
11-04 18:19:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfe3a05…
11-04 18:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xa657e6…
11-04 18:09:09	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0xcaff49…
11-04 18:07:55	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdfc56c…
11-04 18:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	62¢	$11	0x01c8ef…
11-04 18:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8b2e2c…