Prize-Senator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$371

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-06 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

38% 50% +$3

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$31	38	17	+21	open	—	05-23 22:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$22	37	13	+24	open	—	03-14 12:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$10	15	0	+15	No	+$5	04-27 21:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	3	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-06 09:33
will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	07-06 01:47
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	2	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	04-12 11:01
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$9	13	6	+7	open	—	05-24 00:30
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 22:25
will jean luc moudenc be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	4	$8	12	5	+7	open	—	03-11 12:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$8	13	7	+6	open	—	05-23 22:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-23 22:24
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	3	$8	7	5	+2	open	—	03-09 23:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-23 22:24
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	04-12 11:04
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	04-12 10:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-15 14:26
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	3	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	06-05 19:45
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	2	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-08 13:44
Nothing Ever Happens: May	3	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	05-24 01:00
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	05-24 00:46
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 11:26
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-12 11:21
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of march	2	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-06 14:24
f1 chinese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 15	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-15 07:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	3	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-15 14:14
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	07-07 19:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 16:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-24 02:00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-23 22:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 19:19:02	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xde9494…
07-06 01:47:17	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4e2049…
07-06 01:47:13	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x30d2d0…
07-06 01:47:07	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcba761…
07-06 01:46:58	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda9835…
06-21 14:01:04	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe5a0d4…
06-21 14:01:01	will shehbaz sharif attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204725	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xadc231…
06-21 13:58:41	will abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremonywill abbas araghchi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204723	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6c174e…
06-18 00:23:16	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x59e466…
06-08 04:01:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x609ab1…
06-05 19:45:00	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfe4135…
06-04 04:19:40	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdf5dce…
06-04 04:04:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x93c830…
06-03 06:39:53	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3e2030…
06-03 06:27:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf96c11…
06-02 23:24:15	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeccff7…
06-02 06:26:10	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7d7944…
06-02 06:05:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd2458c…
06-02 02:24:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9df69a…
06-01 14:40:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5cf85e…
06-01 14:39:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7b18ae…
06-01 13:05:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7a0d70…
05-24 02:00:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdcc3bc…
05-24 01:00:41	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd3fb07…
05-24 00:46:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8f445f…
05-24 00:43:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xecb62b…
05-24 00:30:35	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5db1e6…
05-23 23:16:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x8d2f85…
05-23 23:02:10	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x91ff9a…
05-23 23:01:51	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x754942…
05-23 22:59:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x27d72c…
05-23 22:55:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x858ab3…
05-23 22:47:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4aa11f…
05-23 22:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb46d7d…
05-23 22:28:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf417f5…
05-23 22:25:32	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd352f6…
05-23 22:25:17	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xeecd97…
05-23 22:25:04	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x37e9a4…
05-23 22:24:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xea0bec…
05-23 22:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x2ef5c8…
05-23 22:24:43	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb7e01d…
05-23 22:24:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8765a2…
05-23 22:24:21	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x97c247…
05-23 22:24:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x6b7448…
05-23 22:23:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x7d158f…
05-23 20:32:21	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x50b2d5…
05-16 04:17:13	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcd0d5e…
05-16 02:42:39	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x09cb03…
05-15 18:16:00	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeacbe9…
05-15 02:59:33	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xe59478…
05-15 02:56:17	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xdfd08e…
05-15 02:56:16	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x242149…
05-15 02:56:14	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf78591…
05-15 01:58:18	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd99800…
05-14 11:26:24	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3328c0…
05-14 11:01:10	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe55267…
05-14 10:51:43	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xae9952…
05-06 09:33:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x229e47…
05-06 06:31:20	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x57d400…
05-04 10:25:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x2cceaf…
05-04 10:01:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaa64ec…
05-04 07:51:36	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x15e08d…
05-04 02:44:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x307b47…
05-03 23:30:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9bf5f8…
05-03 22:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5c0af3…
05-03 22:39:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x88437a…
05-03 22:01:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x52d64d…
05-03 21:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xda4191…
05-03 01:51:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xf96afb…
04-27 21:58:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc93f43…
04-27 06:33:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7f02bf…
04-27 01:52:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd5c284…
04-25 09:53:54	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3c18a0…
04-21 15:03:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x36bbba…
04-21 13:27:22	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdec1f7…
04-21 12:48:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2734ef…
04-17 13:31:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc5be81…
04-15 20:50:48	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x099eb4…
04-15 16:27:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc307d3…
04-15 16:27:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe994da…
04-15 16:00:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x704263…
04-15 14:37:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x490451…
04-15 14:28:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x724907…
04-15 14:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb6a822…
04-15 14:26:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd35ca2…
04-15 14:14:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x83b0b9…
04-15 14:14:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x1a5ac4…
04-15 14:14:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1151d1…
04-15 14:12:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x984b4d…
04-15 14:01:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7c1860…
04-15 13:57:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x3c88f1…
04-14 20:47:00	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4316f6…
04-12 13:04:13	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9a8e0a…
04-12 11:21:49	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbabd92…
04-12 11:04:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6a3593…
04-12 11:01:29	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x819502…
04-12 10:58:29	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc9916e…
04-12 10:52:45	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xe205ae…
04-12 10:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0e3ffe…
04-12 10:47:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x00f381…