Realized P&L (30d)
+$17.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.90K
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved (30d)
4,932
Trades (30d)
11,418
170,670 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$763.9K
$5.03M lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$214.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 09:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 288 days
Categories
Other
60% 81% +$21,069
Politics
27% 83% +$12,175
Sports
8% 90% -$7,034
Crypto
3% 59% +$2,472
Tech
2% 81% +$4,417
Pop-Culture
0% 85% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 2249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +41,811 $29,104 66¢ $27.6K -$1,530 11-06 09:38
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +18,823 $18,770 100¢ $18.8K +$6 11-12 17:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +14,555 $11,657 97¢ $14.2K +$2,497 11-12 18:28
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +13,414 $13,384 100¢ $13.4K +$10 11-06 09:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +11,921 $11,714 99¢ $11.8K +$136 11-12 18:12
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10,439 $10,402 100¢ $10.4K -$15 11-06 11:40
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,573 $8,551 100¢ $9.5K +$994 11-05 16:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +26,795 $7,824 34¢ $9.2K +$1,420 11-06 07:09
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,218 $7,152 93¢ $6.7K -$429 10-11 00:06
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +6,727 $6,662 99¢ $6.7K +$28 10-11 15:51
Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? No +6,989 $6,333 93¢ $6.5K +$136 11-08 20:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,857 $6,732 91¢ $6.2K -$502 10-30 17:43
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5,851 $5,836 100¢ $5.8K +$7 11-05 16:42
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,581 $5,088 86¢ $5.7K +$584 10-11 10:50
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,794 $4,789 100¢ $4.8K -$2 09-10 04:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +4,896 $2,022 98¢ $4.8K +$2,754 11-04 13:23
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,222 $4,866 90¢ $4.7K -$142 10-06 21:41
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +4,579 $4,358 99¢ $4.5K +$192 10-11 15:51
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,570 $4,527 99¢ $4.5K +$8 09-27 00:11
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,157 $4,036 99¢ $4.1K +$88 11-12 06:06
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,898 $3,860 98¢ $3.8K -$42 10-08 21:42
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,857 $3,831 99¢ $3.8K -$22 10-06 21:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +3,758 $3,545 99¢ $3.7K +$188 09-11 23:30
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,705 $3,701 100¢ $3.7K +$0 09-11 23:07
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,589 $3,575 100¢ $3.6K +$8 09-10 04:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +29,349 $8,219 12¢ $3.4K -$4,844 11-12 18:12
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,298 $3,154 100¢ $3.3K +$141 09-27 00:11
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,325 $3,189 95¢ $3.2K -$22 09-27 00:14
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,328 $2,891 95¢ $3.2K +$262 09-27 00:14
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,115 $3,098 99¢ $3.1K -$7 10-30 17:34