Realized P&L (7d)
+$23.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.4K
Hit rate
80.5%
Resolved (7d)
1,870
Trades (7d)
4,464
169,261 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$380.3K
$4.89M lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$212.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-06 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 281 days
Categories
Other
60% 81% +$25,784
Politics
26% 84% +$12,161
Sports
8% 91% -$7,172
Crypto
3% 59% +$2,448
Tech
2% 80% +$4,320
Pop-Culture
0% 86% +$107
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 2249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +35,432 $17,469 98¢ $34.7K +$17,272 11-06 05:50
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +37,053 $25,901 68¢ $25.1K -$834 11-05 19:02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +9,573 $8,551 97¢ $9.3K +$778 11-05 16:20
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +23,429 $6,718 32¢ $7.5K +$780 11-05 14:58
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06? No +7,499 $7,264 99¢ $7.4K +$174 11-06 04:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7,422 $7,228 99¢ $7.4K +$123 10-16 09:09
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +7,004 $6,979 100¢ $7.0K +$14 10-19 11:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,857 $6,732 99¢ $6.8K +$88 10-30 17:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +20,349 $6,779 34¢ $6.8K +$38 11-06 04:15
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,218 $7,152 93¢ $6.7K -$429 10-11 00:06
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +6,727 $6,662 99¢ $6.7K -$5 10-11 15:51
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,581 $5,088 91¢ $6.0K +$910 10-11 10:50
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5,851 $5,836 100¢ $5.8K +$7 11-05 16:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +5,603 $5,313 99¢ $5.6K +$259 11-05 14:05
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +5,490 $5,472 98¢ $5.4K -$94 10-19 11:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,268 $5,242 100¢ $5.2K -$1 11-06 04:15
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? No +4,990 $4,593 100¢ $5.0K +$372 11-05 09:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +4,896 $2,022 98¢ $4.8K +$2,791 11-04 13:23
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,794 $4,789 100¢ $4.8K -$2 09-10 04:27
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,222 $4,866 91¢ $4.8K -$105 10-06 21:41
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +4,579 $4,358 99¢ $4.6K +$196 10-11 15:51
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +4,570 $4,527 99¢ $4.5K +$4 09-27 00:11
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +4,191 $4,177 100¢ $4.2K +$9 09-30 21:08
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,016 $3,989 100¢ $4.0K +$22 10-16 11:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5,953 $4,070 66¢ $4.0K -$111 10-14 13:40
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +3,898 $3,860 98¢ $3.8K -$22 10-08 21:42
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,857 $3,831 99¢ $3.8K -$22 10-06 21:41
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +3,758 $3,545 99¢ $3.7K +$173 09-11 23:30
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,705 $3,701 100¢ $3.7K -$2 09-11 23:07
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,589 $3,575 100¢ $3.6K +$6 09-10 04:28