Realized P&L
+$118
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved
47
Trades
86
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$183
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 10-26 22:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
38% 52% -$17
Politics
32% 50% +$64
Sports
26% 57% +$67
Tech
5% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +39 $22 90¢ $35 +$13 09-24 19:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +52 $25 57¢ $30 +$5 10-06 12:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +49 $15 44¢ $21 +$6 07-22 18:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +53 $25 39¢ $21 -$4 10-13 16:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +25 $20 82¢ $20 +$0 10-13 16:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +87 $20 18¢ $16 -$4 07-01 09:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +14 $10 62¢ $8 -$2 10-19 22:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +14 $5 56¢ $8 +$3 10-19 22:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $25 16¢ $7 -$17 06-04 19:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +31 $4 18¢ $5 +$1 10-06 12:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16 $5 28¢ $4 -$1 10-13 16:39
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +19 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 07-20 10:57
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $5 10¢ $2 -$3 10-19 22:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +16 $5 11¢ $2 -$3 10-13 16:39