Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
86.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
152
lifetime
Volume
$322
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$6
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 07-21 10:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$31
Other
43% 50% +$1
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +5 $1 35¢ $2 +$0 07-02 12:59
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 07-13 05:47
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-07 13:08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-12 22:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 05-30 01:28