Realized P&L (30d)
+$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.35K
Hit rate
85.6%
Resolved (30d)
151
Trades (30d)
1,114
3,627 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.27M
$3.27M lifetime
Avg / trade
$901
Open exposure
$277.0K
10 positions
First seen
2026-08-01
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Politics
62% 96% -$3,042
Other
31% 96% +$7,929
Tech
4% 100% +$4,155
Crypto
1% 100% +$101
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$34
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +150,603 $127,143 80¢ $119.7K -$7,414 10-23 12:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +73,741 $73,433 99¢ $73.0K -$429 10-28 23:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,679 $20,281 96¢ $31.5K +$11,254 10-29 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +37,243 $26,448 74¢ $27.7K +$1,299 10-28 22:07
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,384 $8,349 99¢ $10.3K +$1,932 10-28 05:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,453 $7,882 99¢ $8.4K +$508 10-28 07:36
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3,974 $2,948 84¢ $3.3K +$370 09-23 19:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,878 $1,350 100¢ $1.9K +$519 10-19 18:22
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +32,679 $13,430 4¢ $1.1K -$12,287 10-19 17:27
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,083 $124 2¢ $19 -$105 10-03 03:08