Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$43.5K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
15
4,043 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$29.1K
$3.98M lifetime
Avg / trade
$985
Open exposure
$299.6K
11 positions
First seen
2026-08-01
last 11-12 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
62% 95% +$46,701
Other
33% 96% +$12,846
Tech
3% 100% +$4,155
Crypto
1% 100% +$101
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$34
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +150,603 $127,143 92¢ $139.3K +$12,165 10-23 12:30
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +39,955 $32,034 95¢ $38.0K +$5,983 11-08 16:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +40,043 $28,520 90¢ $36.2K +$7,720 11-01 21:15
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? Yes +33,337 $26,880 100¢ $33.3K +$6,407 11-12 11:48
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +23,299 $18,766 99¢ $23.2K +$4,405 11-04 07:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +17,269 $10,864 82¢ $14.2K +$3,383 11-06 21:06
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3,974 $2,948 94¢ $3.7K +$768 09-23 19:59
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 30, 2026? Yes +3,333 $2,266 100¢ $3.3K +$1,063 11-12 13:42
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +5,062 $2,546 58¢ $2.9K +$390 11-07 18:54
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,750 $2,231 99¢ $2.7K +$504 11-04 07:51
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +2,600 $1,881 99¢ $2.6K +$694 11-04 07:42