Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.88K

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

415

3,627 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$604.3K

$3.27M lifetime

Avg / trade

$901

Open exposure

$278.5K

10 positions

First seen

2026-08-01

last 10-29 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Politics

62% 96% -$3,042

Other

31% 96% +$7,929

Tech

4% 100% +$4,155

Crypto

1% 100% +$101

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$34

Sports

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+150,603	$127,143	80¢	$121.2K	-$5,908	10-23 12:30
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+73,741	$73,433	99¢	$73.0K	-$429	10-28 23:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+37,243	$26,448	74¢	$27.7K	+$1,299	10-28 22:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+32,679	$20,281	82¢	$27.0K	+$6,679	10-29 17:52
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+10,384	$8,349	99¢	$10.3K	+$1,932	10-28 05:49
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+8,453	$7,882	99¢	$8.4K	+$525	10-28 07:36
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	No	+32,679	$13,430	18¢	$5.7K	-$7,712	10-19 17:27
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+3,974	$2,948	84¢	$3.3K	+$370	09-23 19:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+1,878	$1,350	97¢	$1.8K	+$472	10-19 18:22
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+1,083	$124	2¢	$18	-$106	10-03 03:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	329	$186.8K	186,239	35,636	+150,603	open	—	10-23 12:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	116	$144.6K	129,975	15,000	+114,975	Yes	+$331	09-03 16:18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	131	$92.2K	87,486	34,843	+52,643	Yes	+$10,149	09-16 12:10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	83	$81.1K	84,815	19,977	+64,838	No	+$4,775	10-25 23:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	27	$79.6K	68,469	18,000	+50,469	Yes	+$4,351	10-27 07:20
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	27	$73.4K	73,741	0	+73,741	open	—	10-28 23:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	44	$70.9K	61,208	31,199	+30,009	Yes	+$1,367	10-25 22:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	13	$70.5K	54,067	54,067	+0	open	—	10-28 06:23
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	30	$63.1K	32,696	32,696	+0	Yes	+$2,086	09-09 21:31
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	31	$57.6K	65,426	435	+64,991	Yes	-$14,420	10-16 18:12
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	62	$57.1K	59,220	0	+59,220	Yes	+$2,118	09-20 14:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	19	$54.9K	76,905	11,548	+65,358	open	—	10-29 17:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	4	$40.3K	41,576	0	+41,576	No	+$1,242	09-20 04:45
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	23	$40.1K	43,011	0	+43,011	No	+$2,887	09-30 23:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	25	$39.6K	26,202	26,202	+0	open	—	10-29 17:54
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?	13	$38.5K	19,360	19,360	+0	Yes	+$108	09-03 21:48
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	18	$38.3K	40,495	40,026	+468	No	-$37,638	08-30 20:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	2	$36.3K	36,472	0	+36,472	Yes	+$163	10-09 17:01
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	36	$35.8K	35,866	0	+35,866	No	+$36	10-01 00:34
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	42	$34.5K	34,548	0	+34,548	Yes	+$35	10-05 07:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	93	$33.6K	36,713	10,264	+26,449	Yes	+$3,146	10-26 00:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	26	$32.0K	32,047	0	+32,047	Yes	+$85	09-21 07:25
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	46	$31.5K	20,614	18,637	+1,977	Yes	-$2,293	10-25 22:31
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?	21	$31.0K	31,074	0	+31,074	Yes	+$105	09-01 18:28
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	11	$30.0K	17,951	17,951	+0	open	—	10-20 12:29
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?	44	$28.2K	28,504	0	+28,504	Yes	+$271	09-02 16:51
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	2	$27.8K	27,784	0	+27,784	No	+$34	08-31 22:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	4	$26.4K	37,243	0	+37,243	open	—	10-28 22:07
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	4	$26.3K	27,824	0	+27,824	Yes	+$1,504	08-22 00:20
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	4	$26.3K	26,412	0	+26,412	No	+$98	10-14 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:54:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20,683	96¢	$19,915	0x1debf6…
10-29 17:52:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	11,199	94¢	$10,491	0x2047b4…
10-29 17:51:37	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	17,000	68¢	$11,560	0xf04f3a…
10-29 17:51:35	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,000	69¢	$11,730	0x7da4aa…
10-28 23:54:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11,815	100¢	$11,779	0x08f94d…
10-28 23:54:07	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xddc8c9…
10-28 23:54:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8b8bd1…
10-28 23:53:49	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,405	100¢	$1,399	0x614c4a…
10-28 23:42:43	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,854	99¢	$1,836	0x7f8300…
10-28 23:29:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	19,607	100¢	$19,529	0x7f9047…
10-28 23:06:28	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc86b78…
10-28 23:06:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x5507ed…
10-28 23:05:19	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	761	99¢	$757	0xc3dc69…
10-28 23:05:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x06df35…
10-28 23:04:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x456bed…
10-28 23:04:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	12,037	99¢	$11,972	0x65d07c…
10-28 22:07:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,513	70¢	$5,959	0x844b4d…
10-28 22:06:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,065	70¢	$7,052	0x54a42c…
10-28 22:05:26	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8,561	72¢	$6,161	0xfea935…
10-28 21:47:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,887	100¢	$1,880	0x0e6f90…
10-28 21:46:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99554a…
10-28 21:46:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	8,444	100¢	$8,410	0x040106…
10-28 21:37:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,105	72¢	$7,276	0x2756c3…
10-28 21:36:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,084	0x0841b6…
10-28 21:30:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	966	100¢	$962	0x40fbbb…
10-28 21:27:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x2ceb10…
10-28 21:24:43	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$221	0x5bc9ea…
10-28 21:14:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x1f44e0…
10-28 21:13:16	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,074	0x2c248a…
10-28 21:12:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x61ed54…
10-28 21:07:25	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x203bd3…
10-28 21:04:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,407	100¢	$1,401	0x6729a6…
10-28 21:04:31	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0xbf8133…
10-28 20:59:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,113	100¢	$1,109	0xc3620e…
10-28 20:57:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5,167	100¢	$5,151	0x34c66f…
10-28 10:05:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	392	99¢	$388	0x83aaa3…
10-28 10:05:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	98¢	$402	0x98fb9b…
10-28 07:36:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,900	92¢	$2,674	0xdfd683…
10-28 07:22:37	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	640	96¢	$611	0x8dadbf…
10-28 07:22:05	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	260	96¢	$248	0xd334e0…
10-28 06:57:40	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0xfaa92f…
10-28 06:30:40	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0xe69722…
10-28 06:23:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x32c99d…
10-28 06:22:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x91aeb4…
10-28 06:22:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6398c2…
10-28 06:22:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	54,005	57¢	$30,800	0x564317…
10-28 06:22:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x38b817…
10-28 06:22:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x0e4be8…
10-28 05:49:35	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,174	93¢	$3,862	0x96bfd5…
10-28 01:19:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	211	50¢	$105	0x7cd0c4…
10-28 01:07:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xb4d7cb…
10-28 01:02:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x8673f4…
10-28 01:02:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	4,834	50¢	$2,417	0x26c4e8…
10-28 01:02:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	1,950	69¢	$1,338	0xbb3261…
10-28 00:47:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	133	86¢	$114	0x209a2a…
10-28 00:47:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	133	86¢	$114	0x1c8534…
10-28 00:47:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x064c86…
10-28 00:47:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xece2bf…
10-28 00:47:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	450	86¢	$387	0x953b69…
10-28 00:47:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb3505c…
10-28 00:47:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	211	86¢	$181	0x99f6c7…
10-28 00:47:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	90	86¢	$77	0x8320a9…
10-28 00:47:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	643	86¢	$553	0xeabd1e…
10-28 00:22:57	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	452	87¢	$391	0xd139bd…
10-28 00:22:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,944	93¢	$3,666	0xd4a583…
10-28 00:08:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,076	65¢	$2,650	0x276799…
10-27 19:59:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,215	79¢	$1,740	0xc19586…
10-27 19:59:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4c9ffe…
10-27 19:58:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x69b3b2…
10-27 19:58:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,181	75¢	$886	0x3db4d3…
10-27 19:55:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	280	75¢	$210	0xbb3452…
10-27 19:55:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	334	75¢	$251	0x2b30dd…
10-27 07:20:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,749	94¢	$2,576	0x6d365c…
10-27 06:27:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	50,000	73¢	$36,500	0x104f8c…
10-27 06:05:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,527	94¢	$4,246	0xf2ee9c…
10-27 05:59:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	94¢	$1,874	0xf280c3…
10-27 05:16:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,629	94¢	$3,405	0xd038da…
10-27 02:12:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	210	94¢	$197	0x6a00ec…
10-27 02:12:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5e07d6…
10-27 02:12:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	335	94¢	$315	0xca5ab8…
10-27 02:11:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	972	94¢	$913	0x1860ff…
10-27 02:11:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21,132	94¢	$19,863	0xd839f5…
10-27 02:11:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14,815	94¢	$13,896	0xbb8bbc…
10-27 02:00:24	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	8,998	100¢	$8,989	0xaf5a38…
10-27 02:00:23	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,132	100¢	$2,130	0xdaa985…
10-27 01:46:35	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0x4cec8e…
10-27 01:46:30	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	610	99¢	$603	0xe895f4…
10-27 01:43:54	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x5fe5e7…
10-27 01:43:20	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	3,632	99¢	$3,596	0xedd0d9…
10-27 01:43:15	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2,222	99¢	$2,200	0x746cb0…
10-27 01:35:41	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,089	99¢	$1,078	0x5cc754…
10-27 01:35:41	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2e62b7…
10-27 01:35:39	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x22216f…
10-26 00:06:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdedc81…
10-25 23:42:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,550	97¢	$1,500	0x733711…
10-25 23:23:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	768	90¢	$688	0xc63c8d…
10-25 23:22:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	13,967	89¢	$12,431	0x617287…
10-25 23:22:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xc3b4d9…
10-25 23:22:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x3a675f…
10-25 23:22:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xe828de…