Phony-Rip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$127

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-06 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

47% 100% +$4

Other

25% 100% +$7

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		-2	$-2	86¢	$-2	$-0	07-06 12:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-10 20:58
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-10 11:33
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 15:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$3	5	4	+0	open	—	04-28 14:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 11:25
will bitcoin dip to 64k june 1 7 2026	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 21:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 12:30
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-26 20:39
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 13:13
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$3	7	0	+7	Yes	+$4	04-26 20:50
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-24 12:15
will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	07-06 12:39
will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 06:58
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 12:46
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 12:52
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 12:49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-27 21:10
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	+$7	04-27 21:11
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 21:13
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	06-28 02:38
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	07-06 12:38
will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-28 02:41
will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-28 02:42
will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-28 02:48
will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-28 02:48
will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-28 02:42
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	06-28 02:47
will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-28 02:48
will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	06-28 02:45
will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	06-28 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 12:39:47	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x67f1fa…
07-06 12:38:22	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xebfb94…
07-04 07:00:11	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xbdad54…
07-04 06:58:44	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf0ebd6…
06-28 02:48:59	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xd5db07…
06-28 02:48:35	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x7e98d3…
06-28 02:48:16	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x84672b…
06-28 02:47:46	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa2a179…
06-28 02:45:16	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x5383db…
06-28 02:44:41	will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x5d74a7…
06-28 02:43:44	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x66d8e5…
06-28 02:43:41	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xb28733…
06-28 02:43:35	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x7df00f…
06-28 02:42:47	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xbb72d6…
06-28 02:42:34	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xf0b38f…
06-28 02:41:55	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xa45121…
06-28 02:38:59	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x781db2…
06-28 02:29:46	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x99145e…
06-24 13:05:05	will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3cb4f…
06-24 13:03:35	will frenkie de jong score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfbb1ad…
06-24 12:56:53	will bernardo silva score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7e3f7c…
06-24 12:55:44	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x506565…
06-24 12:55:13	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x19ebfd…
06-24 12:54:37	will tijjani reijnders score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf9de6f…
06-24 12:51:58	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd76e9d…
06-24 12:51:17	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xab90c0…
06-24 12:50:32	will switzerland reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120740	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x211c6f…
06-24 12:50:22	will colombia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120776	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7ca1be…
06-24 12:49:43	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdc2c7d…
06-24 12:46:43	will norway reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120769	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa6d80d…
06-24 12:44:59	will ghana reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120782	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe47b85…
06-24 12:32:55	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45aa2f…
06-24 12:32:31	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x92c692…
06-24 12:30:50	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xab1cbc…
06-24 12:26:34	Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6feba…
06-24 12:25:23	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc71e4d…
06-24 12:15:56	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xd17cca…
06-14 13:50:24	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7dfef6…
06-14 13:48:48	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x038402…
06-14 13:48:09	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xebf331…
06-14 13:48:03	will mexico reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120735	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9b56f2…
06-14 13:47:45	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbb065f…
06-14 13:47:27	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x491e77…
06-14 13:47:21	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbf667f…
06-14 13:47:13	will uruguay reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120764	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xeda33b…
06-14 13:47:09	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf57010…
06-14 13:46:57	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfd138a…
06-14 13:29:15	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x431bb2…
06-14 13:28:36	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2199d6…
06-10 11:33:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xd7acd1…
06-07 21:16:30	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdd5665…
06-05 16:14:49	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x453499…
06-05 16:14:45	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x96c470…
06-05 16:14:40	will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6ab167…
06-05 16:14:10	will portugal reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134507	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1d7e93…
06-05 16:13:54	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x78778f…
06-05 16:13:42	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0c1537…
06-05 16:13:03	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf0c40d…
06-05 16:11:45	will netherlands reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149729	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x973e25…
06-05 16:11:12	will portugal reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149749	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6c3b8c…
06-05 16:11:01	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x245484…
06-05 16:10:48	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf34ce9…
06-05 15:10:46	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x6ca803…
06-03 21:27:06	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc3cc89…
06-03 21:25:03	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x786134…
06-03 21:24:54	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x13c7d5…
06-03 21:21:55	will bitcoin dip to 64k june 1 7 2026	Yes	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xa8bd75…
06-02 21:32:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x961cf5…
06-02 21:30:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x02597e…
06-02 21:29:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x95030d…
06-02 21:29:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc45df0…
06-02 21:29:06	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa54168…
05-18 14:04:57	Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x38032f…
05-10 20:58:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xcca070…
05-01 22:40:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf52758…
05-01 22:40:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x24736c…
05-01 22:39:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4a225e…
05-01 22:37:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0734d8…
05-01 22:36:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x28780a…
04-29 21:42:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x93312d…
04-29 21:38:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc42ee0…
04-29 11:25:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xc8117f…
04-28 21:20:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,700 in May?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x28b9e1…
04-28 21:08:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdde0d4…
04-28 14:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x3172ef…
04-28 13:09:52	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4c5043…
04-27 21:59:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4c48dc…
04-27 21:57:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0c8ed7…
04-27 21:56:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5c8995…
04-27 21:24:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcbf9f3…
04-27 21:23:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf084e5…
04-27 21:13:00	Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb77a93…
04-27 21:11:18	Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x52e70c…
04-27 21:10:42	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xeda057…
04-27 12:52:32	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe9ccdd…
04-27 12:49:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xae44d5…
04-27 12:46:36	Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb7f79c…
04-27 12:30:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xfbfa85…
04-26 20:50:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x65eb42…
04-26 20:39:48	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x2900f3…