Rude-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-08 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 70% +$323

Politics

27% — —

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	4	$632	783	783	+0	Yes	+$332	05-08 17:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	7	$357	391	391	+0	open	—	05-17 15:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$273	179	179	+0	Yes	+$73	05-05 13:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	3	$257	401	294	+106	open	—	05-14 13:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	5	$243	257	257	+0	No	$-77	05-06 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	2	$232	133	133	+0	open	—	05-03 15:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	2	$227	159	159	+0	open	—	05-02 10:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	2	$219	119	119	+0	No	+$19	05-05 16:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$213	116	116	+0	open	—	05-11 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	2	$212	112	112	+0	Yes	+$12	05-05 13:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$209	111	111	+0	open	—	05-11 12:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	05-31 08:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$207	109	109	+0	open	—	05-31 08:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$205	116	116	-0	open	—	05-31 20:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	05-11 18:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	2	$187	113	113	+0	open	—	05-04 05:21
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$158	85	85	+0	open	—	05-31 08:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$146	243	0	+243	open	—	04-25 19:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$125	146	0	+146	open	—	04-20 10:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	2	$110	100	100	+0	No	+$90	05-07 17:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	3	$108	194	172	+21	open	—	06-03 05:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	05-17 13:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	$-100	05-13 05:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	05-14 16:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	05-11 18:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	5	$94	2,637	2,622	+15	open	—	03-01 21:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$86	67	67	+0	open	—	02-28 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	4	$84	292	292	+0	No	$-36	05-11 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	3	$70	150	125	+25	open	—	05-16 11:16
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	2	$67	53	53	+0	open	—	01-27 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:09:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0x396146…
06-08 20:08:31	bitcoin above 64k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xca7861…
06-03 05:39:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x853c80…
06-02 21:18:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x01352a…
06-02 21:16:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	172	57¢	$98	0x355215…
06-01 21:02:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xa99f14…
06-01 21:01:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x084eb2…
05-31 20:34:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	90¢	$105	0x15a706…
05-31 09:10:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x7c2a19…
05-31 08:21:01	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xfc5139…
05-31 08:20:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xd0591d…
05-31 08:19:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0x2cca64…
05-29 19:03:11	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x0ab1a4…
05-29 19:01:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7547a4…
05-29 19:00:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xee4214…
05-27 20:36:48	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xcff9e3…
05-27 20:16:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x82bd19…
05-17 15:49:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	165	22¢	$36	0xbf5315…
05-17 15:43:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x8ff157…
05-17 15:27:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	190	44¢	$83	0x59f2e2…
05-17 15:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	127	55¢	$70	0xa61589…
05-17 13:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x46fc51…
05-17 13:40:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x45da3a…
05-17 08:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	75	34¢	$26	0xd42f1f…
05-16 17:02:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xbde2c3…
05-16 11:16:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd79ded…
05-16 11:15:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	125	40¢	$50	0x40d28e…
05-15 18:43:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x899992…
05-14 16:41:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x8c8b61…
05-14 16:41:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x201c77…
05-14 15:16:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	750	1¢	$8	0x7a8007…
05-14 13:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x7d14b4…
05-14 13:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	294	36¢	$107	0x187246…
05-13 17:32:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x60db82…
05-13 05:33:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd74e00…
05-11 18:06:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xac9f6c…
05-11 18:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xb59171…
05-11 14:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x8df956…
05-11 13:13:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe410c1…
05-11 13:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9944c8…
05-11 13:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	209	11¢	$23	0x3b61b5…
05-11 12:53:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	116	97¢	$113	0xa681e7…
05-11 12:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	111	98¢	$109	0x0b179a…
05-10 14:35:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xcee3d4…
05-10 14:34:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x82faeb…
05-10 14:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x09ddc3…
05-08 17:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xf0e140…
05-08 15:45:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xc9b229…
05-08 15:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	667	55¢	$365	0x9ae2c5…
05-08 15:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xa2cca2…
05-07 17:57:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x575561…
05-07 10:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfec1b4…
05-06 14:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x11b559…
05-06 14:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0x4d2355…
05-06 10:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x7fb512…
05-06 10:45:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	162	37¢	$60	0x82437c…
05-05 20:22:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xb57405…
05-05 16:50:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0x7e7ffc…
05-05 13:59:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc06729…
05-05 13:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0x6e4488…
05-05 13:32:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x064dc5…
05-04 17:08:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xa4dd82…
05-04 17:06:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x75690e…
05-04 05:21:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	113	95¢	$107	0x0e6fad…
05-03 15:15:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	113	71¢	$80	0xa0ab28…
05-03 15:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0xa58c70…
05-02 19:02:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xd63b2e…
05-02 10:51:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	159	80¢	$127	0x3942ce…
05-02 10:51:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$3	0x3d20ef…
05-01 16:33:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x91e776…
05-01 16:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0xb90828…
04-25 19:57:12	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	243	60¢	$146	0x17cc20…
04-20 10:11:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	146	86¢	$125	0x015909…
04-13 06:05:33	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0xd6077e…
03-30 09:07:48	will hungarian two tailed dog party magyar ktfark kutya prt mkkp win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	17	19¢	$3	0x4f0fa9…
03-30 09:07:32	will our homeland movement mi haznk win at least one seat in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3813d3…
03-30 09:03:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x542e56…
03-30 09:03:22	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe1cc46…
03-06 20:11:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x29fe56…
03-06 06:30:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	SELL	21	11¢	$2	0x1687eb…
03-04 20:53:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xc078d6…
03-04 20:49:27	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x9e06bb…
03-04 20:34:37	btc updown 5m 1772656200	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xad8bb9…
03-04 20:15:59	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	23	80¢	$19	0x8dd01f…
03-03 05:23:41	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1c0b53…
03-03 05:20:15	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1d12e1…
03-03 05:10:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xcf58e5…
03-03 05:10:35	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xce99ee…
03-01 22:08:49	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x5644de…
03-01 21:26:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2ae395…
03-01 21:10:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x98ae12…
03-01 21:08:17	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x1631da…
03-01 21:08:11	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x43ef50…
03-01 21:05:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6b393c…
03-01 21:01:45	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4d550a…
03-01 13:17:13	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x4a1f23…
03-01 13:16:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0xc99481…
03-01 13:16:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	57	0¢	$0	0xfeecea…
03-01 13:16:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0xe11cfe…
02-28 20:51:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x0783bd…