Occasional-Flexibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$356

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,669

lifetime

Volume

$800.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$171

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 0% $-27

Crypto

27% 38% $-329

Other

25% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	64	$70.7K	52,493	47,493	+5,000	open	—	02-02 23:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	71	$42.2K	31,754	25,734	+6,020	open	—	03-02 20:56
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$24.4K	22,646	22,641	+5	open	—	06-03 00:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$21.2K	11,092	11,092	+0	open	—	02-01 06:37
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$16.8K	8,500	8,500	+0	open	—	05-21 19:24
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	47	$14.9K	27,473	27,473	+0	open	—	04-03 15:39
bitboy convicted	18	$14.4K	15,034	6,305	+8,728	open	—	03-31 20:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	31	$14.3K	9,869	9,869	+0	open	—	04-24 17:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	69	$14.2K	15,638	5,654	+9,984	open	—	05-16 01:17
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	23	$14.0K	13,360	13,360	+0	open	—	01-30 00:50
will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	9	$13.8K	10,100	10,095	+5	open	—	07-01 02:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	30	$13.4K	8,174	8,174	+0	open	—	05-04 14:10
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$13.0K	6,700	6,700	+0	open	—	01-23 10:00
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	41	$12.1K	8,100	8,100	+0	open	—	03-29 19:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	7	$12.0K	0	14,733	-14,733	open	—	01-25 00:11
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	35	$11.1K	7,486	7,012	+474	open	—	02-15 14:55
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$10.1K	7,930	6,430	+1,500	open	—	03-28 03:55
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	12	$10.1K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	04-09 16:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$9.5K	12,600	11,800	+800	open	—	02-28 07:10
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$9.5K	5,719	5,719	+0	open	—	03-16 22:22
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	4	$9.3K	10,397	10,397	+0	open	—	02-28 06:59
Iran leadership change by April 30?	3	$9.3K	6,340	6,340	+0	open	—	03-31 16:36
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$9.1K	4,637	4,637	+0	open	—	02-02 23:05
eth updown 15m 1770696900	155	$8.2K	4,361	4,361	+0	open	—	02-10 04:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	45	$8.1K	17,831	12,831	+5,000	open	—	05-30 10:02
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	22	$7.8K	5,395	5,395	+0	open	—	06-11 18:27
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	11	$7.5K	4,310	4,310	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	36	$7.5K	9,427	9,427	+0	open	—	03-04 12:24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$7.5K	6,489	6,489	+0	open	—	02-26 19:23
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$7.5K	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	03-27 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 12:22:54	atp grieksp arnaldi 2026 08 07	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	150	63¢	$94	0x229902…
08-07 12:22:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0xb2da30…
08-03 20:45:15	isl1 val stj 2026 08 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	95	67¢	$64	0x17e013…
08-03 20:45:02	isl1 val stj 2026 08 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8155d7…
08-03 20:41:23	atp assche droguet 2026 08 02	Titouan Droguet	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x38f3b5…
08-03 20:38:53	atp assche droguet 2026 08 02	Titouan Droguet	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0x412653…
08-03 20:38:47	atp assche droguet 2026 08 02	Titouan Droguet	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xb272ab…
08-03 20:38:47	atp assche droguet 2026 08 02	Titouan Droguet	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5ed762…
08-02 00:20:11	mlb pit cin 2026 08 01 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xe81bbf…
07-31 19:31:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	814	1¢	$8	0x1e143e…
07-31 17:45:00	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	234	62¢	$144	0x7470d9…
07-31 17:33:24	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	580	67¢	$390	0xbb4a9c…
07-31 17:19:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	1,477	8¢	$118	0x9922fa…
07-31 15:53:23	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,477	8¢	$118	0xdcc178…
07-31 07:03:33	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	2,000	8¢	$160	0xa4fe28…
07-31 06:33:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	2,000	7¢	$140	0x2bd1c1…
07-31 05:42:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,300	77¢	$1,001	0xcda7a9…
07-27 13:59:54	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0xc7b846…
07-20 15:59:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,500	35¢	$525	0xd1fe93…
07-17 00:37:59	will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	No	BUY	911	8¢	$73	0x8b16bd…
07-12 20:30:34	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xdf7b18…
07-12 19:04:52	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1aaec3…
07-12 16:07:28	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x175e7b…
07-12 15:04:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x2d0fc0…
07-12 14:53:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x126c06…
07-12 14:39:17	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0xa43899…
07-12 13:54:59	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xdd743d…
07-12 12:59:32	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xb10301…
07-12 12:07:10	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xb04124…
07-12 10:41:43	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x260787…
07-12 10:41:37	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x0de129…
07-12 10:23:56	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$8	0x4551ed…
07-12 09:24:50	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	350	43¢	$150	0x16c229…
07-12 04:43:05	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x83f9e7…
07-12 03:02:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	700	72¢	$504	0xd11380…
07-12 03:02:25	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x8d6c59…
07-12 02:54:44	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	300	71¢	$213	0x57e8e9…
07-12 02:52:13	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	500	18¢	$92	0xcd8af0…
07-11 15:03:16	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x5ee108…
07-07 18:34:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,272	32¢	$401	0x98bfd2…
07-07 03:55:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,000	80¢	$800	0x5bba92…
07-07 02:25:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0x51915e…
07-07 02:11:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1,996	26¢	$528	0x53b34c…
07-07 02:00:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,000	38¢	$380	0xa97932…
07-07 00:15:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x5759e4…
07-07 00:13:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0x431eb7…
07-07 00:13:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	351	31¢	$109	0x17bd62…
07-07 00:11:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,040	69¢	$718	0x1e7b34…
07-04 19:44:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	713	30¢	$214	0xd9cf4d…
07-04 19:29:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6eb940…
07-04 19:29:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4d6782…
07-04 19:29:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x299d76…
07-04 19:29:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x05fe31…
07-04 18:57:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa93f69…
07-04 18:46:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x63af0a…
07-04 18:31:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x653836…
07-04 18:25:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2eb575…
07-04 18:18:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xdf91f9…
07-04 18:05:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	208	30¢	$62	0x3fdc7e…
07-03 13:37:43	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	1,823	37¢	$675	0x18500e…
07-03 10:54:41	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x637b98…
07-03 07:53:53	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	SELL	170	37¢	$63	0xd8e6c0…
07-01 21:47:50	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	No	BUY	5,000	32¢	$1,600	0x4dfae6…
07-01 21:04:47	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4,000	0¢	$4	0x6fd997…
07-01 18:49:19	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4,000	57¢	$2,291	0x8701ae…
07-01 15:30:55	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	306	39¢	$119	0xce4aa1…
07-01 15:30:20	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xef78fe…
07-01 15:30:20	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xea5810…
07-01 15:30:19	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x5c0a64…
07-01 15:30:07	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0x691d71…
07-01 15:29:52	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	SELL	5,597	40¢	$2,239	0xced466…
07-01 14:19:07	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	5,168	33¢	$1,705	0xe66245…
07-01 14:19:01	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe9247d…
07-01 14:18:58	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	746	33¢	$246	0xd6f331…
07-01 14:18:38	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2d0d8f…
07-01 14:18:28	will bitcoin reach 61k on july 1	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xc6e80c…
07-01 13:50:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	2,000	8¢	$160	0xa62553…
07-01 02:41:31	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 30	Yes	BUY	3,360	17¢	$578	0x55d372…
07-01 02:04:10	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	No	SELL	3,376	95¢	$3,207	0x5c25a2…
07-01 02:03:59	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	No	SELL	3,360	94¢	$3,158	0x49633f…
06-30 16:18:07	msft above 375 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$99	0x8a4921…
06-30 16:12:32	msft above 375 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	11¢	$224	0x7cb819…
06-30 16:02:52	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	No	BUY	3,370	46¢	$1,550	0xff06e6…
06-30 15:58:16	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	Yes	SELL	952	50¢	$476	0xe7bdf5…
06-30 15:55:01	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	Yes	SELL	2,395	50¢	$1,198	0x5fceee…
06-30 15:54:26	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	Yes	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x2cddb7…
06-30 15:48:17	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	No	BUY	3,370	57¢	$1,921	0x9c7627…
06-30 15:35:26	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	3,490	34¢	$1,187	0x3dca94…
06-30 15:06:32	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	1,102	17¢	$187	0x7e995d…
06-30 13:38:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x8dab74…
06-30 13:36:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xbc7057…
06-30 13:36:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6bafed…
06-30 13:36:02	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x201c4f…
06-30 13:36:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xa9f6d2…
06-30 13:36:01	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x19f0eb…
06-30 13:34:49	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xe8025c…
06-30 13:34:47	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0x6a8712…
06-30 13:34:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xc55d79…
06-30 13:34:46	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 30	No	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xa646ce…
06-30 12:23:40	will ethereum dip to 1550 on june 30	Yes	BUY	3,299	68¢	$2,243	0x817bcc…