Realized P&L
-$891
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
412
Trades
1,456
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.09K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
48% 61% -$296
Politics
35% 54% -$758
Sports
13% 50% +$196
Crypto
4% 65% -$20
Tech
1% 33% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +499 $408 92¢ $456 +$49 10-26 21:32
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +300 $228 96¢ $288 +$60 06-18 13:27
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $280 68¢ $274 -$6 10-26 21:30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $178 60¢ $182 +$4 07-06 18:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +150 $68 66¢ $98 +$31 07-20 18:06
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -100 -$54 88¢ $-88 -$34 07-15 18:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +100 $84 84¢ $84 +$0 10-26 21:29
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $45 84¢ $83 +$38 07-23 14:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $72 72¢ $72 $0 10-26 21:32
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +100 $56 70¢ $70 +$15 10-27 00:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $46 66¢ $66 +$20 09-13 10:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +50 $33 96¢ $48 +$15 09-19 23:31
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +67 $44 68¢ $46 +$2 09-21 07:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 $39 88¢ $44 +$5 09-19 21:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 09-20 07:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +350 $49 12¢ $41 -$7 07-06 18:53
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -50 -$28 74¢ $-37 -$9 09-05 04:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $22 18¢ $18 -$4 06-29 15:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +25 $13 66¢ $17 +$4 05-01 00:21
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +100 $30 14¢ $14 -$16 10-26 21:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +25 $12 51¢ $13 +$0 09-19 21:05
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 Yes +100 $17 7¢ $7 -$10 07-02 08:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +6 $2 63¢ $4 +$1 09-05 04:10