Realized P&L (7d)
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$144
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
0
1,504 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$16.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$786
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
48% 62% -$273
Politics
35% 55% -$150
Sports
13% 50% +$196
Crypto
4% 65% -$20
Tech
1% 33% -$13
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +300 $228 79¢ $236 +$8 06-18 13:27
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -100 -$54 92¢ $-92 -$38 07-15 18:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +125 $103 44¢ $54 -$48 11-05 15:09
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -50 -$28 100¢ $-50 -$22 09-05 04:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +50 $39 94¢ $47 +$8 09-19 21:03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +50 $13 94¢ $47 +$34 11-02 22:53
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $72 45¢ $45 -$27 10-26 21:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 90¢ $45 +$7 09-20 07:27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $53 7¢ $29 -$24 11-04 16:16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat? Yes +25 $23 99¢ $25 +$2 11-04 16:17
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat? Yes +25 $23 97¢ $24 +$1 11-04 17:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +100 $56 24¢ $24 -$32 10-27 00:58
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +25 $19 90¢ $22 +$3 11-02 22:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $22 18¢ $18 -$4 06-29 15:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +25 $12 50¢ $12 +$0 09-19 21:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +6 $2 78¢ $5 +$2 09-05 04:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $7 9¢ $5 -$2 11-04 16:18
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 $0 11-04 16:15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +85 $16 3¢ $3 -$14 11-03 20:54