Frizzy-Authorization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

104

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-15 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

54% 97% +$3

Politics

20% 100% +$1

Crypto

16% 100% +$1

Tech

8% 100% +$0

Sports

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		+40	$34	88¢	$35	+$1	10-15 06:36
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-08 11:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$90	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 01:44
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	3	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	08-17 04:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$79	41	41	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	10-01 02:21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	10-03 07:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$47	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-21 23:14
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	09-04 05:54
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-01 06:46
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$46	47	0	+47	Yes	+$1	09-10 10:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-14 06:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-13 02:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	08-22 00:14
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	08-21 02:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	08-16 01:00
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	1	$38	39	0	+39	Yes	+$1	10-13 05:57
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$34	40	0	+40	open	—	10-15 06:36
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-27 03:32
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	07-30 05:51
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	05-26 19:56
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-29 17:07
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	05-14 09:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$27	27	0	+27	Yes	+$0	08-28 20:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-29 20:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-27 11:58
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-29 09:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	05-30 11:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-29 02:19
amzn above 180 on february 27 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	02-24 21:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	10-08 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 06:36:38	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$34	0x44e80f…
10-13 05:57:18	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x4a5b9b…
10-08 11:52:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd0a3a…
10-03 07:14:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x2c20f1…
10-01 02:21:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x782388…
09-30 17:34:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xb86430…
09-25 08:44:56	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x509e42…
09-21 23:14:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0xfa4713…
09-10 10:54:51	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x1bb9e6…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0xc72ac7…
09-06 02:11:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	47	99¢	$46	0xb8e6e4…
09-04 05:54:31	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5e9ffc…
09-01 06:46:30	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x079269…
08-28 20:29:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x56990b…
08-27 11:58:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0ac5a5…
08-27 04:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on August 28?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x02b23d…
08-26 16:41:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	0¢	$0	0x77ae01…
08-26 16:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xdccf0f…
08-25 15:09:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$40	0x96a208…
08-25 09:11:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0xd89d0f…
08-24 07:50:25	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x44057d…
08-22 00:14:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x3b1f58…
08-21 02:22:15	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x337080…
08-17 04:51:22	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0e79ca…
08-17 04:42:36	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x030dcc…
08-16 21:27:15	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xd4db88…
08-16 01:00:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xeddf73…
08-15 18:43:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf31300…
08-15 16:34:06	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4c30b…
08-14 06:19:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x2d1143…
08-13 02:18:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x5e2a44…
08-13 01:44:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x05a300…
08-10 05:37:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x04ff4d…
07-31 21:35:26	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc3103…
07-30 05:51:14	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb905bf…
07-28 14:38:16	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in july 2026 821	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d1aed…
07-28 12:58:01	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x375d5c…
07-27 10:47:40	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d6f4e…
07-27 07:26:21	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x911b0f…
07-26 20:12:28	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc2ba6…
07-25 06:14:10	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb310cb…
07-22 05:40:10	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb54c96…
06-29 20:54:31	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa234af…
06-29 10:24:47	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c205a…
06-29 02:19:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x50ec38…
06-28 08:23:49	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xda367b…
06-28 03:23:56	Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6207e5…
06-27 03:32:52	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x30623e…
06-26 13:20:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xba8337…
05-30 11:49:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x03d014…
05-29 17:07:39	Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe98797…
05-26 19:56:17	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaff8ed…
05-14 09:15:28	Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xecbdd6…
05-09 14:27:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa76363…
05-09 09:15:42	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4ca360…
05-09 06:52:37	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x614b67…
05-08 11:19:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x352edf…
05-08 08:16:58	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x802043…
04-29 09:38:52	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x403770…
04-22 09:16:00	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8677e4…
04-20 18:15:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2c23de…
04-20 03:06:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e8976…
04-19 12:28:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0b2fd6…
04-18 10:43:44	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb1b4cc…
04-17 10:10:50	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x31194f…
04-17 05:18:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0906ea…
04-14 23:18:16	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaff83b…
04-13 17:41:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1d6c25…
04-13 12:38:31	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe64a71…
04-06 22:46:39	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x618c8c…
04-06 00:42:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x81e02e…
03-30 04:22:20	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x503a97…
03-28 06:10:07	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b126…
03-26 20:21:59	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5c926…
03-24 23:41:33	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac48f2…
03-22 21:59:19	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xe823aa…
03-22 17:03:17	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x695bf3…
03-19 08:06:21	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5cbf08…
03-18 14:40:41	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x88c549…
03-17 02:40:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x960679…
03-15 06:34:03	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb1b66…
03-14 04:43:47	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3979f…
03-12 12:56:07	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe31a0…
03-11 11:59:35	amzn above 150 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e1214…
03-08 19:59:27	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x227d5f…
03-06 16:01:53	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdadbd5…
03-06 10:27:19	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x21e915…
03-04 02:39:51	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa76372…
03-03 08:54:29	bank of england decreases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting 876	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb52ec…
02-26 13:46:32	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2f55e0…
02-24 21:32:34	amzn above 180 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a6ab2…
02-23 18:41:16	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcbdb79…
02-22 22:01:52	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8e9374…
02-20 17:20:02	will solana reach 190 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x345859…
02-14 12:31:29	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd32018…
02-13 06:29:55	nflx above 120 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fa9a9…
02-13 00:34:11	msft above 510 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x012388…
02-12 01:41:59	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb253a3…
02-10 00:43:45	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa9ec23…
02-08 09:18:09	nflx above 200 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a9088…