Realized P&L
+$719
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
33.4%
Resolved
79
Trades
622
lifetime
Volume
$3.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$171
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 10-14 05:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
80% 9% +$804
Sports
11% 33% -$174
Politics
6% 14% +$55
Crypto
2% 100% +$40
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +20,000 $60 0¢ $30 -$30 09-30 21:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -146 -$37 18¢ $-26 +$11 05-29 06:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +5,000 $35 0¢ $23 -$13 09-17 00:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +62 -$127 34¢ $22 +$148 10-14 05:49
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +1,819 $33 1¢ $20 -$13 05-09 11:13
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,000 $30 0¢ $17 -$12 09-18 10:18
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +4,000 $40 0¢ $14 -$26 09-16 18:07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +91 $15 6¢ $5 -$9 09-12 01:05
Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +238 $10 2¢ $4 -$6 05-09 11:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +43 $10 8¢ $3 -$7 05-07 12:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +120 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 05-07 12:43
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +476 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 05-09 11:13
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +769 $21 0¢ $2 -$19 05-09 11:13
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +212 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 05-09 11:13