Weary-Cherry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$440

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-09 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-10

Politics

40% 100% +$115

Crypto

14% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$135	125	125	+0	Yes	+$115	05-09 11:03
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	2	$65	56	56	+0	open	—	03-21 23:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$60	100	100	+0	open	—	05-07 02:44
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$50	1,185	0	+1,185	open	—	03-17 14:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$20	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	03-23 00:26
trump out as president by march 31	1	$10	1,667	0	+1,667	open	—	03-23 00:27
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	770	0	+770	open	—	02-28 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 25?	1	$10	368	0	+368	open	—	04-24 00:30
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	1	$10	181	0	+181	open	—	04-24 00:32
will netanyahu visit nyc by march 31	1	$10	473	0	+473	open	—	03-17 14:11
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	1	$10	137	0	+137	open	—	04-24 00:31
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$10	158	0	+158	open	—	03-17 12:22
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$10	229	0	+229	open	—	03-17 12:21
will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	03-23 00:30
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	1	$10	558	0	+558	No	$-10	04-24 00:32
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	256	0	+256	open	—	05-09 11:07
avatar 4 greenlit by march 31	1	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	03-24 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 11:07:21	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	4¢	$10	0x99ea84…
05-09 11:03:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x01f8a4…
05-07 12:45:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf89be4…
05-07 02:44:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xf5b948…
04-24 00:33:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa37561…
04-24 00:32:40	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	181	6¢	$10	0x758544…
04-24 00:32:00	Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	2¢	$10	0x3280c7…
04-24 00:31:38	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0x2b7303…
04-24 00:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 25?	Yes	BUY	368	3¢	$10	0x917fad…
03-24 19:55:25	avatar 4 greenlit by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x5d8013…
03-23 00:30:03	will houston win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x30e732…
03-23 00:27:05	trump out as president by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xd28f83…
03-23 00:26:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0xed3f34…
03-21 23:30:09	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	SELL	56	97¢	$55	0x4bf9c2…
03-17 14:11:31	will netanyahu visit nyc by march 31	Yes	BUY	473	2¢	$10	0x2cf4bb…
03-17 14:09:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,185	4¢	$50	0x8b779c…
03-17 12:22:23	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0x29353a…
03-17 12:21:31	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xe8cd7f…
03-17 12:21:15	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	229	4¢	$10	0x42c6df…
02-28 05:24:03	will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	770	1¢	$10	0xe35dd6…