Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$105
$1,063 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,411
Latest YES mid
43¢
Latest NO mid
57¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 14:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $32 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $17 | $33 | $15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $7 | $3 | +$4 |
| Median | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Below median | 9 | $4 | $12 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $41 | $41 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Watchful-Binoculars 0xb040…ef71 | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 01:45 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Alarmed-Deodorant 0x0330…5cbe | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Ambitious-Accident 0xd628…9356 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:10 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:27 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 00:37 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 01:41 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 15:33 |
| Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 00:39 |
| Blond-Godfather 0x7c41…500d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:11 |
| Clear-Mode 0x5c33…731d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Jagged-Dignity 0x16d7…0500 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:03 |
| Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 14:10:52 | Ambitious-Accident 0xd628…9356 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xfdc3da… |
| 05-14 14:03:22 | Jagged-Dignity 0x16d7…0500 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0xf52ce7… |
| 05-14 12:27:30 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xee7444… |
| 05-14 09:29:23 | Alarmed-Deodorant 0x0330…5cbe | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0xda3d44… |
| 05-14 06:20:46 | Blond-Godfather 0x7c41…500d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xc05769… |
| 05-14 06:11:08 | Shady-Government 0x6fb2…bd2d | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xf4f2a9… |
| 05-14 06:11:05 | Clear-Mode 0x5c33…731d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xbaaf28… |
| 05-14 05:25:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 37¢ | $0 | 0x9e3e1e… |
| 05-14 01:45:34 | Watchful-Binoculars 0xb040…ef71 | No | BUY | 16 | 65¢ | $11 | 0x546dc7… |
| 05-14 01:41:21 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x1b64f5… |
| 05-14 00:39:24 | Obedient-Wind 0xa6d7…d801 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x27528c… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x145394… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xd04e28… |
| 05-14 00:37:12 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x1cbf30… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x48e008… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x96e200… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x436f42… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x7257fd… |
| 05-14 00:37:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x25e0d8… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 62¢ | $19 | 0xdd5680… |
| 05-14 00:37:07 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x75f055… |
| 05-14 00:12:00 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x36e723… |
| 05-14 00:11:59 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xbb1fbe… |
| 05-14 00:11:59 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x3c8220… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x1336f8… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x57da79… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x2a31cb… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xacb9b0… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x8190d0… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x807d3b… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x40e4b1… |
| 05-13 15:33:39 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xd3c0ef… |