Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 13?
Yes won
Total volume
$440
$439 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-87.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $50
vs crowd: 88% YES on $440)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $49 | $50 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $158 | $0 | +$158 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $167 | $0 | +$167 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $11 | $5 | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $50 | $50 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $182 | — | +$182 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 7 | $21 | $0 | +$21 |
| Below median | 2 | $100 | $0 | +$100 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $72 | — | +$72 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +211 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 05-13 16:07 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +201 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 05-13 14:02 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 19:58 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +99 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +55 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +49 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +35 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 20:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +28 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 15:18 |
| Rowdy-Administration 0x4352…c794 | No | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:18 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 19:02 |
| Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 16:07 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 19:45 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 19:02 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 19:02 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:21 |
| Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 18:21 |
| Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:31 |
| Evil-Platter 0x72db…2aa2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 20:00:14 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aac53… |
| 05-13 20:00:14 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7aac53… |
| 05-13 20:00:11 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x103d9f… |
| 05-13 20:00:11 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0x103d9f… |
| 05-13 20:00:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x60cd29… |
| 05-13 20:00:02 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x60cd29… |
| 05-13 19:58:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8155ef… |
| 05-13 19:58:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 95 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8155ef… |
| 05-13 19:58:03 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8155ef… |
| 05-13 19:45:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8721ff… |
| 05-13 19:45:03 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8721ff… |
| 05-13 19:02:45 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xd0fcd2… |
| 05-13 19:02:45 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0fcd2… |
| 05-13 19:02:45 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0fcd2… |
| 05-13 19:02:45 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd0fcd2… |
| 05-13 18:31:19 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb8d84a… |
| 05-13 18:31:19 | Blank-Gymnastics 0x70b8…ec6c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb8d84a… |
| 05-13 16:07:35 | Questionable-Bob 0x8d6c…3a8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x615272… |
| 05-13 16:07:35 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x615272… |
| 05-13 15:18:05 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 82¢ | $23 | 0xd8fe1c… |
| 05-13 15:18:05 | Rowdy-Administration 0x4352…c794 | No | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xd8fe1c… |
| 05-13 14:02:32 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 100 | 24¢ | $24 | 0x869a17… |
| 05-13 14:02:32 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 100 | 76¢ | $76 | 0x869a17… |
| 05-13 13:32:33 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 101 | 25¢ | $25 | 0x4232e1… |
| 05-13 13:32:33 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 101 | 75¢ | $76 | 0x4232e1… |
| 05-13 11:48:38 | Evil-Platter 0x72db…2aa2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdcddab… |
| 05-13 11:48:38 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdcddab… |
| 05-12 18:21:26 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x003e1d… |
| 05-12 18:21:26 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x003e1d… |