Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$525
$2,373 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,180
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 06:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $346 | $346 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $8 | $129 | $121 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $3 | $131 | $128 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 10 | $0 | $58 | $57 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | $289 | $285 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $23 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +276 | $274 | $274 | 2 | 05-12 22:45 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +73 | $72 | $72 | 7 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | +61 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:41 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | +48 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 08:44 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 8 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Ordinary-Breakthrough 0xfda3…659b | Yes | +27 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 03:45 |
| Every-Preservation 0xf7a1…2045 | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 17:01 |
| Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 12:28 |
| Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 04:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 04:00 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:06 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 07:51 |
| Boring-Introduction 0x644a…ffb2 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 20:48 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Excellent-Ocelot-Sonnet 0x3a6d…4abe | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 04:49 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 14:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x06f1…131c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7b0…3bcf | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:45 |
| Safe-Mixer 0x045d…b281 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a3…9f88 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x98a3…9f88 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf1b8d3… |
| 05-14 04:40:22 | Safe-Mixer 0x045d…b281 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf22f79… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc1d363… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcb1543… |
| 05-14 04:16:25 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x81553b… |
| 05-14 04:16:25 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1529bc… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x756a16… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x63ea0d… |
| 05-14 04:06:15 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x64d4f8… |
| 05-14 04:01:24 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x906340… |
| 05-14 04:01:19 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xc185d5… |
| 05-14 04:00:18 | Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x82667a… |
| 05-14 03:45:20 | Ordinary-Breakthrough 0xfda3…659b | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5ab0f4… |
| 05-14 03:13:43 | Ordinary-Breakthrough 0xfda3…659b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd81695… |
| 05-14 02:30:14 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x709678… |
| 05-14 01:10:47 | Thorough-Faith 0x36a9…c1d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd5117b… |
| 05-14 01:06:36 | Necessary-Wasp 0x5abf…4f48 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba0584… |
| 05-14 00:45:08 | (anonymous) 0xb7b0…3bcf | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x162667… |
| 05-14 00:41:51 | (anonymous) 0x06f1…131c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe87523… |
| 05-13 23:39:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd35fdf… |
| 05-13 23:14:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x84563e… |
| 05-13 20:48:13 | Boring-Introduction 0x644a…ffb2 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3c4c6e… |
| 05-13 20:43:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6e6bbf… |
| 05-13 13:13:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x436773… |
| 05-13 13:13:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4ca81d… |
| 05-13 12:28:23 | Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xaf145e… |
| 05-13 09:11:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xd919db… |
| 05-13 08:44:01 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3886d7… |
| 05-13 08:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xf424…6e3e | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x613696… |
| 05-13 08:43:29 | Pricey-Score 0x6659…b7ca | Yes | BUY | 61 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe52950… |
| 05-13 07:51:20 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9e808c… |
| 05-13 05:41:20 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1f5a2a… |
| 05-13 05:27:10 | Cultured-Peek 0xbd70…a9b9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4ef9e0… |
| 05-13 04:49:06 | Excellent-Ocelot-Sonnet 0x3a6d…4abe | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xe23c62… |
| 05-13 02:03:09 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x45e629… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37d0a6… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c80d3… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69379e… |
| 05-12 23:45:57 | Necessary-Wasp 0x5abf…4f48 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x208fe7… |
| 05-12 22:45:46 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 252 | 99¢ | $250 | 0x316d4f… |
| 05-12 22:43:04 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b03b1… |
| 05-12 22:40:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a1730… |
| 05-12 17:01:26 | Every-Preservation 0xf7a1…2045 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x396127… |
| 05-12 14:38:01 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb3e2be… |
| 05-12 10:27:20 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0x8ce6f2… |
| 05-12 04:30:43 | Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x1376a2… |