Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$123,534

Trades

10,198

Unique wallets

1,177

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-01-10

First seen

2026-01-10

last 01-10 02:16

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +10,963 (anon) +7,915 (anon) +4,327 (anon) +3,515 (anon) +2,807 (anon) +2,698 (anon) +2,000 (anon) +1,967

NO holders

(anon) +8,372 (anon) +7,441 (anon) +5,371 (anon) +2,842 (anon) +2,757 (anon) +2,312 (anon) +2,020 (anon) +1,634

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -0.1¢ (top1%: 79% YES on $38.9K vs crowd: 79% YES on $102.2K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	109	$41.5K	$11.7K	+$29.9K
🐬 Dolphin	257	$29.2K	$5.0K	+$24.2K
🐟 Fish	418	$8.2K	$3.2K	+$5.0K
🦐 Shrimp	393	$2.0K	$1.4K	+$606

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	101	$30.7K	$8.2K	+$22.6K
🏆 Top 5%	125	$4.9K	$1.0K	+$3.9K
✅ Top 10%	59	$792	$219	+$574
Median	93	$478	$351	+$128
Below median	413	$4.5K	$1.3K	+$3.2K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	162	$4.1K	$1.1K	+$3.0K
🔻 Bottom 5%	155	$9.3K	$2.8K	+$6.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	69	$26.1K	$6.4K	+$19.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x0d5a…a457	Up	+10,963	$10,854	$10,854	76	01-10 02:15
(anonymous) 0x961a…3361	Down	+8,372	$1,617	$1,617	205	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x961a…3361	Up	+7,915	$5,757	$5,757	293	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+7,441	$1,658	$1,658	293	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0xd3a6…cab1	Down	+5,371	$2,425	$2,425	4	01-10 02:04
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+4,327	$3,120	$3,120	130	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+3,515	$2,412	$2,412	100	01-10 02:10
(anonymous) 0x557b…80d4	Down	+2,842	$475	$475	138	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x557b…80d4	Up	+2,807	$2,378	$2,378	92	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Down	+2,757	$441	$441	84	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+2,698	$1,959	$1,959	128	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0xb4cc…e125	Down	+2,312	$521	$521	294	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+2,020	$445	$445	135	01-10 02:10
(anonymous) 0xc236…fa9f	Up	+2,000	$1,900	$1,900	25	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x93c2…c072	Up	+1,967	$1,490	$1,490	95	01-10 02:10
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+1,634	$408	$408	211	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x52c5…67cf	Down	+1,631	$176	$176	8	01-10 02:13
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Up	+1,600	$1,584	$1,584	1	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x98f2…9805	Down	+1,430	$40	$40	2	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+1,216	$857	$1,422	68	01-10 02:11
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+1,156	$321	$954	198	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+1,152	$841	$841	104	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0xfa0f…00fa	Up	+1,109	$1,087	$1,087	1	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x9f9c…3624	Up	+1,100	$787	$787	12	01-10 02:10
(anonymous) 0x3214…63d6	Down	+1,095	$300	$300	1	01-10 02:08
(anonymous) 0x6aca…c734	Up	+1,063	$1,052	$1,052	1	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xcfd0…56d8	Down	+1,036	$166	$223	6	01-10 02:15
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+1,014	$256	$256	21	01-10 02:06
(anonymous) 0x05c1…45b7	Up	+1,012	$650	$650	70	01-10 02:02
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+1,000	$980	$980	3	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x9cd1…0b33	Down	+981	$69	$69	12	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xf444…c970	Down	+954	$270	$270	25	01-10 02:10
(anonymous) 0xf444…c970	Up	+885	$646	$646	20	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x9eef…850f	Up	+863	$829	$829	3	01-10 02:12
Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab	Down	+850	$434	$434	19	01-10 02:00
(anonymous) 0xf543…4881	Up	+838	$641	$641	48	01-10 02:10
Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be	Down	+801	$408	$408	20	01-10 02:00
(anonymous) 0x69e1…b007	Down	+772	$202	$202	17	01-10 02:08
Sparse-Individual 0x7a0e…10b2	Down	+747	$176	$176	30	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+742	$523	$523	52	01-10 02:06
Little-Dinner 0x9e90…c2c7	Down	+672	$70	$70	10	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x0ad3…747b	Up	+665	$631	$631	5	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+645	$173	$173	53	01-10 02:05
Green-Plunger 0x31f6…a051	Up	+608	$500	$500	1	01-10 02:11
(anonymous) 0xe4f7…30f6	Down	+607	$303	$303	11	01-10 02:00
(anonymous) 0x2ef3…214e	Up	+600	$504	$504	2	01-10 02:11
(anonymous) 0x3424…3907	Down	+600	$30	$30	1	01-10 02:12
(anonymous) 0x690d…c438	Down	+600	$6	$6	4	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xb4cc…e125	Up	+589	$499	$499	90	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xadda…4786	Up	+577	$273	$273	2	01-10 01:58
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Down	+550	$7	$7	32	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x9cd1…0b33	Up	+528	$406	$406	42	01-10 02:11
Crushing-Donor 0xc14c…8da0	Down	+527	$276	$276	18	01-10 02:00
(anonymous) 0x917d…ca77	Up	+516	$374	$374	27	01-10 02:05
(anonymous) 0x1ff4…e7a5	Up	+500	$490	$490	1	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x1073…e846	Up	+500	$495	$495	1	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0x0b2c…86b1	Up	+500	$495	$495	1	01-10 02:13
Pale-Raid 0x7024…4c4c	Down	+500	$5	$5	1	01-10 02:13
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Down	+498	$70	$70	18	01-10 02:13
(anonymous) 0xfbf0…45e7	Down	+485	$146	$146	104	01-10 02:06