Starry-Committee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

23.6%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$338

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-13 03:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 25% $-2

Other

6% — —

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	+3	$3	97¢	$3	+$0	06-13 03:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-06 02:13
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-13 03:20
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	$-0	06-01 08:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 12:33
bitcoin up or down february 7 8pm et	19	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	02-08 01:51
bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	14	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	03-03 11:31
bitcoin up or down february 6 8pm et	12	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	02-07 01:38
bitcoin up or down february 15 12am et	6	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	02-15 06:03
bitcoin up or down january 16 9pm et	10	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-17 03:00
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	12	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	03-21 14:00
btc updown 15m 1767246300	5	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	01-01 03:29
btc updown 15m 1767531600	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	01-04 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 08:55
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	6	$10	54	54	+0	open	—	03-09 01:09
bitcoin up or down january 19 7pm et	6	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	01-20 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 09:05
btc updown 15m 1768011300	8	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	01-10 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$8	50	50	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 02:30
bitcoin up or down january 23 7pm et	8	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	01-24 00:21
bitcoin up or down february 15 1am et	8	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	02-15 06:43
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-09 22:47
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	8	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 13:36
eth updown 15m 1767637800	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	01-05 01:01
btc updown 15m 1768012200	7	$7	5	4	+1	open	—	01-10 02:40
btc updown 15m 1768010400	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	01-10 02:14
bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	02-28 00:45
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-09 01:37
bitcoin up or down february 7 9pm et	6	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	02-08 02:40
bitcoin up or down january 6 8am et	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	01-06 13:40
bitcoin up or down january 16 10pm et	5	$5	6	5	+1	open	—	01-17 03:28
btc updown 15m 1767850200	5	$4	5	3	+2	open	—	01-08 05:40
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8am et	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	03-21 12:09
bitcoin up or down january 23 8pm et	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 03:20:34	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x622768…
06-13 03:19:54	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb55d27…
06-09 22:50:04	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x93278b…
06-09 22:47:09	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x18e0c6…
06-06 02:13:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0572e4…
06-06 02:13:28	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2dc5e9…
06-01 08:52:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb539c8…
06-01 08:52:32	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1dfedd…
06-01 08:52:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa0daea…
06-01 08:52:01	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaeff41…
05-16 01:10:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x466efe…
05-16 01:09:04	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x013c95…
05-14 07:41:37	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7b8a06…
05-14 07:41:17	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf26df…
05-11 02:35:19	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4129e2…
05-11 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xc99cc1…
05-11 02:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfa7f62…
05-08 09:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x2ed6a3…
05-08 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x95ab1f…
05-08 08:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc09551…
05-08 08:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e6600…
05-07 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x29a860…
05-07 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7c0a20…
05-07 12:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xb6a56a…
05-07 12:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x4ed3e9…
05-07 12:27:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x78d207…
05-04 08:52:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8c0f03…
05-04 08:49:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e3486…
05-04 08:49:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x1ffdd4…
05-02 01:30:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x65f0ae…
05-02 01:29:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x78625e…
05-02 01:29:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2ce823…
04-30 02:36:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc4644f…
04-26 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x99fb08…
04-26 01:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0d2b1b…
04-24 12:19:16	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xa0ed8c…
04-24 12:14:48	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a065b…
04-24 12:14:28	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x7f0a1c…
04-24 12:12:50	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x514f1e…
04-07 12:54:25	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xdb6c5a…
04-07 12:53:11	bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x16c013…
03-29 13:36:22	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x56c064…
03-29 13:34:52	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9bd7d4…
03-29 13:30:38	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5fedf2…
03-29 13:29:52	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ac5c7…
03-29 13:29:00	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7a68e0…
03-29 13:28:08	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe2327c…
03-29 13:25:52	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x3628a0…
03-29 13:24:22	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x78d89e…
03-21 14:00:17	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xff7866…
03-21 13:51:19	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe536ad…
03-21 13:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2928ec…
03-21 13:49:53	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd2ab0f…
03-21 13:47:37	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x247001…
03-21 13:42:51	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x68924e…
03-21 13:38:07	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x921125…
03-21 13:37:35	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcbe245…
03-21 13:36:15	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x5f5771…
03-21 13:35:43	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7f200a…
03-21 13:33:51	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe8c3f7…
03-21 13:33:15	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5542ba…
03-21 12:09:59	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xe5d79c…
03-21 12:09:25	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x40f660…
03-21 12:03:33	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x76cdae…
03-21 12:03:17	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd3b220…
03-21 12:00:27	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5367a5…
03-21 11:57:01	bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x62ac9c…
03-15 00:51:47	bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x10dd0f…
03-15 00:49:59	bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac3980…
03-14 14:17:57	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xab2d18…
03-14 14:17:09	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2de26…
03-14 14:16:15	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xf2922f…
03-14 14:15:17	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6852bc…
03-09 01:37:57	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xf9a981…
03-09 01:37:37	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x23499f…
03-09 01:33:23	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x390666…
03-09 01:32:59	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x102d63…
03-09 01:14:43	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x7085d6…
03-09 01:14:07	bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5c3fde…
03-09 01:09:41	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x16e5b7…
03-09 00:51:51	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2e9ce…
03-09 00:51:33	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x89c292…
03-09 00:48:27	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x67ee3a…
03-09 00:48:07	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Down	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x06c4c9…
03-09 00:47:15	bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe6eea0…
03-03 11:31:23	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x777a8e…
03-03 11:28:47	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe799c5…
03-03 11:25:43	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb3efe4…
03-03 11:25:05	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7c947a…
03-03 11:24:43	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xd657cf…
03-03 11:24:19	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x10ca94…
03-03 11:23:45	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x21e97c…
03-03 11:23:15	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5dddfa…
03-03 11:20:35	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x00d347…
03-03 11:20:15	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x897f7f…
03-03 11:18:23	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc386df…
03-03 11:16:13	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9843e8…
03-03 11:14:49	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xd42bed…
03-03 11:12:13	bitcoin up or down march 3 6am et	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x56ddfb…
02-28 00:45:41	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xfd6b3d…