XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
open
Total volume
$134
Trades
34
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,225
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $6
vs crowd: 63% YES on $134)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $41 | $8 | +$33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $37 | $42 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $43 | $8 | +$35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | $24 | $19 |
| Median | 4 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 4 | $11 | $1 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 3 | $6 | $2 | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Measly-Mortality 0x644a…8caf | Up | +64 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Down | +40 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Brisk-Apron 0x9f46…5d5f | Down | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Faraway-Bottom 0x8aef…16c6 | Up | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd9da…d947 | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Cluttered-Tattler 0xc2e0…129b | Down | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Vague-Glove 0x26e4…56ec | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 22:55 |
| Serpentine-Pulley 0x5add…0950 | Up | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x255a…5072 | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Known-Antennae 0x8cd7…863a | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Productive-Trigger 0xf096…cd1c | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Down | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c04…3d8b | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Tragic-Sandbar 0x567d…cbaf | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-13 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8d30…c568 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Medium-Investment 0x1f1c…5bfd | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:07 |
| Granular-Empire 0x62ff…c128 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:07 |
| Worthwhile-Waiter 0xa8e7…dc8d | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:13:37 | Worthwhile-Waiter 0xa8e7…dc8d | Down | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x630eff… |
| 05-13 00:13:36 | (anonymous) 0xe5be…fb4a | Down | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xbcec8d… |
| 05-13 00:13:34 | Known-Antennae 0x8cd7…863a | Down | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x2a9a30… |
| 05-13 00:13:30 | Neat-Anarchist 0x1018…23fe | Up | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x51dccc… |
| 05-13 00:13:30 | Crushing-Fugato 0xe386…4d91 | Up | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x996f32… |
| 05-13 00:13:30 | (anonymous) 0x8d30…c568 | Down | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x4a6794… |
| 05-13 00:12:34 | Jealous-Freedom 0x999e…f2f7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xffdbfa… |
| 05-13 00:12:31 | Measly-Mortality 0x644a…8caf | Up | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x146f10… |
| 05-13 00:12:29 | (anonymous) 0x4c04…3d8b | Up | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc20872… |
| 05-13 00:12:26 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x592803… |
| 05-13 00:12:26 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x1853b5… |
| 05-13 00:12:26 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Up | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xf037aa… |
| 05-13 00:12:20 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Down | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x001453… |
| 05-13 00:12:08 | Brisk-Apron 0x9f46…5d5f | Down | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xb4a15c… |
| 05-13 00:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x58369a… |
| 05-13 00:11:30 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Down | BUY | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x167143… |
| 05-13 00:11:28 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Down | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xb2058f… |
| 05-13 00:11:28 | Productive-Trigger 0xf096…cd1c | Up | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xe9114a… |
| 05-13 00:11:26 | Wet-Total 0xcdf7…824e | Down | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x3b2c31… |
| 05-13 00:11:26 | Serpentine-Pulley 0x5add…0950 | Up | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x8f175b… |
| 05-13 00:11:26 | Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x1e839b… |
| 05-13 00:11:24 | Productive-Trigger 0xf096…cd1c | Up | BUY | 1 | 50¢ | $0 | 0x3cdf32… |
| 05-13 00:11:23 | Tragic-Sandbar 0x567d…cbaf | Up | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x7b0d04… |
| 05-13 00:11:19 | Measly-Mortality 0x644a…8caf | Up | BUY | 15 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x0cc95d… |
| 05-13 00:11:19 | Measly-Mortality 0x644a…8caf | Up | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe7af36… |
| 05-13 00:11:19 | Measly-Mortality 0x644a…8caf | Up | BUY | 26 | 59¢ | $16 | 0xc190d8… |
| 05-13 00:11:16 | Cluttered-Tattler 0xc2e0…129b | Down | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x296cfd… |
| 05-13 00:11:14 | Faraway-Bottom 0x8aef…16c6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x93e245… |
| 05-13 00:11:09 | (anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x7e8537… |
| 05-13 00:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x255a…5072 | Up | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x0d3602… |
| 05-13 00:07:12 | Medium-Investment 0x1f1c…5bfd | Down | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xc24022… |
| 05-13 00:07:11 | Granular-Empire 0x62ff…c128 | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x1dc42f… |
| 05-13 00:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xd9da…d947 | Down | BUY | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xc93811… |
| 05-12 22:55:59 | Vague-Glove 0x26e4…56ec | Up | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x96fd2c… |