Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$499
$7,744 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$4,009
Latest YES mid
99¢
Latest NO mid
1¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 14:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $4 | $0 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $416 | $13 | +$403 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $9 | $10 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $32 | $0 | +$31 |
| Median | 10 | $317 | $1 | +$316 |
| Below median | 14 | $56 | $2 | +$54 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:13 |
| Raw-Device 0xb905…1640 | Yes | +183 | $179 | $179 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | Yes | +70 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +52 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 07:32 |
| Definite-Veranda 0xbd3c…5535 | No | +48 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +40 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-11 14:35 |
| Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | Yes | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | Yes | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xe530…b91d | No | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:43 |
| Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x892c…2605 | Yes | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:32 |
| Orderly-Spark 0xc0e4…80be | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 14:25 |
| Crafty-Pace 0x474d…6b5f | Yes | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-11 02:19 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:27 |
| Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Flickering-Edger 0x01a7…8400 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 11:09 |
| Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Candid-Length 0x141f…b910 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 04:17 |
| Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d91…8352 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:22 |
| Distant-Tourist 0x0f81…8d29 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:55 |
| Energetic-Allergist 0xf38b…e256 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 14:35:00 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x41882a… |
| 05-11 14:25:56 | Orderly-Spark 0xc0e4…80be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x521f0f… |
| 05-11 13:55:57 | Distant-Tourist 0x0f81…8d29 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xaba747… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa7881c… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3f95ed… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4aa8f2… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1a4796… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7fbe5c… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb5a1c0… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2fea4b… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe80f62… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7df932… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x51b736… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x56d222… |
| 05-11 13:23:55 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9fc0ab… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Cultivated-Bin 0x84aa…e3f4 | No | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x11063d… |
| 05-11 04:17:43 | Candid-Length 0x141f…b910 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x30c2b9… |
| 05-11 03:18:02 | Indolent-Cummerbund 0xc538…c555 | No | SELL | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33a4c2… |
| 05-11 02:44:54 | Energetic-Allergist 0xf38b…e256 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2d2a85… |
| 05-11 02:19:35 | Crafty-Pace 0x474d…6b5f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 98¢ | $13 | 0x23a355… |
| 05-11 02:15:37 | Raw-Device 0xb905…1640 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 98¢ | $179 | 0xa5d7af… |
| 05-10 14:02:01 | Definite-Veranda 0xbd3c…5535 | No | BUY | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8f7da2… |
| 05-10 13:51:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd804c1… |
| 05-10 12:30:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x93e0c6… |
| 05-10 11:09:41 | Flickering-Edger 0x01a7…8400 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbed6ca… |
| 05-10 09:13:20 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x504325… |
| 05-10 09:09:55 | Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x9dc092… |
| 05-10 07:32:34 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7ffee… |
| 05-10 07:32:32 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9dd6bf… |
| 05-10 07:32:20 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 52 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0d3e7f… |
| 05-10 07:32:18 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xba5ef5… |
| 05-10 07:32:14 | (anonymous) 0xb454…af0c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6f5f6c… |
| 05-10 06:43:18 | Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | BUY | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa3ec9b… |
| 05-10 04:43:57 | (anonymous) 0xe530…b91d | No | BUY | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xeee3ec… |
| 05-10 04:42:00 | Nonstop-Soot 0x9ede…9e87 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xa17ea6… |
| 05-10 04:41:39 | Athletic-Singer 0x8d2e…770b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x49e29c… |
| 05-10 04:41:39 | Warm-Basement 0x4676…b720 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x8a21b3… |
| 05-10 04:41:26 | Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | BUY | 31 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xa60fb1… |
| 05-10 04:41:21 | Sentimental-Luck 0x7a41…2562 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x4d3a94… |
| 05-10 04:32:40 | (anonymous) 0x892c…2605 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0x02ebe8… |
| 05-10 04:28:54 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3662e5… |
| 05-10 04:27:21 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | Yes | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x9b92d2… |
| 05-10 04:22:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xcb4bb7… |
| 05-10 04:22:03 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xa47b21… |
| 05-10 04:22:01 | Stupendous-Scarf 0x40ea…6523 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x068acb… |
| 05-10 04:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x9d91…8352 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0x9135f6… |
| 05-10 04:21:45 | Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xbf4720… |