Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$309
$404 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$7,340
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 11:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $0 | $208 | $208 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $0 | $71 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $208 | $208 |
| Median | 7 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $31 | $31 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | +209 | $208 | $208 | 1 | 05-10 11:21 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +31 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-10 10:30 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-10 10:12 |
| Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 01:44 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:39 |
| International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 08:37 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:21:28 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x369ff8… |
| 05-10 11:21:19 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x5fab07… |
| 05-10 11:21:10 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3a2cba… |
| 05-10 11:21:03 | Loyal-Gavel 0x5637…21f4 | No | BUY | 209 | 100¢ | $208 | 0x7a1332… |
| 05-10 10:30:09 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x36617e… |
| 05-10 10:12:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a31b4… |
| 05-10 10:07:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb22c21… |
| 05-10 08:43:49 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xea7fcc… |
| 05-10 08:39:58 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41e4f9… |
| 05-10 08:37:41 | International-Towel 0xcc95…538f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xdfabbb… |
| 05-10 07:46:53 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd77ca… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41dc7c… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x698b10… |
| 05-10 07:46:51 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a17c0… |
| 05-10 06:12:44 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd137bd… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ea055… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58f1a7… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc475a9… |
| 05-10 05:36:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd45af… |
| 05-10 02:00:35 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf9fdb… |
| 05-10 01:44:45 | Formal-Percentage 0x23a8…843c | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x70de3d… |
| 05-10 00:54:37 | Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x0995b5… |
| 05-09 20:39:22 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf336e8… |
| 05-09 19:17:42 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2e0a8d… |