Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$331
$1,404 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$6,456
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 15:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $76 | $76 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | — | $255 | $255 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $0 | $59 | $59 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 8 | — | $179 | $179 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $86 | $86 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +85 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-13 22:20 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 05-14 11:12 |
| Surprised-Installation 0x26da…14b7 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 17:02 |
| Cultivated-Representation 0x331f…3a25 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 15:29 |
| Fickle-Amber 0xf68c…1aa9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 03:07 |
| Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-14 13:43 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:29 |
| Wide-Shanty 0x735b…01da | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:27 |
| Quick-Obi 0xb0e9…1ec9 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Cavernous-Bough 0x0274…35c9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 08:38 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 23:21 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 07:44 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 15:29:06 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4ea7d… |
| 05-14 15:29:06 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x63eea0… |
| 05-14 13:43:08 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0xf2a914… |
| 05-14 11:12:26 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xbe51c2… |
| 05-14 11:12:22 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xecff03… |
| 05-14 11:12:22 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xaf4577… |
| 05-14 10:44:12 | Ripe-Chives 0x4ecd…36fd | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x5c5841… |
| 05-14 10:29:37 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xf36d14… |
| 05-14 07:44:07 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x2e300c… |
| 05-14 06:11:24 | Quick-Obi 0xb0e9…1ec9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xabee01… |
| 05-14 03:07:06 | Fickle-Amber 0xf68c…1aa9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xad0090… |
| 05-14 03:02:15 | Surprised-Installation 0x26da…14b7 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x98637e… |
| 05-14 03:00:23 | Cultivated-Representation 0x331f…3a25 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x48df0b… |
| 05-13 22:27:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ca045… |
| 05-13 22:20:28 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 85 | 100¢ | $85 | 0x9b5486… |
| 05-13 22:01:47 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x39c84c… |
| 05-13 17:02:47 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x535855… |
| 05-13 15:43:36 | Striking-Retrospectivity 0x4ab6…75b5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa9ffd1… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x80eab8… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa45e9e… |
| 05-13 08:38:53 | Cavernous-Bough 0x0274…35c9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x000cae… |
| 05-13 05:32:56 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3a1a95… |
| 05-13 05:32:56 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x6062a0… |
| 05-13 05:27:34 | Wide-Shanty 0x735b…01da | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb5d085… |
| 05-12 23:21:04 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb4dff5… |