Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$80
$321 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$357
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 03:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $30
vs crowd: 2% YES on $80)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $1 | $49 | $48 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | — | $39 | $39 |
| Median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 02:52 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 20:55 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 20:41 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 03:35:51 | Acclaimed-Discount 0x7f23…29b2 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8fcb1d… |
| 05-10 02:52:16 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa404cf… |
| 05-10 02:21:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x346949… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9b1228… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8861e6… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x943a7d… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41a355… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd5c4c8… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x630469… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x76f395… |
| 05-10 02:18:31 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaff428… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47e037… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c2984… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x518d9f… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69f4d1… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86dac1… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04f78d… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38b0cb… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x340541… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x554441… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc030b… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed7c8f… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c7d99… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x40fc57… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb90dd… |
| 05-09 20:55:04 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x911f1d… |
| 05-09 20:41:09 | Big-Hearted-Shaker 0xe5c2…2b81 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x31d448… |
| 05-09 20:02:32 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xab16ad… |
| 05-09 20:02:30 | Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf45848… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x07e141… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6baad1… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6599c4… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x48d03f… |