Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$1,801
$2,806 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$7,509
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 19:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $176 | $0 | +$175 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $1.2K | $36 | +$1.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $36 | $2 | +$34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $154 | — | +$154 |
| Median | 11 | $216 | — | +$216 |
| Below median | 14 | $550 | $2 | +$548 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $145 | $30 | +$115 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $64 | — | +$64 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| unranked | 6 | $243 | $4 | +$239 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traumatic-Ukulele-Influx 0x6ce3…f7f7 | No | +2,420 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 01:42 |
| Harmless-Chrysalis 0x7552…a676 | Yes | +502 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-13 04:51 |
| Breakable-Interpreter 0xc43d…80e2 | No | +363 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 17:07 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | +210 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:47 |
| Bewitched-Fishery 0x3599…f359 | Yes | +201 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-13 01:38 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | +148 | $140 | $140 | 2 | 05-12 04:41 |
| Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | Yes | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | Yes | +121 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 05-13 09:39 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +64 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 05-13 04:04 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +57 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-13 00:26 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 06:41 |
| Puzzling-Plight 0x6a23…fd22 | No | +45 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 14:37 |
| Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | Yes | +39 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-13 21:11 |
| Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | +36 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-14 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | Yes | +32 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 05-12 22:42 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 00:02 |
| Tattered-Healthcare 0x3edb…aa1e | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Loving-Polliwog 0xdedd…deb4 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 14:53 |
| Humongous-Suspenders 0x4581…6add | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 01:08 |
| Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 08:11 |
| Perfect-Lipoprotein 0x25ff…2217 | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 03:45 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 06:21 |
| Foolhardy-Dynamics 0x567c…70a5 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:09 |
| Wet-Gosling 0x4ee1…6a80 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 02:36 |
| Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:09 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 04:35 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 19:12:25 | Measly-Meme 0x50d8…0a0e | Yes | SELL | 153 | 100¢ | $153 | 0xebb799… |
| 05-14 19:12:10 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 100¢ | $109 | 0x0b4baa… |
| 05-14 15:36:11 | Uneven-Boutique 0x7b47…f1f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x7fe560… |
| 05-14 13:53:22 | Disastrous-Thought 0xd280…82b3 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 100¢ | $134 | 0xdf9f60… |
| 05-14 13:53:22 | Abandoned-Pipe 0x937b…bfab | Yes | BUY | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xa479f6… |
| 05-14 12:47:27 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | No | BUY | 210 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x264849… |
| 05-14 06:00:14 | Tattered-Healthcare 0x3edb…aa1e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x134423… |
| 05-14 03:45:46 | Perfect-Lipoprotein 0x25ff…2217 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x8349a7… |
| 05-14 02:36:11 | Wet-Gosling 0x4ee1…6a80 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x262273… |
| 05-13 21:11:45 | Carefree-Sauce 0xf963…55e4 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 100¢ | $39 | 0x0834b9… |
| 05-13 17:07:43 | Breakable-Interpreter 0xc43d…80e2 | No | BUY | 363 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x6f6ce2… |
| 05-13 09:39:10 | Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | Yes | BUY | 121 | 99¢ | $120 | 0x81fed2… |
| 05-13 08:11:14 | Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x83cdc8… |
| 05-13 08:09:58 | Foolhardy-Dynamics 0x567c…70a5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe9f9ee… |
| 05-13 08:09:55 | Upright-Hazel 0x92f7…4629 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3489d1… |
| 05-13 08:09:44 | Rapid-Spiderling 0xaac8…33c9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x14b4cb… |
| 05-13 06:41:15 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x23cdcc… |
| 05-13 04:51:12 | Harmless-Chrysalis 0x7552…a676 | Yes | BUY | 502 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x99f8f9… |
| 05-13 04:04:20 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x01c294… |
| 05-13 01:42:00 | Traumatic-Ukulele-Influx 0x6ce3…f7f7 | No | BUY | 2,420 | 1¢ | $30 | 0xf2829e… |
| 05-13 01:38:09 | Bewitched-Fishery 0x3599…f359 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x6ea7ab… |
| 05-13 01:08:47 | Humongous-Suspenders 0x4581…6add | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x202897… |
| 05-13 00:26:27 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91736a… |
| 05-13 00:22:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6d86c4… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x576852… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a92c9… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd11126… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2a7e8a… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xda7606… |
| 05-13 00:02:18 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8f5abb… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1f7dc3… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x34553b… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x43c443… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf2fa25… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x162a77… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a5ad3… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd6c912… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1ca6d2… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4464a5… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x79b5ff… |
| 05-13 00:02:17 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb98dab… |
| 05-12 22:42:50 | (anonymous) 0xa382…44de | Yes | BUY | 32 | 99¢ | $32 | 0x95f4ef… |
| 05-12 20:57:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b7407… |
| 05-12 17:57:22 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 31 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec4c39… |
| 05-12 14:53:09 | Loving-Polliwog 0xdedd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xb54c2d… |
| 05-12 14:37:58 | Puzzling-Plight 0x6a23…fd22 | No | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdce4d0… |
| 05-12 06:21:01 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x71a0af… |
| 05-12 04:41:04 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 95¢ | $61 | 0xe854e3… |
| 05-12 04:40:59 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x0c73b1… |
| 05-12 04:35:54 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x3a60ff… |