Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 10?
open
Total volume
$490
$2,980 in 24h
Trades
55
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$1,214
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 06:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $64 | $64 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $4 | $410 | $406 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $55 | $55 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $42 | $42 |
| Median | 9 | $2 | $271 | $269 |
| Below median | 12 | $1 | $56 | $56 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $40 | $39 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | +159 | $158 | $158 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Crooked-Dancer 0x11c9…232c | Yes | +118 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:21 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 6 | 05-10 06:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 05:08 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-08 12:29 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 22:51 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-10 06:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 18:47 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:37 |
| Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 13:37 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 17:14 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 02:45 |
| Neat-Crab 0xc602…6278 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 13:08 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 20:03 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:45 |
| Glum-Copywriter 0x1bbe…7b5c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:13 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 10:10 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 03:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:42:29 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x304350… |
| 05-10 06:38:50 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xfea77a… |
| 05-10 06:31:36 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd7c748… |
| 05-10 06:27:50 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xd2166d… |
| 05-10 06:16:59 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x533f9c… |
| 05-10 06:13:10 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x0d4577… |
| 05-10 06:12:58 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa2561e… |
| 05-10 05:32:38 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x31472c… |
| 05-10 05:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x74ca…690d | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xad72b6… |
| 05-10 03:10:04 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xcf24d0… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x02dae2… |
| 05-10 01:05:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7a38db… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef4b6d… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2eb33… |
| 05-10 00:55:55 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x415fc4… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x850319… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a33e6… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb11e29… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x22f97a… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24b3c4… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x227761… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x89909b… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x273c9f… |
| 05-09 23:45:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x54f9b8… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7cb1b… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedda8c… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x028596… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6f0b0b… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x53cd6f… |
| 05-09 23:45:26 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad9c13… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9be6c6… |
| 05-09 22:10:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb8fb06… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1e5dd3… |
| 05-09 21:48:09 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa4220f… |
| 05-09 20:03:33 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb2531b… |
| 05-09 18:52:22 | Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $158 | 0x2af6b0… |
| 05-09 18:21:14 | Crooked-Dancer 0x11c9…232c | Yes | BUY | 118 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9c6b6b… |
| 05-09 17:14:27 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xd26303… |
| 05-09 13:37:50 | Ancient-Android 0xb846…034d | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf5729f… |
| 05-09 13:13:30 | Glum-Copywriter 0x1bbe…7b5c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x077da4… |
| 05-09 13:08:17 | Neat-Crab 0xc602…6278 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0def48… |
| 05-09 10:10:08 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x5b2f15… |
| 05-09 06:29:57 | Piercing-Edible 0x02cd…cedc | No | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x2f8c67… |
| 05-09 02:45:24 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc84b1c… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd5ba69… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb21b94… |
| 05-09 00:31:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa0bd32… |
| 05-08 22:51:27 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xd4c50a… |
| 05-08 18:47:53 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf1a760… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf1fdc3… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x28e3f1… |
| 05-08 12:29:59 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xbc4ebc… |
| 05-08 06:29:55 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0xe9795b… |
| 05-08 04:39:16 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x8f5826… |
| 05-08 04:37:29 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb06764… |