Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$883
$2,135 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$5,289
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 18:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $3 | $849 | $846 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $741 | $740 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $83 | $83 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $23 | $23 |
| unranked | 3 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | +571 | $564 | $564 | 3 | 05-09 07:14 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +150 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 05-09 01:00 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +99 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 08:39 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-09 00:06 |
| Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 09:20 |
| Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 05-09 04:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-09 00:06 |
| Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-09 05:24 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-09 18:25 |
| Foolhardy-Hut 0x22e5…5e22 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 03:35 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 18:25 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-09 08:14 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 00:06 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd07…7b21 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 00:06 |
| Jaunty-Venti 0x14d7…ffca | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 11:59 |
| Terrible-Deed 0x15e5…11bf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:09 |
| Faraway-Childhood 0x0dd6…ed52 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 13:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 18:25:47 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x73ef8e… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee7d01… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d0f50… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2c3b45… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c7a7f… |
| 05-09 18:25:44 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2c8154… |
| 05-09 18:25:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf2cc98… |
| 05-09 18:25:44 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5b1940… |
| 05-09 18:25:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x261b4a… |
| 05-09 18:25:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44a55c… |
| 05-09 16:29:39 | Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | SELL | 71 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5013c4… |
| 05-09 13:23:08 | Faraway-Childhood 0x0dd6…ed52 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb93b49… |
| 05-09 12:00:49 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x545e2f… |
| 05-09 10:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xbd07…7b21 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8865b9… |
| 05-09 09:20:10 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x385c12… |
| 05-09 08:39:53 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb6b1b3… |
| 05-09 08:14:57 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8018fc… |
| 05-09 07:14:36 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 300 | 99¢ | $297 | 0x6272e2… |
| 05-09 06:59:40 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 108 | 99¢ | $107 | 0x91a35e… |
| 05-09 06:39:36 | Spanish-Perspective 0x5ffe…e48b | No | BUY | 163 | 99¢ | $161 | 0x032a59… |
| 05-09 06:09:39 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d9610… |
| 05-09 05:24:35 | Belated-Mapping 0x12fd…5fab | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $23 | 0x336f6d… |
| 05-09 04:24:43 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1bce03… |
| 05-09 03:50:12 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xca42d4… |
| 05-09 03:49:51 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe67fcc… |
| 05-09 03:49:32 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x57023d… |
| 05-09 03:49:11 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa7ad81… |
| 05-09 03:35:58 | Foolhardy-Hut 0x22e5…5e22 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3bd4d1… |
| 05-09 03:25:34 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x46574a… |
| 05-09 03:25:11 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdd86c8… |
| 05-09 03:24:50 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe5dc5d… |
| 05-09 03:24:27 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf5efcc… |
| 05-09 02:35:15 | Bad-Chrome 0x1d1f…e428 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd720f2… |
| 05-09 01:00:15 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 150 | 98¢ | $147 | 0xcb8050… |
| 05-09 00:06:51 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x7ec305… |
| 05-09 00:06:47 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0x39e752… |
| 05-09 00:06:47 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2cc707… |
| 05-09 00:06:47 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xd8e670… |
| 05-08 13:09:58 | Terrible-Deed 0x15e5…11bf | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4b5bb9… |
| 05-08 11:59:42 | Jaunty-Venti 0x14d7…ffca | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x93d723… |