Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 18?
open
Total volume
$8,101
Trades
38
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$12,783
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-16 04:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $4.6K | $4.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $0 | $3.3K | $3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $5 | $170 | $164 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $5.9K | $5.9K |
| Median | 8 | $2 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
| Below median | 8 | $4 | $12 | $8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alarmed-Viola 0x7ec5…b9ac | No | +3,319 | $3,315 | $3,315 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | No | +2,600 | $2,597 | $2,597 | 2 | 05-16 04:06 |
| Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | +2,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Overjoyed-Provision 0x128d…bea4 | No | +2,000 | $1,998 | $1,998 | 1 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-16 04:06 |
| Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Tight-Blast 0x128d…9340 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 03:57 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f2c…e130 | Yes | +190 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 04:10 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Equal-Reserve 0xba32…1afe | No | +101 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 05-15 06:53 |
| Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:57 |
| Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:57 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 06:53 |
| Whopping-Hospice 0xcd51…8d1d | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-15 14:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 06:53 |
| Idolized-Musician 0x5eba…a2b8 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 11:55 |
| Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:57 |
| Round-Trachoma 0xddd4…cda9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:59 |
| Aggressive-Dragonfruit 0x0ea7…68f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa844…8f2d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 07:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 04:10:18 | Overjoyed-Provision 0x128d…bea4 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0x05750b… |
| 05-16 04:10:18 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | BUY | 810 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x05750b… |
| 05-16 04:10:18 | (anonymous) 0x6f2c…e130 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05750b… |
| 05-16 04:10:18 | Tight-Blast 0x128d…9340 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x05750b… |
| 05-16 04:06:04 | Elderly-Bug-Degree 0x6534…2e43 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52e9c8… |
| 05-16 04:06:04 | Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | No | BUY | 600 | 100¢ | $599 | 0x52e9c8… |
| 05-16 04:06:04 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | BUY | 410 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52e9c8… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Discrete-Locomotive 0x241a…1c12 | Yes | BUY | 590 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Grounded-Twist 0x6cf3…ae71 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | No | BUY | 2,000 | 100¢ | $1,998 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 03:57:25 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc8a0e6… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 69 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | Yes | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-16 02:59:29 | Alarmed-Viola 0x7ec5…b9ac | No | BUY | 3,319 | 100¢ | $3,315 | 0x9e3131… |
| 05-15 14:22:10 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8bb1b… |
| 05-15 14:22:10 | Whopping-Hospice 0xcd51…8d1d | No | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $49 | 0xd8bb1b… |
| 05-15 11:55:31 | Idolized-Musician 0x5eba…a2b8 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x00c109… |
| 05-15 11:55:31 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00c109… |
| 05-15 07:39:23 | Aggressive-Dragonfruit 0x0ea7…68f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5fe674… |
| 05-15 07:39:23 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fe674… |
| 05-15 07:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xa844…8f2d | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x46409b… |
| 05-15 07:02:52 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x46409b… |
| 05-15 06:53:21 | Equal-Reserve 0xba32…1afe | No | BUY | 101 | 100¢ | $101 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 05-15 06:53:21 | (anonymous) 0xc194…c49c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 05-15 06:53:21 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 05-15 06:53:21 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a3c1c… |
| 05-15 02:14:31 | Round-Trachoma 0xddd4…cda9 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1ca97e… |
| 05-15 02:14:31 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ca97e… |
| 05-15 02:14:31 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1ca97e… |