Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$177
$850 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$1,963
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 11:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $36 | $113 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $3 | $96 | $93 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $10 | $4 | +$6 |
| Median | 3 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $12 | $7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $11 | $11 |
| unranked | 1 | $8 | — | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +98 | $81 | $81 | 6 | 05-10 08:42 |
| Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | +58 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 23:55 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +31 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 03:35 |
| Frank-Specification 0xda35…b2db | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 09:28 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:10 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 11:26 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:19 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:28 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 12:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-10 02:20 |
| Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 11:26:53 | Frank-Specification 0xda35…b2db | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x5b52a3… |
| 05-10 11:26:30 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x24b6cf… |
| 05-10 10:19:25 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x6d7fc0… |
| 05-10 10:10:28 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xa3ff9b… |
| 05-10 09:28:21 | (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xf482dc… |
| 05-10 09:04:40 | Frank-Specification 0xda35…b2db | Yes | BUY | 14 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xbbc5a6… |
| 05-10 08:42:35 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $9 | 0xa325ad… |
| 05-10 08:38:41 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x2da08d… |
| 05-10 08:38:25 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x00fd6a… |
| 05-10 08:33:49 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xf15d33… |
| 05-10 08:33:42 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x14153d… |
| 05-10 08:33:40 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x9d7848… |
| 05-10 08:33:40 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 18¢ | $6 | 0xfe0683… |
| 05-10 08:16:41 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xb5fe6b… |
| 05-10 08:11:30 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x908412… |
| 05-10 06:43:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x342a97… |
| 05-10 06:43:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x6a9fff… |
| 05-10 06:28:10 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x8cca94… |
| 05-10 06:01:44 | Monumental-Literate 0x5407…dbc0 | No | SELL | 11 | 74¢ | $8 | 0x046541… |
| 05-10 04:16:32 | Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb3d6b0… |
| 05-10 03:52:35 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 34 | 82¢ | $28 | 0x841f05… |
| 05-10 03:52:16 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 23 | 82¢ | $19 | 0x00ccec… |
| 05-10 03:35:16 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0e76c1… |
| 05-10 02:20:06 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 16¢ | $0 | 0xc28397… |
| 05-10 02:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2b4640… |
| 05-10 01:31:51 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 9 | 78¢ | $7 | 0x52e69e… |
| 05-09 23:55:12 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x88347c… |
| 05-09 23:55:12 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $12 | 0xf70ccd… |
| 05-09 23:54:53 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x6baa19… |
| 05-09 23:54:53 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x4ef929… |
| 05-09 21:44:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2959ff… |
| 05-09 20:03:19 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x1a702e… |
| 05-09 20:02:50 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x096ead… |
| 05-09 19:47:45 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xdd969d… |
| 05-09 19:47:41 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xc44071… |
| 05-09 19:47:41 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x4bab12… |
| 05-09 19:47:36 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x4f0ba2… |
| 05-09 19:47:34 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd440d1… |
| 05-09 12:13:44 | (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x9b375f… |
| 05-09 12:08:42 | Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x699501… |