Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$171
Trades
37
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-05 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.5¢
(top1%: 31% YES on $82
vs crowd: 31% YES on $171)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $50 | $82 | $33 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | $3 | $0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $13 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $26 | $56 | $30 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $13 | $25 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $5 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +50 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 10-05 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +43 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-05 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff | Up | +28 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-05 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +26 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-05 03:51 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +25 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-05 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-05 03:51 |
| Sophisticated-Node-Opening 0x995f…3eba | Up | +15 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-05 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff | Down | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-05 03:49 |
| Appropriate-Vagrant 0x5cd4…9aab | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-05 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-05 03:57 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3625…b859 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-05 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-05 03:52 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-05 03:59 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-05 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xc96c…7a21 | Down | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-05 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6a55…20fd | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-05 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-05 03:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 03:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-05 03:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-05 03:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xa830…2491 | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-05 03:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:59:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08055c… |
| 10-05 03:59:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x08055c… |
| 10-05 03:59:07 | Appropriate-Vagrant 0x5cd4…9aab | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x08055c… |
| 10-05 03:57:59 | (anonymous) 0x6a55…20fd | Down | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfc9064… |
| 10-05 03:57:59 | (anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e | Down | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0xcb5c0f… |
| 10-05 03:57:59 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc9064… |
| 10-05 03:57:59 | Sophisticated-Node-Opening 0x995f…3eba | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcb5c0f… |
| 10-05 03:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x5e4e…82b7 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x34e869… |
| 10-05 03:57:46 | Sophisticated-Node-Opening 0x995f…3eba | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34e869… |
| 10-05 03:57:46 | (anonymous) 0x3625…b859 | Up | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x34e869… |
| 10-05 03:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x3625…b859 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6b369… |
| 10-05 03:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xc96c…7a21 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xd6b369… |
| 10-05 03:52:29 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x173128… |
| 10-05 03:52:29 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x173128… |
| 10-05 03:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff | Up | BUY | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x173128… |
| 10-05 03:52:11 | (anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff | Up | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd29474… |
| 10-05 03:52:11 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xd29474… |
| 10-05 03:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xa9fa16… |
| 10-05 03:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Up | BUY | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xa9fa16… |
| 10-05 03:51:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xa9fa16… |
| 10-05 03:51:05 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xa9fa16… |
| 10-05 03:51:05 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xa9fa16… |
| 10-05 03:51:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0xb4b54b… |
| 10-05 03:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xa830…2491 | Down | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x9f7a02… |
| 10-05 03:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xb4b54b… |
| 10-05 03:51:02 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x9f7a02… |
| 10-05 03:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xfe865c… |
| 10-05 03:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xfe865c… |
| 10-05 03:50:17 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Up | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xfe865c… |
| 10-05 03:49:23 | (anonymous) 0x5707…f9ff | Down | BUY | 15 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x160c2e… |
| 10-05 03:49:23 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x160c2e… |
| 10-05 03:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x160c2e… |
| 10-05 03:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x160c2e… |
| 10-05 03:46:53 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xad1e35… |
| 10-05 03:46:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xad1e35… |
| 10-05 03:46:43 | (anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe | Down | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x3c7351… |
| 10-05 03:46:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x3c7351… |