Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$4,324
Trades
41
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$242
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-14 20:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.4¢
(top1%: 65% YES on $615
vs crowd: 91% YES on $2.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $400 | $215 | +$184 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $206 | $6 | +$200 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $940 | $3 | +$937 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $936 | $9 | +$927 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $400 | $215 | +$184 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $232 | $9 | +$223 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $136 | $2 | +$134 |
| Median | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 2 | $11 | $0 | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $170 | $4 | +$166 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $3 | $3 | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $1.5K | — | +$1.5K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5292…5650 | Yes | +993 | $914 | $914 | 1 | 05-14 16:12 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +760 | $215 | $215 | 4 | 05-14 14:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe6f1…d7c3 | Yes | +660 | $607 | $607 | 1 | 05-14 16:11 |
| Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | +406 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 05-14 13:38 |
| Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | +219 | $152 | $152 | 2 | 05-14 14:01 |
| Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | +170 | $170 | $170 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +167 | $100 | $100 | 2 | 05-14 14:10 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +105 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Private-Pantologist 0x131c…6816 | Yes | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +37 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 16:37 |
| Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 20:00 |
| Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Yes | +25 | $37 | $210 | 3 | 05-14 16:37 |
| Clean-Pantsuit 0x0ed3…7ad4 | No | +22 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x7a2b…493a | Yes | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-14 16:08 |
| Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | +14 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 16:08 |
| Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 08:27 |
| Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 13:37 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 13:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 13:33 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 19:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:00:03 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45b19a… |
| 05-14 20:00:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45b19a… |
| 05-14 20:00:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x45b19a… |
| 05-14 20:00:03 | Candid-Maniac 0x1f66…1536 | Yes | BUY | 170 | 100¢ | $170 | 0x45b19a… |
| 05-14 20:00:01 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfab458… |
| 05-14 20:00:01 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfab458… |
| 05-14 20:00:00 | Private-Pantologist 0x131c…6816 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x8f95bd… |
| 05-14 20:00:00 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f95bd… |
| 05-14 19:46:33 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x316a51… |
| 05-14 19:46:33 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x316a51… |
| 05-14 19:46:33 | Identical-Stepuncle 0x9acd…0006 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x316a51… |
| 05-14 16:37:47 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xe5be18… |
| 05-14 16:37:47 | Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Yes | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0xe5be18… |
| 05-14 16:12:00 | (anonymous) 0x5292…5650 | Yes | BUY | 993 | 92¢ | $914 | 0x0e27f3… |
| 05-14 16:12:00 | Tired-Landmine 0x2bc6…e81e | Yes | SELL | 993 | 92¢ | $914 | 0x0e27f3… |
| 05-14 16:11:48 | (anonymous) 0xe6f1…d7c3 | Yes | BUY | 660 | 92¢ | $607 | 0x4d837f… |
| 05-14 16:11:48 | Tired-Landmine 0x2bc6…e81e | Yes | SELL | 660 | 92¢ | $607 | 0x4d837f… |
| 05-14 16:08:32 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xd0ee78… |
| 05-14 16:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x7a2b…493a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xd0ee78… |
| 05-14 16:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x7a2b…493a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0xfefdc2… |
| 05-14 16:08:25 | Magnificent-Elicit 0xdbba…e651 | No | BUY | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfefdc2… |
| 05-14 14:10:36 | Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Yes | SELL | 145 | 60¢ | $87 | 0xd723f5… |
| 05-14 14:10:36 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 145 | 60¢ | $87 | 0xd723f5… |
| 05-14 14:01:55 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 102 | 26¢ | $27 | 0xb94865… |
| 05-14 14:01:55 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 102 | 74¢ | $76 | 0xb94865… |
| 05-14 13:57:22 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0xdb7f1a… |
| 05-14 13:57:22 | Clean-Pantsuit 0x0ed3…7ad4 | No | BUY | 22 | 41¢ | $9 | 0xdb7f1a… |
| 05-14 13:44:44 | Phony-Creek 0x1225…2ebf | Yes | BUY | 145 | 69¢ | $100 | 0x0f135d… |
| 05-14 13:44:44 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 145 | 31¢ | $45 | 0x0f135d… |
| 05-14 13:38:54 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 396 | 26¢ | $103 | 0x8336d6… |
| 05-14 13:38:54 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 396 | 74¢ | $293 | 0x8336d6… |
| 05-14 13:37:28 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | No | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xe68e88… |
| 05-14 13:37:28 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xe68e88… |
| 05-14 13:33:27 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xbd0fcc… |
| 05-14 13:33:27 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xbd0fcc… |
| 05-14 13:33:25 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x056224… |
| 05-14 13:33:25 | (anonymous) 0x0740…1ad4 | No | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x056224… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Forked-Cube 0x755c…e9ae | Yes | BUY | 117 | 65¢ | $76 | 0xe8959b… |
| 05-14 13:33:23 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 117 | 35¢ | $41 | 0xe8959b… |
| 05-14 08:27:33 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc14660… |
| 05-14 08:27:33 | Suspicious-Ticket 0xca07…b05b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xc14660… |