Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$463
Trades
43
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 19:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $34
vs crowd: 98% YES on $427)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $174 | $0 | +$174 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $245 | $7 | +$237 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $16 | $1 | +$15 |
| Median | 2 | $117 | — | +$117 |
| Below median | 5 | $217 | $0 | +$217 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $35 | — | +$35 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | +125 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 05-11 09:23 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | +114 | $112 | $112 | 8 | 05-11 08:11 |
| Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | +111 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 05-11 14:15 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +100 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-11 14:15 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 05-11 19:59 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-11 19:42 |
| Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | +27 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 05-11 08:11 |
| Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-11 19:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 19:53 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-11 08:13 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +10 | $-0 | $0 | 3 | 05-11 14:15 |
| Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 19:45 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 19:30 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Fantastic-Birthday 0xde88…b496 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 09:23 |
| Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | +1 | $-2 | $70 | 3 | 05-11 14:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 19:59:57 | Dimpled-Foal 0x3764…c5eb | Yes | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xe6f02a… |
| 05-11 19:59:57 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6f02a… |
| 05-11 19:53:26 | (anonymous) 0x3906…4b42 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x263def… |
| 05-11 19:53:26 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x263def… |
| 05-11 19:45:04 | Optimistic-Lab 0x5593…0c4f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xb84f81… |
| 05-11 19:45:04 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb84f81… |
| 05-11 19:42:07 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd492dd… |
| 05-11 19:42:07 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xd492dd… |
| 05-11 19:42:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd492dd… |
| 05-11 19:30:03 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd1b25b… |
| 05-11 19:30:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd1b25b… |
| 05-11 14:15:13 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 99¢ | $36 | 0x47493c… |
| 05-11 14:15:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x47493c… |
| 05-11 14:15:13 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x47493c… |
| 05-11 14:15:01 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e8747… |
| 05-11 14:15:01 | Imperfect-Cage 0xd63a…90a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4e8747… |
| 05-11 09:23:16 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x9e7e66… |
| 05-11 09:23:16 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 92¢ | $23 | 0x9e7e66… |
| 05-11 09:23:07 | Fantastic-Birthday 0xde88…b496 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x843505… |
| 05-11 09:23:07 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x843505… |
| 05-11 08:13:44 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x143f02… |
| 05-11 08:13:44 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x143f02… |
| 05-11 08:11:55 | Funny-Cricketer 0xf4bf…23f6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 92¢ | $11 | 0x90fb3f… |
| 05-11 08:11:55 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x90fb3f… |
| 05-11 08:11:55 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x90fb3f… |
| 05-11 08:11:52 | Glistening-Sinuosity 0x4462…b29b | No | BUY | 72 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xde66c8… |
| 05-11 08:11:52 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xde66c8… |
| 05-11 08:11:52 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xde66c8… |
| 05-11 08:11:52 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xde66c8… |
| 05-10 20:03:50 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x63bd05… |
| 05-10 20:03:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63bd05… |
| 05-10 06:51:33 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3cd09… |
| 05-10 06:51:33 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd3cd09… |
| 05-10 06:51:33 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd3cd09… |
| 05-09 20:38:49 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64b5e3… |
| 05-09 20:38:49 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x64b5e3… |
| 05-09 20:38:49 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64b5e3… |
| 05-09 06:35:44 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e7ed1… |
| 05-09 06:35:44 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8e7ed1… |
| 05-09 06:35:35 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x5c78ab… |
| 05-09 06:35:35 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5c78ab… |
| 05-09 06:35:26 | Fixed-Fang 0x22c6…f5ed | No | BUY | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x210708… |
| 05-09 06:35:26 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x210708… |