Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$65,868

Trades

8,584

Unique wallets

998

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-21

First seen

2026-03-20

last 03-21 13:16

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +3,600 Whirlwind-Facsimile +1,948 (anon) +1,700 (anon) +1,545 Moral-Roof +1,176 (anon) +1,057 (anon) +1,050 (anon) +1,047

NO holders

(anon) +4,966 (anon) +1,950 (anon) +1,700 (anon) +1,676 (anon) +1,193 (anon) +1,193 (anon) +1,056 (anon) +1,002

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -7.9¢ (top1%: 61% YES on $25.4K vs crowd: 69% YES on $56.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	102	$20.0K	$10.5K	+$9.5K
🐬 Dolphin	252	$12.2K	$4.4K	+$7.8K
🐟 Fish	366	$5.5K	$2.1K	+$3.4K
🦐 Shrimp	278	$1.3K	$783	+$484

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	95	$15.4K	$10.0K	+$5.5K
🏆 Top 5%	113	$4.9K	$1.9K	+$3.0K
✅ Top 10%	66	$405	$147	+$258
Median	75	$542	$114	+$428
Below median	314	$3.3K	$980	+$2.3K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	146	$2.9K	$1.0K	+$1.9K
🔻 Bottom 5%	136	$4.7K	$2.2K	+$2.5K
💀 Bottom 1%	53	$6.8K	$1.5K	+$5.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+4,966	$1,076	$1,076	133	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+3,600	$2,276	$2,276	83	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Down	+1,950	$515	$515	58	03-21 13:13
Whirlwind-Facsimile 0x064a…245d	Up	+1,948	$1,929	$1,929	23	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0x9e4a…c1c9	Up	+1,700	$1,005	$1,005	54	03-21 13:07
(anonymous) 0x9e4a…c1c9	Down	+1,700	$587	$587	116	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+1,676	$324	$324	77	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Up	+1,545	$965	$965	70	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x41bf…f0cf	Down	+1,193	$47	$152	38	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+1,193	$399	$399	144	03-21 13:11
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+1,176	$635	$635	34	03-21 13:05
(anonymous) 0x1004…9b8f	Up	+1,057	$674	$674	95	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,056	$386	$386	126	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x8b66…c5cc	Up	+1,050	$1,040	$1,040	24	03-21 13:15
(anonymous) 0xd925…cb41	Up	+1,047	$1,026	$1,026	1	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+1,004	$651	$651	29	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0xda4d…0483	Down	+1,002	$486	$486	8	03-21 12:04
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+988	$633	$633	114	03-21 13:13
Dim-Crumb 0x9629…ee15	Down	+928	$271	$271	40	03-21 13:10
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+916	$477	$477	24	03-21 13:04
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Up	+898	$572	$572	95	03-21 13:11
(anonymous) 0x353b…5493	Down	+819	$49	$49	41	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x1004…9b8f	Down	+813	$310	$310	73	03-21 13:11
(anonymous) 0x4b18…725f	Down	+805	$296	$296	42	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+783	$353	$398	28	03-21 13:08
(anonymous) 0x6304…f418	Down	+695	$71	$71	23	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0x4b18…725f	Up	+682	$379	$379	44	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0x27ba…b118	Up	+676	$339	$339	8	03-21 12:58
(anonymous) 0xa543…b63b	Up	+667	$333	$333	8	03-21 12:58
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Up	+654	$382	$382	41	03-21 13:06
(anonymous) 0x5356…8a62	Down	+605	$209	$209	22	03-21 13:08
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Down	+601	$224	$224	60	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Down	+583	$209	$209	66	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+576	$300	$455	43	03-21 13:05
Uniform-Homonym 0xc7da…c75c	Up	+568	$562	$562	1	03-21 13:13
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	Down	+567	$148	$148	4	03-21 13:07
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Up	+566	$328	$328	59	03-21 13:11
Normal-Shaw 0x9bff…f622	Up	+564	$504	$504	22	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Up	+537	$319	$319	49	03-21 13:11
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+523	$346	$346	36	03-21 13:11
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+511	$176	$176	49	03-21 13:12
Shocking-Decimal 0xed8d…a9d2	Down	+504	$111	$111	1	03-21 13:07
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+467	$270	$367	31	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+461	$297	$297	115	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+453	$165	$165	113	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0xb4b8…7271	Up	+449	$198	$198	33	03-21 13:03
Fond-Struggle 0x82a9…c9a1	Up	+449	$252	$252	54	03-21 13:10
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+448	$199	$544	93	03-21 13:13
(anonymous) 0x0b1d…3ec3	Down	+444	$9	$9	23	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x960a…ed7a	Down	+436	$153	$153	19	03-21 13:08
(anonymous) 0xca77…a0ca	Up	+436	$431	$431	1	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0x111f…355b	Down	+424	$221	$221	18	03-21 13:05
(anonymous) 0x058e…4281	Up	+420	$252	$252	28	03-21 13:09
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	Down	+409	$203	$203	14	03-21 12:58
(anonymous) 0x084d…d966	Up	+405	$247	$247	27	03-21 13:09
(anonymous) 0x111f…355b	Up	+405	$192	$192	16	03-21 13:05
(anonymous) 0x8f42…472f	Down	+392	$139	$139	1	03-21 13:00
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	Up	+380	$279	$279	43	03-21 13:12
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Down	+331	$196	$196	23	03-21 13:04
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+323	$115	$115	9	03-21 13:07