Solana Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$296
Trades
43
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-28.6¢
(top1%: 46% YES on $82
vs crowd: 74% YES on $282)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $24 | $51 | $27 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $68 | $5 | +$63 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $110 | $8 | +$103 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $7 | $8 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 5 | $38 | $45 | $7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $134 | $8 | +$126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| Below median | 3 | $7 | $4 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +240 | $43 | $43 | 6 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1 | Up | +114 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Up | +40 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | +35 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 10-21 11:57 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | +25 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 10-21 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-21 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-21 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdfb2…4178 | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| Smooth-Double 0x1006…e85b | Up | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| Whispered-Aftershave 0xeb9e…41b5 | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Down | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-21 10:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x024c…97ca | Up | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc15c…0546 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-21 10:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-21 10:36 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-21 11:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xef00…1e50 | Up | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-21 11:59 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-21 11:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-21 11:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7258…9bd8 | Up | +1 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 10-21 11:52 |
| Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 11:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:00:03 | Whispered-Aftershave 0xeb9e…41b5 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21f640… |
| 10-21 12:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xdfb2…4178 | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2a8bfd… |
| 10-21 12:00:03 | Smooth-Double 0x1006…e85b | Up | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x21f640… |
| 10-21 12:00:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Down | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a8bfd… |
| 10-21 12:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x024c…97ca | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x34defa… |
| 10-21 12:00:02 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Down | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x34defa… |
| 10-21 11:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xef00…1e50 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3c2ee7… |
| 10-21 11:59:00 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c2ee7… |
| 10-21 11:58:50 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd013fd… |
| 10-21 11:58:50 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd013fd… |
| 10-21 11:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1 | Up | BUY | 114 | 87¢ | $100 | 0x7d55ff… |
| 10-21 11:57:48 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 9 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7d55ff… |
| 10-21 11:57:48 | (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x7d55ff… |
| 10-21 11:57:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 92 | 13¢ | $12 | 0x7d55ff… |
| 10-21 11:57:47 | (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x3abfce… |
| 10-21 11:57:47 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 88 | 13¢ | $11 | 0x3abfce… |
| 10-21 11:57:47 | (anonymous) 0x613a…f3c1 | Down | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x3abfce… |
| 10-21 11:57:39 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xfffd7c… |
| 10-21 11:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xfffd7c… |
| 10-21 11:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xe6095e… |
| 10-21 11:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Up | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xe6095e… |
| 10-21 11:52:27 | (anonymous) 0x7258…9bd8 | Up | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xc2a073… |
| 10-21 11:52:27 | Accomplished-Granny 0xc876…8711 | Down | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc2a073… |
| 10-21 11:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 20 | 31¢ | $6 | 0x6258d0… |
| 10-21 11:51:44 | (anonymous) 0x6760…be3c | Up | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0x6258d0… |
| 10-21 11:51:35 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xe44be0… |
| 10-21 11:51:35 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xe44be0… |
| 10-21 11:44:33 | (anonymous) 0x7258…9bd8 | Up | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x65b622… |
| 10-21 11:44:33 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x65b622… |
| 10-21 11:44:14 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x935ee1… |
| 10-21 11:44:14 | (anonymous) 0x7258…9bd8 | Up | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x935ee1… |
| 10-21 10:39:12 | (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Down | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x8ea8bc… |
| 10-21 10:39:12 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x8ea8bc… |
| 10-21 10:36:36 | (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x735de5… |
| 10-21 10:36:36 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x735de5… |
| 10-21 10:34:33 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x9e06d7… |
| 10-21 10:34:33 | (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Down | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x9e06d7… |
| 10-21 10:33:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x4a4b1c… |
| 10-21 10:33:18 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x4a4b1c… |
| 10-21 10:32:15 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Up | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xd93483… |
| 10-21 10:32:15 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xd93483… |
| 10-21 10:23:32 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x79541b… |
| 10-21 10:23:32 | (anonymous) 0xc15c…0546 | Down | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x79541b… |