Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$659
Trades
86
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-10-15
First seen
2026-10-15
last 10-15 20:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 46% YES on $466
vs crowd: 47% YES on $691)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $219 | $206 | +$13 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $101 | $129 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $3 | $22 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $215 | $250 | $35 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | $18 | +$11 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $8 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $22 | $19 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $72 | $59 | +$13 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +223 | $75 | $75 | 8 | 10-15 20:11 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +185 | $66 | $66 | 7 | 10-15 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | +134 | $101 | $101 | 7 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | +112 | $75 | $75 | 4 | 10-15 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | +89 | $49 | $49 | 9 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +85 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 10-15 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +84 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 10-15 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +61 | $32 | $32 | 3 | 10-15 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | +47 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-15 20:06 |
| Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Up | +38 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 10-15 20:06 |
| Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Down | +37 | $18 | $18 | 5 | 10-15 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Down | +30 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 10-15 20:08 |
| Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 10-15 20:14 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +27 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-15 20:05 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-15 20:11 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +24 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 10-15 20:04 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-15 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-15 20:11 |
| Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Down | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-15 20:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-15 20:11 |
| Comfortable-Sow-Mix 0xd8a4…33ac | Down | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 10-15 20:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-15 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-15 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:08 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-15 20:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xb349…39d8 | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 20:04 |
| Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Down | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 20:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:14:07 | Defensive-Pawnshop 0x878b…72ec | Down | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xb33d0f… |
| 10-15 20:14:07 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb33d0f… |
| 10-15 20:14:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1e5b… |
| 10-15 20:14:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1e5b… |
| 10-15 20:14:06 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xeb1e5b… |
| 10-15 20:14:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb1e5b… |
| 10-15 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xe9d5c6… |
| 10-15 20:11:34 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | BUY | 20 | 75¢ | $15 | 0x54dc99… |
| 10-15 20:11:34 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xe9d5c6… |
| 10-15 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xe9d5c6… |
| 10-15 20:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 20 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x54dc99… |
| 10-15 20:11:23 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x29543e… |
| 10-15 20:11:23 | Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x29543e… |
| 10-15 20:11:23 | Comfortable-Sow-Mix 0xd8a4…33ac | Down | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x29543e… |
| 10-15 20:11:05 | Comfortable-Sow-Mix 0xd8a4…33ac | Down | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xbef042… |
| 10-15 20:11:05 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 29 | 36¢ | $11 | 0xbef042… |
| 10-15 20:11:05 | Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Down | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0xbef042… |
| 10-15 20:11:05 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xbef042… |
| 10-15 20:11:05 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 9 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xbef042… |
| 10-15 20:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xb349…39d8 | Down | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x3e0fbe… |
| 10-15 20:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x3e0fbe… |
| 10-15 20:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Down | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x97e1ec… |
| 10-15 20:10:43 | (anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x97e1ec… |
| 10-15 20:10:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x97e1ec… |
| 10-15 20:10:43 | Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Down | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x97e1ec… |
| 10-15 20:10:02 | Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Down | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xa7156e… |
| 10-15 20:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Up | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xa7156e… |
| 10-15 20:08:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa | Up | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x782d6a… |
| 10-15 20:08:50 | (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Down | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x782d6a… |
| 10-15 20:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Down | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x9cb659… |
| 10-15 20:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 0 | 54¢ | $0 | 0x9cb659… |
| 10-15 20:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e | Up | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x9cb659… |
| 10-15 20:08:20 | Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Down | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x964e04… |
| 10-15 20:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x521d…8dcf | Down | SELL | 43 | 50¢ | $21 | 0x964e04… |
| 10-15 20:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x6738…c6fb | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x964e04… |
| 10-15 20:08:20 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x964e04… |
| 10-15 20:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x521d…8dcf | Down | BUY | 43 | 26¢ | $11 | 0x8e6e44… |
| 10-15 20:07:07 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $2 | 0x8e6e44… |
| 10-15 20:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 16 | 75¢ | $12 | 0x273b50… |
| 10-15 20:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x4233…6aae | Up | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x273b50… |
| 10-15 20:07:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 21 | 25¢ | $5 | 0x273b50… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x0a8fed… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 18 | 33¢ | $6 | 0x622a94… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 2 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x26b182… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | BUY | 22 | 66¢ | $15 | 0x26b182… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Up | BUY | 18 | 67¢ | $12 | 0x622a94… |
| 10-15 20:06:55 | Graceful-Coat 0x8195…7650 | Up | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x0a8fed… |
| 10-15 20:06:40 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 29 | 63¢ | $18 | 0xda7685… |
| 10-15 20:06:40 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 29 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xda7685… |
| 10-15 20:06:38 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x8ddcef… |
| 10-15 20:06:38 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 43¢ | $13 | 0x8ddcef… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 38 | 48¢ | $18 | 0xe31c25… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 3 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xec69f3… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x6b10fc… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 38 | 52¢ | $20 | 0xe31c25… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 21 | 52¢ | $11 | 0x1e1def… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 21 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x1e1def… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x6b10fc… |
| 10-15 20:05:19 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xec69f3… |
| 10-15 20:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x5037d7… |
| 10-15 20:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Up | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x5037d7… |
| 10-15 20:04:58 | (anonymous) 0x0f3f…f482 | Down | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x15fcb3… |
| 10-15 20:04:58 | (anonymous) 0x6c15…7d2d | Up | BUY | 25 | 66¢ | $16 | 0x15fcb3… |
| 10-15 20:04:58 | (anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb | Down | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x15fcb3… |
| 10-15 20:04:41 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 31 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x189b1d… |
| 10-15 20:04:41 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x189b1d… |
| 10-15 20:04:40 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x220410… |
| 10-15 20:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x220410… |
| 10-15 20:04:32 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 60 | 67¢ | $40 | 0x91c242… |
| 10-15 20:04:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 60 | 33¢ | $20 | 0x91c242… |
| 10-15 20:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Up | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xf153ea… |
| 10-15 20:04:31 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 7 | 33¢ | $2 | 0xf153ea… |
| 10-15 20:04:29 | (anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b | Up | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x00ec8c… |
| 10-15 20:04:29 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x00ec8c… |
| 10-15 20:03:53 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xfcf05a… |
| 10-15 20:03:53 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Up | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xaa3381… |
| 10-15 20:03:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $4 | 0xfcf05a… |
| 10-15 20:03:53 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0xaa3381… |
| 10-15 20:01:19 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 41 | 81¢ | $33 | 0xd7afda… |
| 10-15 20:01:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 41 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xd7afda… |
| 10-15 20:01:19 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x6d8622… |
| 10-15 20:01:19 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 12 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6d8622… |
| 10-15 20:01:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 48 | 24¢ | $12 | 0x53af39… |
| 10-15 20:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 48 | 76¢ | $36 | 0x53af39… |
| 10-15 20:01:02 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xce3c75… |
| 10-15 20:01:02 | (anonymous) 0x66c0…b661 | Down | BUY | 12 | 76¢ | $9 | 0xce3c75… |