Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$492
$2,070 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$2,071
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $29
vs crowd: 9% YES on $122)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | — | $61 | $61 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $11 | $51 | $40 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $10 | $62 | $52 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Quinoa 0x4dc9…b10b | Yes | +184 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 19:45 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-09 08:30 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-08 09:16 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 09:19 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 10:09 |
| Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 09:24 |
| Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Dual-Execution 0x2d97…3835 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 11:30 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 00:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:00:35 | Outstanding-Botany 0x2818…1338 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x517e26… |
| 05-09 11:55:06 | Black-Mutton 0x68db…44f0 | No | SELL | 363 | 100¢ | $363 | 0x064b02… |
| 05-09 11:40:42 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x53fbc0… |
| 05-09 11:30:19 | Dual-Execution 0x2d97…3835 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe1c8d3… |
| 05-09 11:25:21 | Attentive-Moonlight 0x2568…50d6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcbf090… |
| 05-09 11:20:27 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x903d40… |
| 05-09 10:09:45 | Forthright-Magic 0xc784…4802 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xe8de4e… |
| 05-09 09:19:37 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x22fc0b… |
| 05-09 08:30:14 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x11cb7e… |
| 05-09 08:30:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0f4eac… |
| 05-09 08:30:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x050e36… |
| 05-09 03:30:33 | Misguided-Compromise 0xd523…b377 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe0fc8f… |
| 05-09 00:19:13 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x79ad77… |
| 05-08 21:51:38 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1d40a3… |
| 05-08 17:42:31 | Flaky-Convenience 0x5f05…9b05 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf6e6d3… |
| 05-08 09:24:52 | Alarmed-Appliance 0x26d4…0a37 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x84b140… |
| 05-08 09:16:14 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc813b1… |
| 05-08 09:06:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x591f79… |
| 05-08 09:05:19 | Thankful-Quinoa 0x4dc9…b10b | Yes | BUY | 184 | 5¢ | $10 | 0x242843… |
| 05-08 08:49:55 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbe00c4… |
| 05-08 08:49:55 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x64d1ac… |
| 05-08 08:20:54 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x925f54… |
| 05-08 08:20:54 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6b1a4a… |
| 05-08 03:16:33 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6a4d8b… |
| 05-07 19:45:57 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xe69e6f… |
| 05-07 14:16:10 | Evil-Recession 0xa86b…96b8 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6742b4… |