Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 11?
No won
Total volume
$96
$2,498 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 11:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $7 | $86 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 7 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $14 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 11:02 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 16:25 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:37 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 12:57 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:22 |
| Super-Loafer-Mortise 0xabee…ab7d | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 18:46 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:28 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:43 |
| Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:57 |
| Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 02:45 |
| Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:09 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:00 |
| Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 00:50 |
| Made-Up-Ingredient 0xb26d…73f7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 06:44 |
| Courageous-Grill 0xdeda…10cc | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:46 |
| Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 14:51 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 11:02:19 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xff9f58… |
| 05-11 06:44:08 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0x2a368f… |
| 05-11 04:37:57 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 13 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xdfcdf4… |
| 05-11 04:09:19 | Imperfect-Rubber 0xd660…865a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x7f96a6… |
| 05-11 02:30:33 | Made-Up-Ingredient 0xb26d…73f7 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3ee2a6… |
| 05-11 00:50:40 | Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x66d1de… |
| 05-11 00:10:16 | Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x79cf72… |
| 05-10 21:46:14 | Courageous-Grill 0xdeda…10cc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x379cf4… |
| 05-10 19:44:25 | Ill-Posterior 0xf211…385d | No | SELL | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x17dcce… |
| 05-10 18:46:50 | Super-Loafer-Mortise 0xabee…ab7d | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xf82db1… |
| 05-10 16:25:02 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xc1ab90… |
| 05-10 14:51:19 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1eac21… |
| 05-10 14:22:05 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xad6ff0… |
| 05-10 14:21:02 | Spectacular-Pennant 0x68cf…9b9c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x5c665d… |
| 05-10 12:57:34 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x635838… |
| 05-10 12:57:29 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xfa738b… |
| 05-10 12:57:29 | Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x66a942… |
| 05-10 12:57:29 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x7dd689… |
| 05-10 12:57:29 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $10 | 0x3606cf… |
| 05-10 08:43:51 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9934f4… |
| 05-10 06:22:21 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x9b6568… |
| 05-10 06:18:16 | Prestigious-Enthusiasm 0xb338…35f6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd8b3ec… |
| 05-10 06:06:56 | Prestigious-Enthusiasm 0xb338…35f6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xbb4b4e… |
| 05-10 05:28:17 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x9c945d… |
| 05-10 03:00:40 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x739714… |
| 05-10 02:45:48 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xadb236… |
| 05-09 20:40:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x049b23… |