Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $435,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$572
Trades
33
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-01
last 04-27 19:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-21.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $3
vs crowd: 22% YES on $563)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | $3 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $68 | $181 | $113 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $19 | $252 | $233 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $32 | $5 | +$27 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $20 | $1 | +$19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $33 | $32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $68 | $181 | $113 |
| unranked | 4 | $32 | $216 | $184 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | +292 | $209 | $212 | 8 | 04-25 21:26 |
| Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | +235 | $181 | $181 | 3 | 04-11 05:11 |
| Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | +200 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 04-25 21:26 |
| Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | +140 | $31 | $31 | 6 | 04-11 05:11 |
| Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | +56 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 04-23 12:16 |
| Mad-Mycoplasma 0x437b…0f0b | No | +39 | $28 | $37 | 3 | 04-27 19:30 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-01 21:38 |
| Nice-Shade 0xad12…b115 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 04-21 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x1479…eb67 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-25 21:26 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-27 19:30 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-27 19:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Mad-Mycoplasma 0x437b…0f0b | No | SELL | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x23a274… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Mad-Mycoplasma 0x437b…0f0b | No | SELL | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xf93574… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xf93574… |
| 04-27 19:30:38 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 3 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x23a274… |
| 04-25 21:26:56 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 63 | 66¢ | $41 | 0xa1d9fc… |
| 04-25 21:26:56 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | BUY | 63 | 34¢ | $21 | 0xa1d9fc… |
| 04-25 21:26:18 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 65 | 66¢ | $43 | 0xb9d68c… |
| 04-25 21:26:18 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | BUY | 65 | 34¢ | $22 | 0xb9d68c… |
| 04-25 21:26:06 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 65 | 66¢ | $43 | 0x2533fd… |
| 04-25 21:26:06 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | BUY | 73 | 34¢ | $25 | 0x2533fd… |
| 04-25 21:26:06 | (anonymous) 0x1479…eb67 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x2533fd… |
| 04-23 12:16:08 | Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 33¢ | $18 | 0x15f265… |
| 04-23 12:16:08 | Mad-Mycoplasma 0x437b…0f0b | No | BUY | 49 | 67¢ | $33 | 0x15f265… |
| 04-23 12:16:08 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x15f265… |
| 04-21 13:52:12 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x523e99… |
| 04-21 13:52:12 | Nice-Shade 0xad12…b115 | No | BUY | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x523e99… |
| 04-21 13:52:12 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x523e99… |
| 04-11 05:11:27 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | BUY | 35 | 77¢ | $27 | 0xe96ee6… |
| 04-11 05:11:27 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xe96ee6… |
| 04-08 20:14:09 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 23¢ | $22 | 0x0de419… |
| 04-08 20:14:09 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | BUY | 95 | 77¢ | $73 | 0x0de419… |
| 04-08 20:00:07 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x141355… |
| 04-08 20:00:07 | Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | BUY | 105 | 77¢ | $81 | 0x141355… |
| 04-02 00:11:59 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x545b99… |
| 04-02 00:11:59 | (anonymous) 0xa333…09ac | Yes | SELL | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x545b99… |
| 04-02 00:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xa333…09ac | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xfb6639… |
| 04-02 00:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 4 | 74¢ | $3 | 0xfb6639… |
| 04-01 21:38:11 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x5aa2a3… |
| 04-01 21:38:11 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x5aa2a3… |
| 04-01 21:37:03 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0xb1af24… |
| 04-01 21:37:03 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xb1af24… |
| 04-01 21:35:17 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x994647… |
| 04-01 21:35:17 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 48 | 83¢ | $40 | 0x994647… |