Nice-Shade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

266

Trades

478

lifetime

Volume

$23.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

$81

6 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-02 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Other

92% 60% -$5,968

Politics

7% 58% +$63

Sports

1% 60% +$67

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-37	-$34	98¢	$-36	-$2	05-07 21:03
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-33	-$18	89¢	$-29	-$11	05-07 21:03
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-10	-$7	82¢	$-8	-$1	05-07 21:10
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	-23	-$14	20¢	$-5	+$9	05-07 21:06
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	-2	-$1	63¢	$-1	+$0	05-07 21:10
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	-12	-$10	11¢	$-1	+$9	05-21 20:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	9	$3.2K	4,110	0	+4,110	Yes	-$3,249	06-29 07:21
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	5	$3.0K	2,695	960	+1,735	Yes	+$541	06-28 10:00
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	21	$2.7K	3,475	0	+3,475	No	-$2,715	06-07 13:55
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	7	$2.0K	2,533	110	+2,423	No	-$1,969	05-05 22:07
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$1.0K	1,062	0	+1,062	Yes	+$43	04-30 18:26
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$964	500	500	+0	Yes	+$34	06-05 07:39
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	6	$934	978	0	+978	Yes	+$44	06-24 22:14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$622	635	0	+635	No	-$622	05-05 13:16
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	2	$598	621	0	+621	Yes	+$23	06-03 20:15
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$500	509	0	+509	Yes	+$9	06-02 20:05
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	1	$500	578	0	+578	Yes	+$78	04-28 17:21
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$402	270	270	+0	Yes	+$18	04-30 17:11
tost quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt12	9	$312	227	177	+50	Yes	-$2	02-12 21:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$290	360	0	+360	No	+$69	02-13 20:29
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	5	$275	278	0	+278	Yes	+$3	05-29 19:04
pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt68	4	$269	177	177	+0	No	-$11	02-12 17:39
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	6	$218	114	114	+0	No	-$2	05-05 16:36
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	1	$213	216	0	+216	No	+$3	04-30 12:30
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	1	$212	322	0	+322	No	+$110	04-30 18:26
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	10	$203	242	254	-12	open	—	05-21 20:33
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	4	$201	185	185	+0	No	-$39	03-09 11:30
net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt27	5	$187	113	113	+0	Yes	-$3	02-10 17:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$181	92	92	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:37
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$181	91	91	+0	No	+$1	05-05 16:37
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$168	2,100	0	+2,100	Yes	+$1,932	05-21 20:01
will crowdstrike q1 net new arr be above 275m	1	$160	188	0	+188	No	+$28	06-03 20:05
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$141	338	5	+333	Yes	-$87	05-07 20:05
baba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 1pt59	2	$115	117	0	+117	No	+$2	03-19 09:59
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	2	$112	118	0	+118	Nigma Galaxy	+$6	05-04 19:47
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	5	$107	70	70	+0	Yes	-$5	05-07 21:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 12:46:34	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0x9dd055…
07-02 12:46:22	Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x10e3bc…
07-02 12:46:05	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xad4152…
06-30 11:05:10	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x104df2…
06-29 07:21:58	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	460	78¢	$358	0x62bf54…
06-29 06:43:38	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	1,750	78¢	$1,360	0xb30747…
06-28 10:20:16	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa8bc81…
06-28 10:20:05	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x12e389…
06-28 10:03:44	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xc8ee23…
06-28 10:02:10	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	328	75¢	$246	0x061b38…
06-28 10:00:56	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	390	93¢	$362	0x055f04…
06-28 09:57:38	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	168	75¢	$125	0x5a9972…
06-28 07:50:46	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	537	75¢	$401	0xfad004…
06-28 07:49:58	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	570	94¢	$533	0x5d9068…
06-27 19:47:50	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	727	89¢	$647	0xca0f51…
06-26 22:11:01	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	189	85¢	$160	0x6f009a…
06-26 22:10:10	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,848	77¢	$1,430	0x7eaf01…
06-26 22:00:17	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xa2e587…
06-24 22:14:38	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	636	96¢	$611	0xe260a0…
06-24 21:32:47	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xacd119…
06-24 21:30:01	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x44c292…
06-24 21:29:50	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4b3820…
06-24 21:21:41	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	144	94¢	$135	0x5ffcd4…
06-24 18:37:17	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf4803b…
06-07 13:55:52	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xd7d6ce…
06-05 16:15:12	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x66bdd6…
06-05 15:28:15	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x399da8…
06-05 13:49:04	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	212	79¢	$167	0x17f71e…
06-05 13:49:01	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x0979a9…
06-05 13:48:58	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	62	76¢	$47	0xabb6bd…
06-05 13:36:51	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	420	80¢	$336	0xf77698…
06-05 13:25:07	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0x16e508…
06-05 09:49:37	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	103	83¢	$85	0x8bc40b…
06-05 09:37:33	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xb53d5c…
06-05 09:37:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	161	87¢	$140	0xc0a843…
06-05 09:37:18	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	229	87¢	$199	0x9064ea…
06-05 09:37:09	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	229	87¢	$199	0x24ecea…
06-05 09:36:58	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	269	87¢	$234	0x315f5f…
06-05 07:57:42	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x11aed4…
06-05 07:53:52	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	152	34¢	$52	0x381c14…
06-05 07:53:39	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0xdbaf96…
06-05 07:53:34	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	431	70¢	$301	0xa30a28…
06-05 07:39:51	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x613d21…
06-05 01:42:39	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0f1839…
06-04 21:05:06	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	305	98¢	$299	0x84ef8c…
06-04 20:29:16	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x0f3fe8…
06-03 20:15:06	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	Yes	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0xb96795…
06-03 20:15:06	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	Yes	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x7fd7db…
06-03 20:07:43	crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 1pt07	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x15eda9…
06-03 20:05:07	will crowdstrike q1 net new arr be above 275m	No	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0xfd0b7b…
06-03 10:55:06	Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x612150…
06-02 20:05:05	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0xa46446…
06-02 12:00:20	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3a9f31…
06-02 10:22:18	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0xd9eba1…
06-02 10:22:16	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in May?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x80d304…
06-02 09:15:32	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xe371e7…
06-02 09:15:32	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x63757c…
06-02 09:15:11	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb7a07d…
06-02 09:15:11	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ba34c…
06-02 09:14:31	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in May?	Yes	SELL	142	0¢	$1	0x10aa83…
06-02 09:12:39	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in May?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9f0a5a…
05-31 22:15:30	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xc2b1ed…
05-29 19:04:49	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc0bf7d…
05-29 19:04:36	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x816d1c…
05-29 19:02:09	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x25094d…
05-29 19:01:43	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb57574…
05-29 19:01:41	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x4796c6…
05-28 20:15:07	Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 6.5% and 7.5%?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x3c7d1a…
05-28 20:05:08	Will MongoDB Q1 Atlas revenue growth be between 25% and 30%?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc4464c…
05-28 11:00:06	Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0x349212…
05-27 20:01:08	Will Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 11% and 12%?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa22378…
05-27 20:01:08	Will Salesforce Q1 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4e411c…
05-27 11:30:06	Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8962e0…
05-27 11:00:37	Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x923bf7…
05-27 10:50:05	Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0adcfb…
05-22 10:45:05	Will BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59066b…
05-21 20:33:22	Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x1c41c6…
05-21 20:33:20	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x971267…
05-21 20:33:16	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x50cd62…
05-21 20:33:13	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe976b9…
05-21 20:33:08	Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0x876abf…
05-21 20:33:04	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,299	1¢	$9	0x94fbdf…
05-21 20:33:01	Kash Patel out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x074cb3…
05-21 20:32:59	SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?	No	SELL	26	71¢	$18	0x11f4ab…
05-21 20:01:08	Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2,100	8¢	$168	0x3fb2b2…
05-21 13:00:07	wsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 05 28 2026 1pt8	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xad9c61…
05-20 20:20:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2a6bba…
05-20 20:00:06	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x847d71…
05-14 20:05:08	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcade70…
05-13 09:04:20	Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x40fbd3…
05-13 09:04:17	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe530af…
05-13 05:00:06	Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8b3a14…
05-12 11:00:07	Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x088e53…
05-11 20:05:06	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x70d11d…
05-11 20:05:06	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2176e7…
05-11 20:05:06	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x14a0fa…
05-07 21:32:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xef4455…
05-07 21:30:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x59b16b…
05-07 21:11:14	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x75a384…
05-07 21:10:51	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xfb41c4…