Nice-Shade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-30 11:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

95% 54% $-128

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	5	$3.0K	2,695	960	+1,735	open	—	06-28 10:00
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	21	$2.7K	3,475	0	+3,475	open	—	06-07 13:55
fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	6	$934	978	0	+978	open	—	06-24 22:14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$622	635	0	+635	open	—	05-05 13:16
avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	2	$598	621	0	+621	open	—	06-03 20:15
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$500	509	0	+509	open	—	06-02 20:05
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$402	270	270	+0	open	—	04-30 17:11
tost quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt12	9	$312	227	177	+50	open	—	02-12 21:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$290	360	0	+360	open	—	02-13 20:29
FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	5	$275	278	0	+278	open	—	05-29 19:04
pins quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 12 2026 0pt68	4	$269	177	177	+0	open	—	02-12 17:39
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	4	$201	185	185	+0	open	—	03-09 11:30
net quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 0pt27	5	$187	113	113	+0	open	—	02-10 17:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$181	92	92	+0	open	—	05-05 16:37
will crowdstrike q1 net new arr be above 275m	1	$160	188	0	+188	open	—	06-03 20:05
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$141	338	5	+333	Yes	$-87	05-07 20:05
baba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 1pt59	2	$115	117	0	+117	open	—	03-19 09:59
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	2	$112	118	0	+118	Nigma Galaxy	+$6	05-04 19:47
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	5	$110	114	0	+114	open	—	04-27 02:42
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	05-11 20:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-20 20:20
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	05-20 20:00
Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	103	0	+103	Yes	+$3	05-12 11:00
Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-13 05:00
rum quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 neg0pt1	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	03-05 21:02
gap quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 05 2026 0pt45	1	$100	186	0	+186	open	—	03-05 19:25
wix quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 18 2026 1pt47	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-04 06:01
crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 1pt07	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	06-03 20:07
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	04-20 18:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$85	46	46	+0	open	—	05-07 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 11:05:10	fda approves unicycive oxylanthanum carbonate 06 29 2026	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x104df2…
06-28 10:00:56	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	390	93¢	$362	0x055f04…
06-28 07:49:58	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	570	94¢	$533	0x5d9068…
06-26 22:11:01	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	189	85¢	$160	0x6f009a…
06-26 22:10:10	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,848	77¢	$1,430	0x7eaf01…
06-26 22:00:17	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0xa2e587…
06-24 22:14:38	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	636	96¢	$611	0xe260a0…
06-24 21:32:47	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0xacd119…
06-24 21:30:01	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x44c292…
06-24 21:29:50	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x4b3820…
06-24 21:21:41	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	144	94¢	$135	0x5ffcd4…
06-24 18:37:17	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf4803b…
06-07 13:55:52	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xd7d6ce…
06-05 16:15:12	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0x66bdd6…
06-05 15:28:15	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x399da8…
06-05 13:49:04	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	212	79¢	$167	0x17f71e…
06-05 13:49:01	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x0979a9…
06-05 13:48:58	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	62	76¢	$47	0xabb6bd…
06-05 13:36:51	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	420	80¢	$336	0xf77698…
06-05 13:25:07	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0x16e508…
06-05 09:49:37	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	103	83¢	$85	0x8bc40b…
06-05 09:37:33	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0xb53d5c…
06-05 09:37:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	161	87¢	$140	0xc0a843…
06-05 09:37:18	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	229	87¢	$199	0x9064ea…
06-05 09:37:09	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	229	87¢	$199	0x24ecea…
06-05 09:36:58	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	269	87¢	$234	0x315f5f…
06-05 07:57:42	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x11aed4…
06-05 07:53:52	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	152	34¢	$52	0x381c14…
06-05 07:53:39	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0xdbaf96…
06-05 07:53:34	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	431	70¢	$301	0xa30a28…
06-05 01:42:39	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0f1839…
06-04 21:05:06	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	305	98¢	$299	0x84ef8c…
06-04 20:29:16	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x0f3fe8…
06-03 20:15:06	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	Yes	BUY	519	96¢	$500	0xb96795…
06-03 20:15:06	avgo quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 2pt39	Yes	BUY	102	96¢	$98	0x7fd7db…
06-03 20:07:43	crwd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 03 2026 1pt07	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x15eda9…
06-03 20:05:07	will crowdstrike q1 net new arr be above 275m	No	BUY	188	85¢	$160	0xfd0b7b…
06-03 10:55:06	Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x612150…
06-02 20:05:05	Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0xa46446…
06-02 12:00:20	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3a9f31…
05-29 19:04:49	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc0bf7d…
05-29 19:04:36	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x816d1c…
05-29 19:02:09	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x25094d…
05-29 19:01:43	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb57574…
05-29 19:01:41	FDA approves MannKind's Afrezza?	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x4796c6…
05-28 11:00:06	Will Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0x349212…
05-27 11:30:06	Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8962e0…
05-27 11:00:37	Will Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x923bf7…
05-27 10:50:05	Will Bath & Body Works (BBWI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0adcfb…
05-22 10:45:05	Will BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59066b…
05-21 13:00:07	wsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 05 28 2026 1pt8	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xad9c61…
05-20 20:20:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2a6bba…
05-20 20:00:06	Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x847d71…
05-14 20:05:08	Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcade70…
05-13 05:00:06	Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8b3a14…
05-12 11:00:07	Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x088e53…
05-11 20:05:06	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x70d11d…
05-11 20:05:06	Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x2176e7…
05-11 20:05:06	Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x14a0fa…
05-07 21:32:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xef4455…
05-07 21:30:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x59b16b…
05-07 21:10:51	Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xfb41c4…
05-07 21:09:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$12	0xd87c82…
05-07 21:09:41	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PlayTime	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x9165b5…
05-07 21:08:28	Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PlayTime	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0xa6ce26…
05-07 21:08:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x69fa10…
05-07 21:05:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xa83d81…
05-07 21:05:01	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	122	17¢	$21	0xa98dbd…
05-07 21:04:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbf3317…
05-07 21:03:42	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$17	0xc8e346…
05-07 21:03:23	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xc42d68…
05-07 21:02:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0xe4b47a…
05-07 20:05:19	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x782be1…
05-07 20:05:08	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd4f3ad…
05-07 20:03:06	Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x0cdcde…
05-07 10:45:05	Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xce9762…
05-06 20:36:04	Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd3cb0b…
05-06 20:05:07	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8fdc9d…
05-06 20:05:07	Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x173bed…
05-06 10:10:28	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x730281…
05-06 07:40:54	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2ec607…
05-05 17:51:00	Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x82968b…
05-05 16:37:12	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x609813…
05-05 16:01:58	Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0xb5bc4e…
05-05 13:16:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	486	98¢	$475	0xb849f4…
05-05 12:50:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xafe9ac…
05-05 12:48:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x376231…
05-05 11:00:08	Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xc76b97…
05-05 08:39:06	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xff2ed7…
05-05 05:02:06	Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1421f5…
05-04 22:12:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0x81dc90…
05-04 20:56:02	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xd42f08…
05-04 20:30:06	Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfa68ff…
05-04 20:15:06	Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x027b32…
05-04 19:47:54	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x0cc84c…
05-04 19:47:14	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0xbc6033…
05-04 19:20:54	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x37a3df…
05-04 18:11:18	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xef806f…
05-04 18:01:50	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9e86bf…
05-04 15:48:30	Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5ae55f…